Background Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has become a commonly applied procedure for high-risk aortic valve stenosis patients. However, for some patients, this procedure does not result in the expected benefits. Previous studies indicated that it is difficult to predict the beneficial effects for specific patients. We aim to study the accuracy of various traditional machine learning (ML) algorithms in the prediction of TAVI outcomes. Methods and results Clinical and laboratory data from 1,478 TAVI patients from a single centre were collected. The outcome measures were improvement of dyspnoea and mortality. Three experiments were performed using (1) screening data, (2) laboratory data, and (3) the combination of both. Five well-established ML techniques were implemented, and the models were evaluated based on the area under the curve (AUC). Random forest classifier achieved the highest AUC (0.70) for predicting mortality. Logistic regression had the highest AUC (0.56) in predicting improvement of dyspnoea. Conclusions In our single-centre TAVI population, the tree-based models were slightly more accurate than others in predicting mortality. However, ML models performed poorly in predicting improvement of dyspnoea. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1007/s12471-019-1285-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Background: Deep learning (DL) has shown promising results in improving atrial fibrillation (AF) detection algorithms. However, these models are often criticized because of their "black box" nature. Aim: To develop a morphology based DL model to discriminate AF from sinus rhythm (SR), and to visualize which parts of the ECG are used by the model to derive to the right classification. Methods: We pre-processed raw data of 1469 ECGs in AF or SR, of patients with a history AF. Input data was generated by normalizing all single cycles (SC) of one ECG lead to SC-ECG samples by 1) centralizing the R wave or 2) scaling from R-to-R wave. Different DL models were trained by splitting the data in a training, validation and test set. By using a DL based heat mapping technique we visualized those areas of the ECG used by the classifier to come to the correct classification.Results: The DL model with the best performance was a feedforward neural network trained by SC-ECG samples on a R-to-R wave basis of lead II, resulting in an accuracy of 0.96 and F1-score of 0.94. The onset of the QRS complex proved to be the most relevant area for the model to discriminate AF from SR. Conclusion:The morphology based DL model developed in this study was able to discriminate AF from SR with a very high accuracy. DL model visualization may help clinicians gain insights into which (unrecognized) ECG features are most sensitive to discriminate AF from SR.
BACKGROUND Phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del mutation carriers are known to develop dilated and/or arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, and typical electrocardiographic (ECG) features have been identified for diagnosis. Machine learning is a powerful tool used in ECG analysis and has shown to outperform cardiologists.OBJECTIVES We aimed to develop machine learning and deep learning models to diagnose PLN p.Arg14del cardiomyopathy using ECGs and evaluate their accuracy compared to an expert cardiologist.METHODS We included 155 adult PLN mutation carriers and 155 age-and sex-matched control subjects. Twenty-one PLN mutation carriers (13.4%) were classified as symptomatic (symptoms of heart failure or malignant ventricular arrhythmias). The data set was split into training and testing sets using 4-fold cross-validation. Multiple models were developed to discriminate between PLN mutation carriers and control subjects. For comparison, expert cardiologists classified the same data set. The best performing models were validated using an external PLN p.Arg14del mutation carrier data set from Murcia, Spain (n 5 50). We applied occlusion maps to visualize the most contributing ECG regions. RESULTSIn terms of specificity, expert cardiologists (0.99) outperformed all models (range 0.53-0.81). In terms of accuracy and sensitivity, experts (0.28 and 0.64) were outperformed by all models (sensitivity range 0.65-0.81). T-wave morphology was most important for classification of PLN p.Arg14del carriers. External validation showed comparable results, with the best model outperforming experts.CONCLUSION This study shows that machine learning can outperform experienced cardiologists in the diagnosis of PLN p.Arg14del cardiomyopathy and suggests that the shape of the T wave is of added importance to this diagnosis.
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