The world's tropical reef ecosystems, and the people who depend on them, are increasingly 60 impacted by climate change [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] Reef, as well as the potential influence of water quality and fishing pressure on the severity of 71 bleaching. 72The geographic footprints of mass bleaching of corals on the Great Barrier Reef have varied 73 strikingly during three major events in 1998 , 2002 and 2016). In 1998, bleaching was 74 primarily coastal and most severe in the central and southern regions. In 2002, bleaching was 75 more widespread, and affected offshore reefs in the central region that had escaped in 1998 8 . 76In 2016, bleaching was even more extensive and much more severe, especially in the 77 northern, and to a lesser extent the central regions, where many coastal, mid-shelf and 78 offshore reefs were affected (Fig. 1a, b). In 2016, the proportion of reefs experiencing 79 extreme bleaching (>60% of corals bleached) was over four times higher compared to 1998 80 or 2002 (Fig. 1f) The severity and distinctive geographic footprints of bleaching in each of the three 88 years can be explained by differences in the magnitude and spatial distribution of sea-surface 89 temperature anomalies (Fig. 1a, b 102The geographic pattern of bleaching also demonstrates how marine heatwaves can be (Fig. 2a) (Fig. 1g). largely escaped bleaching in the two earlier events (Fig. 1a). Thirty-five percent of the reefs (Fig. 1b, e). We conclude that the overlap of disparate geographic bleaching at the scale of both individual reefs and the entire Great Barrier Reef (Fig. 1a, b). 134We found a similar strong relationship between the amount of bleaching measured 135 underwater, and the satellite-based estimates of heat exposure on individual reefs (Fig. 3). 136Low levels of bleaching was observed at some locations when DHW values were only 2-3 137 o C-weeks. Typically, 30-40% of corals bleached on reefs exposed to 4 o C-weeks, whereas an 138 average of 70-90% of corals bleached on reefs that experience 8 o C-weeks or more (Fig. 3). 139Resistance and adaptation to bleaching 140 Once we account for the amount of heat stress experienced on each reef, adding 141 chlorophyll-a, a proxy for water quality, to our statistical model yielded no support for the 142 hypothesis that good water quality confers resistance to bleaching 13 . Rather, the estimated 143 effect of chlorophyll-a was to significantly reduce the DHW threshold for bleaching 144 (Extended Data Table 1). However, despite the statistical significance, the effect in real terms 145 beyond heat stress alone is very small (Extended Data Fig. 1). Similarly, we found no effect 146 of the level of protection (in fished or protected zones) on bleaching (P > 0.1: Extended Data 147 Table 1). These results are consistent with the broad-scale pattern of severe bleaching in the 148 northern Great Barrier Reef, which affected hundreds of reefs across inshore-offshore 149 gradients in water quality, and regardless of their zoning (protection) status (Fig. 1a, b). 150Simila...

The ability of coral reefs to survive the projected increases in temperature due to global warming will depend largely on the ability of corals to adapt or acclimatize to increased temperature extremes over the next few decades. Many coral species are highly sensitive to temperature stress and the number of stress (bleaching) episodes has increased in recent decades. We investigated the acclimatization potential of Acropora millepora, a common and widespread Indo-Pacific hard coral species, through transplantation and experimental manipulation. We show that adult corals, at least in some circumstances, are capable of acquiring increased thermal tolerance and that the increased tolerance is a direct result of a change in the symbiont type dominating their tissues from Symbiodinium type C to D. Our data suggest that the change in symbiont type in our experiment was due to a shuffling of existing types already present in coral tissues, not through exogenous uptake from the environment. The level of increased tolerance gained by the corals changing their dominant symbiont type to D (the most thermally resistant type known) is around 1-1.5 8C. This is the first study to show that thermal acclimatization is causally related to symbiont type and provides new insight into the ecological advantage of corals harbouring mixed algal populations. While this increase is of huge ecological significance for many coral species, in the absence of other mechanisms of thermal acclimatization/adaptation, it may not be sufficient to survive climate change under predicted sea surface temperature scenarios over the next 100 years. However, it may be enough to 'buy time' while greenhouse reduction measures are put in place.

