" "E Ec co on no om mi ic c V Vo ot ti in ng g i in n P Po or rt tu ug gu ue es se e M Mu un ni ic ci ip pa al l E El le ec ct ti io on ns s" " R Ro od dr ri ig go o M Ma ar rt ti in ns s F Fr ra an nc ci is sc co o J Jo os sé é V Ve ei ig ga a NIPE WP 33/ 2010 " "E Ec co on no om mi ic c V Vo ot ti in ng g i in n P Po or rt tu ug gu ue es se e M Mu un ni ic ci ip pa al l E El le ec ct ti io on ns s" " R Ro od dr ri ig go o M Ma ar rt ti in ns s F Fr ra an nc ci is sc co o J Jo os sé é V Ve ei ig ga a N NI IP PE E *
This paper analyzes the impact of economic conditions on voter turnout at Portuguese legislative and municipal elections. We use four extensive datasets to estimate an economic turnout model in which local economic variables are included in quadratic form, so that non-linear effects can be taken into account. The first two datasets cover all mainland municipalities (currently 278), from 1979 to 2005. The other two are cross-sections of all 4037 mainland freguesias, used to analyze the determinants of turnout at the 2001 municipal elections and at the 2002 legislative elections. Empirical results indicate that the performance of the national economy is important only in legislative elections and that, in accordance with our expectations, the regional and local unemployment rates tend to have a non-linear relationship with turnout.
Do previous trajectories of Federal Supreme Court justices influence their votes in court? Despite recent advances in research on judicial behavior, questions remain about the factors influencing the decisions of STF justices. Building a new typology of these justices' career paths, this article tests the hypothesis that professional characteristics influenced the judicial behavior of the justices judging the Ação Penal 470, a criminal case known as Mensalão. Our theory suggests that STF nominees bring to the court law interpretations and worldviews that were not only developed in their professional activities but also affected by the conditions of stability or political dependence that marked their career paths. Legal expertise means of professional rise, and types of interests justices were used to defending before joining the court shape the decision-making of the justices in the STF. Based on logistical regressions, we conclude that the votes to convict and acquit in the AP 470 trial are associated with these characteristics. Our findings carry implications for theories on judicial behavior and the process of appointing justices to the STF.
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