Background: Clinical trials have demonstrated that direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) are non-inferior to vitamin K antagonist for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) with comparable safety outcomes; however, real-world Australian data are limited. Aims: To evaluate local real-world DOAC use focussing on safety, particularly in highrisk patients. Methods: A retrospective evaluation of 658 patients commenced or continued on DOAC between September 2013 and September 2016 for non-valvular AF at Northern Hospital, a tertiary hospital in Victoria, Australia was performed. Results: Factor Xa inhibitors were more commonly prescribed than direct thrombin inhibitors (83.3 vs 16.7%) for AF management. The median patient age was 75 years. The rate of clinically significant bleeding on anticoagulation was 3.13 per 100 personyears (including four deaths) with risk factors including history of bleeding (hazard ratio (HR) 3.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22-10.17), concurrent antiplatelet therapy (HR 2.62, 95% CI: 1.11-6.20) and high falls risk (HR 2.76, 95% CI: 1.26-6.08). Patients on low-dose DOAC had significantly higher bleeding risk compared with those on full dose (5.05 vs 1.82 per 100 person-years). The rate of thrombotic stroke despite anticoagulation was 1.34 per 100 person-years with risk factors including low dose anticoagulation (P = 0.034), high falls risk (P = 0.046) and previous stroke (P = 0.028). Conclusions: DOAC use in real-world Australian practice is safe and effective, consistent with international data. Low dose anticoagulation and falls risk are associated with increased bleeding and thrombotic risk demonstrating overlapping risk factors. Careful individualised patient risk assessment is still required as low dose anticoagulation is not without risks.
Background
Early recognition of severe COVID‐19 is essential for timely patient triage.
Aims
To report clinical and laboratory findings and patient outcomes at a tertiary hospital in Melbourne, Australia.
Methods
This is a retrospective study of adult inpatients with COVID‐19 admitted to Northern Health from March to September 2020. Data were extracted from electronic medical records.
Results
Key admission data were available for 182 patients (median age 67.0 years (interquartile range, 47.9–83.1); 51.1% female). Fifty‐six (30.8%) were from residential care. One hundred and seventeen (64.3%) patients were assigned Goals of Patient Care (GOPC) A or B and 65 (35.7%) GOPC C or D. Comorbidities were present in 135 patients (74.2%). 63.2% of patients received antibiotics, 6.6% had antivirals, 45.6% received systemic glucocorticoid and 3.3% had tocilizumab. Fifty‐six (30.8%) developed clinical deterioration (24 requiring ventilation, 21 receiving critical care, 34 died). Overall, inhospital clinical deterioration was significantly associated with older age (P < 0.001), history of diabetes (P = 0.038), lower lymphocyte count (P = 0.002) and platelet count (P = 0.004), higher neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (P = 0.002), elevated fibrinogen (P = 0.004), higher serum ferritin (P = 0.027) and C‐reactive protein (CRP; P = 0.002). The accuracy of the 4C Deterioration model was moderate, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.68–0.90) compared with an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.76–0.78) in the original validation cohort.
Conclusions
In the present study, high neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio, abnormal d‐dimer, high serum CRP and ferritin appear to be useful prognostic markers.
Assessing the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE), particularly when patients are anticoagulated, remains a major challenge largely due to the lack of biomarkers. Blood was sampled from adult VTE patients recruited between January 2018 and September 2020, while receiving therapeutic anticoagulation. Results were compared to 144 healthy subjects (34.7% male, median age 42 years). Overall haemostatic potential (OHP) assay, a spectrophotometric assay, was performed on platelet-poor plasma, in which fibrin formation (triggered by small amounts of thrombin (overall coagulation potential, OCP)) and fibrinolysis (by the addition of thrombin and tissue plasminogen activator (OHP)) are simultaneously measured. Results were obtained from 196 patients (52.6% male, mean age 57.1 years). Compared to healthy subjects, VTE patients displayed significantly higher OCP (39.6 vs 34.5 units, p < 0.001) and OHP (9.3 vs 6.4 units, p < 0.001) as well as lower overall fibrinolytic potential (75.6 v s81.1%, p < 0.001). All 16 VTE recurrences, including 11 unprovoked, occurred above an OCP cut-off of 40th percentile (recurrence rate 4.32/100 patient-years (100PY), 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.39–7.80, p = 0.002). Of 97 patients who subsequently discontinued anticoagulation, all unprovoked VTE recurrences (n = 9) occurred above the 40th OCP percentile (recurrence rate 9.10/100PY, 95% CI 4.74–17.49, p = 0.005) and the 40th OHP percentile (recurrence rate 8.46/100PY, 95% CI 4.40–16.25, p = 0.009). Our pilot study demonstrates that the OHP assay can detect a hypercoagulable and hypofibrinolytic state in anticoagulated VTE patients and may be able to risk stratify VTE recurrence, allowing for more individualised decision on long-term anticoagulation. Further larger prospective studies are required.
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