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[1] Four approaches for deriving estimates of near-surface soil moisture from radar imagery in a semiarid, sparsely vegetated rangeland were evaluated against in situ measurements of soil moisture. The approaches were based on empirical, physical, semiempirical, and image difference techniques. The empirical approach involved simple linear regression of radar backscatter on soil moisture, while the integral equation method (IEM) model was used in both the physical and semiempirical approaches. The image difference or delta index approach is a new technique presented here for the first time. In all cases, spatial averaging to the watershed scale improved agreement with observed soil moisture. In the empirical approach, variation in radar backscatter explained 85% of the variation in observed soil moisture at the watershed scale. For the physical and best semiempirical adjustment to the physical model, the root-mean-square errors (RMSE) between modeled and observed soil moisture were 0.13 and 0.04, respectively. Practical limitations to obtaining surface roughness measurements limit IEM utility for large areas. The purely image-based delta index has significant operational advantage in soil moisture estimates for broad areas. Additionally, satellite observations of backscatter used in the delta index indicated an approximate 1:1 relationship with soil moisture that explained 91% of the variability, with RMSE = 0.03. Results showed that the delta index is scaled to the range in observed soil moisture and may provide a purely image based model. It should be tested in other watersheds to determine if it implicitly accounts for surface roughness, topography, and vegetation. These are parameters that are difficult to measure over large areas, and may influence the delta index.

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[1] Vegetation species cover and photographic data have been collected at multiple grassand shrub-dominated sites in 1967, 1994, 1999, and 2005 at the U.S. Department of Agriculture Agricultural Research Service Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed (WGEW) in southeastern Arizona. This study combines these measurements with meteorological and edaphic information, as well as historic repeat photography from the late 1880s onward and recent satellite imagery to assess vegetation change at WGEW. The results of classification and ordination of repeated transect data showed that WGEW had two main vegetation structural types, shrub dominated and grass dominated. Spatial distribution was closely linked to soil type and variations in annual and August precipitation. Other than the recent appearance of Eragrostis lehmanniana (Lehmann lovegrass) at limited sites in WGEW, little recruitment has taken place in either shrub or grass vegetation types. Effects of recent drought on both vegetation types were apparent in both transect data and enhanced vegetation index data derived from satellite imagery. Historic photos and a better understanding of WGEW geology and geomorphology supported the hypothesis that the shift from grass-to shrub-dominated vegetation occurred substantially before 1967, with considerable spatial variability. This work reaffirmed the value of maintaining long-term data sets for use in assessments of vegetation change.

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Abstract:The increasing spread and abundance of an invasive perennial grass, buffelgrass (Pennisetum ciliare), represents a critical threat to the native vegetation communities of the Sonoran desert in southern Arizona, USA, where buffelgrass eradication is a high priority for resource managers. Herbicidal treatment of buffelgrass is most effective when the vegetation is actively growing, but the remoteness of infestations and the erratic timing and length of the species' growth periods confound effective treatment. The goal of our research is to promote buffelgrass management by using remote sensing data to detect where the invasive plants are located and when they are photosynthetically active. We integrated citizen scientist observations of buffelgrass phenology in the Tucson, Arizona area with PRISM precipitation data, eight-day composites of 250-m Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite imagery, and aerially-mapped polygons of buffelgrass presence to understand dynamics and relationships between precipitation and the timing and amount of buffelgrass greenness from 2011 to 2013. Our results show that buffelgrass responds quickly to antecedent rainfall: in pixels containing buffelgrass, higher correlations (R 2 > 0.5) typically occur after two cumulative eight-day periods of rain, whereas in pixels dominated by native vegetation, four prior 8-day periods are required to reach that threshold. Using the new suite of phenometrics introduced here-Climate Landscape Response metrics-we accurately predicted the location of 49% to 55% of buffelgrass patches in Saguaro National Park. These metrics and the suggested guidelines for their use can be employed by resource managers to treat buffelgrass during optimal time periods.

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