Summary
Background
80% of individuals with cancer will require a surgical procedure, yet little comparative data exist on early outcomes in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared postoperative outcomes in breast, colorectal, and gastric cancer surgery in hospitals worldwide, focusing on the effect of disease stage and complications on postoperative mortality.
Methods
This was a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of consecutive adult patients undergoing surgery for primary breast, colorectal, or gastric cancer requiring a skin incision done under general or neuraxial anaesthesia. The primary outcome was death or major complication within 30 days of surgery. Multilevel logistic regression determined relationships within three-level nested models of patients within hospitals and countries. Hospital-level infrastructure effects were explored with three-way mediation analyses. This study was registered with
ClinicalTrials.gov
,
NCT03471494
.
Findings
Between April 1, 2018, and Jan 31, 2019, we enrolled 15 958 patients from 428 hospitals in 82 countries (high income 9106 patients, 31 countries; upper-middle income 2721 patients, 23 countries; or lower-middle income 4131 patients, 28 countries). Patients in LMICs presented with more advanced disease compared with patients in high-income countries. 30-day mortality was higher for gastric cancer in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (adjusted odds ratio 3·72, 95% CI 1·70–8·16) and for colorectal cancer in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (4·59, 2·39–8·80) and upper-middle-income countries (2·06, 1·11–3·83). No difference in 30-day mortality was seen in breast cancer. The proportion of patients who died after a major complication was greatest in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (6·15, 3·26–11·59) and upper-middle-income countries (3·89, 2·08–7·29). Postoperative death after complications was partly explained by patient factors (60%) and partly by hospital or country (40%). The absence of consistently available postoperative care facilities was associated with seven to 10 more deaths per 100 major complications in LMICs. Cancer stage alone explained little of the early variation in mortality or postoperative complications.
Interpretation
Higher levels of mortality after cancer surgery in LMICs was not fully explained by later presentation of disease. The capacity to rescue patients from surgical complications is a tangible opportunity for meaningful intervention. Early death after cancer surgery might be reduced by policies focusing on strengthening perioperative care systems to detect and intervene in common complications.
Funding
National Institute for Health Research Global Health Research Unit.
BackgroundSurgical site infections (SSI) are an important cause of peri-surgical morbidity with risks that vary extensively between patients and surgeries. Quantifying SSI risk would help identify candidates most likely to benefit from interventions to decrease the risk of SSI.MethodsWe randomly divided all surgeries recorded in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program from 2010 into a derivation and validation population. We used multivariate logistic regression to determine the independent association of patient and surgical covariates with the risk of any SSI (including superficial, deep, and organ space SSI) within 30 days of surgery. To capture factors particular to specific surgeries, we developed a surgical risk score specific to all surgeries having a common first 3 numbers of their CPT code.ResultsDerivation (n = 181 894) and validation (n = 181 146) patients were similar for all demographics, past medical history, and surgical factors. Overall SSI risk was 3.9%. The SSI Risk Score (SSIRS) found that risk increased with patient factors (smoking, increased body mass index), certain comorbidities (peripheral vascular disease, metastatic cancer, chronic steroid use, recent sepsis), and operative characteristics (surgical urgency; increased ASA class; longer operation duration; infected wounds; general anaesthesia; performance of more than one procedure; and CPT score). In the validation population, the SSIRS had good discrimination (c-statistic 0.800, 95% CI 0.795–0.805) and calibration.ConclusionSSIRS can be calculated using patient and surgery information to estimate individual risk of SSI for a broad range of surgery types.
Overall, SBSL during ascent and SBST during descent had the highest loads. These results increase our understanding of alternative stepping patterns and have important clinical (reduction of loading on injured/diseased leg) and rehabilitation implications.
Calsequestrin and collagen XIII antibodies are the most specific to TAO, whereas antibodies against G2s, and to a lesser extent Fp, are also markers of ophthalmopathy, but less reliable. These results are unique in that it is the first time the significance of a panel of three candidate eye muscle antibodies and a connective tissue antibody have been evaluated in the same patients with ophthalmopathy.
SummaryWe have identified several eye muscle antigens and studied the significance of the corresponding serum autoantibodies in patients with Graves' disease. Of these antigens, only calsequestrin is expressed more in eye muscle than other skeletal muscles, which could explain at least partly the specific involvement of eye muscle in patients with Graves' disease. Earlier, we found a modest relationship between anti-calsequestrin antibodies and ophthalmopathy, but in that study we used calsequestrin prepared from rabbit heart muscle and measured antibodies by immunoblotting. We have reinvestigated the prevalences of anti-calsequestrin antibodies in larger groups of well-characterized patients with thyroid autoimmunity with and without ophthalmopathy and control patients and healthy subjects, using standard enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay incorporating highly purified rabbit skeletal muscle calsequestrin, which has a 97% homology with human calsequestrin, as antigen. Anticalsequestrin antibodies were detected in 78% of patients with active congestive ophthalmopathy, in 92% of those with active inflammation and eye muscle involvement, but in only 22% of patients with chronic, 'burnt out' disease. Tests were also positive in 5% of patients with Graves' hyperthyroidism without evident ophthalmopathy (two patients) and one patient with 'watery eyes' but no other clear signs of congestive ophthalmopathy and IgA nephropathy and no known thyroid disease, but in no patient with Hashimoto's thyroiditis, toxic nodular goitre, non-toxic multi-nodular goitre or diabetes, or age-and sex-matched healthy subjects. In serial studies of all 11 patients with Graves' hyperthyroidism who had active ophthalmopathy at the time of the first clinic visit, or developed eye signs during the first 6 months, and positive anti-calsequestrin antibodies in at least one sample, anti-calsequestrin antibodies correlated with the onset of ocular myopathy in six patients. Antibodies targeting calsequestrin appear to be specific markers for ophthalmopathy and sensitive indicators of the ocular myopathy subtype of ophthalmopathy in patients with thyroid autoimmunity. However, these results must be considered preliminary until a large prospective study of patients with newly diagnosed Graves' hyperthyroidism, in which serum levels of calsequestrin antibodies are correlated with clinical changes and orbital eye muscle and connective tissue/fat volumes, has been carried out.
Improved post-operative education for surgical patients prior to discharge within iERAS is required to facilitate patient-centered discharge planning. Such interventions may help decrease unplanned hospital visits during the immediate post-discharge period.
These findings support the notion that autoimmune attack against calsequestrin and collagen XIII in the levator palpebrae superioris (LPS) muscle may play a role in the pathogenesis of upper eyelid retraction and that lid retraction may be the dominant feature of ophthalmopathy in patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis and non-autoimmune thyroid disease. Because calsequestrin is an intracellular protein, the corresponding autoantibodies probably do not initiate LPS muscle inflammation but may contribute to its damage. The mix of antibodies against calsequestrin and collagen XIII may shed light on the diverse presentations found in thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy.
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