The estimation of survival distributions for animals which are radio-tagged is an important current problem for animal ecologists. Allowance must be made for censoring due to radio failure, radio loss, emigration from the study area and animals surviving p88l. :~the end of the study period. First we show that the Kaplan-Meier .procedure wid~ly used in medical and engineering studies can be applied to this problem. An example using some quail data is given for illustration. As radios maItunction-or are lost, new radio-tagged animals have to be added to the study. We show how this modification can easily be incorpor~.ted inf. the basic Kaplan-Meier procedure. Another example using quail data is used to illustrate the extension. We also show how the log rank test commonly used to compare two survival distributions can be generalized to allow for additions. Simple computer programs which can be run on a PC are available from the authors.
We present results on the estimation of survival distributions for an important problem in animal ecology. The problem involves estimation of survival distributions using radio-tagged animals. It requires allowance for censored observations due to radio failure, emigration from the study area and animals surviving past the end of the study period. We show that techniques already used in medical and engineering studies may be applied to this problem. Emphasis is placed on the model assumptions and the need for further research. An example to illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of this approach is presented.
Understanding the factors that affect dispersal is a fundamental question in ecology and conservation biology, particularly as populations are faced with increasing anthropogenic impacts. Here we collected georeferenced genetic samples (n = 2,540) from three generations of black bears (Ursus americanus) harvested in a large (47,739 km2), geographically isolated population and used parentage analysis to identify mother-offspring dyads (n = 337). We quantified the effects of sex, age, habitat type and suitability, and local harvest density at the natal and settlement sites on the probability of natal dispersal, and on dispersal distances. Dispersal was male-biased (76% of males dispersed) but a small proportion (21%) of females also dispersed, and female dispersal distances (mean ± SE = 48.9±7.7 km) were comparable to male dispersal distances (59.0±3.2 km). Dispersal probabilities and dispersal distances were greatest for bears in areas with high habitat suitability and low harvest density. The inverse relationship between dispersal and harvest density in black bears suggests that 1) intensive harvest promotes restricted dispersal, or 2) high black bear population density decreases the propensity to disperse. Multigenerational genetic data collected over large landscape scales can be a powerful means of characterizing dispersal patterns and causal associations with demographic and landscape features in wild populations of elusive and wide-ranging species.
Variation in the size of home range of white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) has broad implications for managing populations, agricultural damage, and disease spread and transmission. Size of home range of deer also varies seasonally because plant phenology dictates the vegetation types that are used as foraging or resting sites. Knowledge of the landscape configuration and connectivity that contributes to variation in size of home range of deer for the region is needed to fully understand differences and similarities of deer ecology throughout the Midwest. We developed a research team from four Midwestern states to investigate how size of home range of deer in agro-forested landscapes is
Estimating black bear (Ursus americanus) population size is a difficult but important requirement when justifying harvest quotas and managing populations. Advancements in genetic techniques provide a means to identify individual bears using DNA contained in tissue and hair samples, thereby permitting estimates of population abundance based on established mark‐capture‐recapture methodology. We expand on previous noninvasive population‐estimation work by geographically extending sampling areas (36,848 km2) to include the entire Northern Lower Peninsula (NLP) of Michigan, USA. We selected sampling locations randomly within biologically relevant bear habitat and used barbed wire hair snares to collect hair samples. Unlike previous noninvasive studies, we used tissue samples from harvested bears as an additional sampling occasion to increase recapture probabilities. We developed subsampling protocols to account for both spatial and temporal variance in sample distribution and variation in sample quality using recently published quality control protocols using 5 microsatellite loci. We quantified genotyping errors using samples from harvested bears and estimated abundance using statistical models that accounted for genotyping error. We estimated the population of yearling and adult black bears in the NLP to be 1,882 bears (95% CI = 1,389‐2,551 bears). The derived population estimate with a 15% coefficient of variation was used by wildlife managers to examine the sustainability of harvest over a large geographic area.
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