The symbiosis between reef-building corals and their algal endosymbionts (zooxanthellae of the genus Symbiodinium) is highly sensitive to temperature stress, which makes coral reefs vulnerable to climate change. Thermal tolerance in corals is known to be substantially linked to the type of zooxanthellae they harbour and, when multiple types are present, the relative abundance of types can be experimentally manipulated to increase the thermal limits of individual corals. Although the potential exists for this to translate into substantial thermal acclimatization of coral communities, to date there is no evidence to show that this takes place under natural conditions. In this study, we show field evidence of a dramatic change in the symbiont community of Acropora millepora, a common and widespread Indo-Pacific hard coral species, after a natural bleaching event in early 2006 in the Keppel Islands (Great Barrier Reef ). Before bleaching, 93.5% (nZ460) of the randomly sampled and tagged colonies predominantly harboured the thermally sensitive Symbiodinium type C2, while the remainder harboured a tolerant Symbiodinium type belonging to clade D or mixtures of C2 and D. After bleaching, 71% of the surviving tagged colonies that were initially C2 predominant changed to D or C1 predominance. Colonies that were originally C2 predominant suffered high mortality (37%) compared with D-predominant colonies (8%). We estimate that just over 18% of the original A. millepora population survived unchanged leaving 29% of the population C2 and 71% D or C1 predominant six months after the bleaching event. This change in the symbiont community structure, while it persists, is likely to have substantially increased the thermal tolerance of this coral population. Understanding the processes that underpin the temporal changes in symbiont communities is key to assessing the acclimatization potential of reef corals.

No abstract

BackgroundCoral reefs around the world are experiencing large-scale degradation, largely due to global climate change, overfishing, diseases and eutrophication. Climate change models suggest increasing frequency and severity of warming-induced coral bleaching events, with consequent increases in coral mortality and algal overgrowth. Critically, the recovery of damaged reefs will depend on the reversibility of seaweed blooms, generally considered to depend on grazing of the seaweed, and replenishment of corals by larvae that successfully recruit to damaged reefs. These processes usually take years to decades to bring a reef back to coral dominance.Methodology/Principal FindingsIn 2006, mass bleaching of corals on inshore reefs of the Great Barrier Reef caused high coral mortality. Here we show that this coral mortality was followed by an unprecedented bloom of a single species of unpalatable seaweed (Lobophora variegata), colonizing dead coral skeletons, but that corals on these reefs recovered dramatically, in less than a year. Unexpectedly, this rapid reversal did not involve reestablishment of corals by recruitment of coral larvae, as often assumed, but depended on several ecological mechanisms previously underestimated.Conclusions/SignificanceThese mechanisms of ecological recovery included rapid regeneration rates of remnant coral tissue, very high competitive ability of the corals allowing them to out-compete the seaweed, a natural seasonal decline in the particular species of dominant seaweed, and an effective marine protected area system. Our study provides a key example of the doom and boom of a highly resilient reef, and new insights into the variability and mechanisms of reef resilience under rapid climate change.

One of the principle ways in which reef building corals are likely to cope with a warmer climate is by changing to more thermally tolerant endosymbiotic algae (zooxanthellae) genotypes. It is highly likely that hosting a more heat-tolerant algal genotype will be accompanied by tradeoffs in the physiology of the coral. To better understand one of these tradeoffs, growth was investigated in the Indo-Pacific reef-building coral Acropora millepora in both the laboratory and the field. In the Keppel Islands in the southern Great Barrier Reef this species naturally harbors nrDNA ITS1 thermally sensitive type C2 or thermally tolerant type D zooxanthellae of the genus Symbiodinium and can change dominant type following bleaching. We show that under controlled conditions, corals with type D symbionts grow 29% slower than those with type C2 symbionts. In the field, type D colonies grew 38% slower than C2 colonies. These results demonstrate the magnitude of trade-offs likely to be experienced by this species as they acclimatize to warmer conditions by changing to more thermally tolerant type D zooxanthellae. Irrespective of symbiont genotype, corals were affected to an even greater degree by the stress of a bleaching event which reduced growth by more than 50% for up to 18 months compared to pre-bleaching rates. The processes of symbiont change and acute thermal stress are likely to act in concert on coral growth as reefs acclimatize to more stressful warmer conditions, further compromising their regeneration capacity following climate change.

BackgroundReef-building corals live in symbiosis with a diverse range of dinoflagellate algae (genus Symbiodinium) that differentially influence the fitness of the coral holobiont. The comparative role of symbiont type in holobiont fitness in relation to host genotype or the environment, however, is largely unknown. We addressed this knowledge gap by manipulating host-symbiont combinations and comparing growth, survival and thermal tolerance among the resultant holobionts in different environments.Methodology/Principal FindingsOffspring of the coral, Acropora millepora, from two thermally contrasting locations, were experimentally infected with one of six Symbiodinium types, which spanned three phylogenetic clades (A, C and D), and then outplanted to the two parental field locations (central and southern inshore Great Barrier Reef, Australia). Growth and survival of juvenile corals were monitored for 31–35 weeks, after which their thermo-tolerance was experimentally assessed. Our results showed that: (1) Symbiodinium type was the most important predictor of holobiont fitness, as measured by growth, survival, and thermo-tolerance; (2) growth and survival, but not heat-tolerance, were also affected by local environmental conditions; and (3) host population had little to no effect on holobiont fitness. Furthermore, coral-algal associations were established with symbiont types belonging to clades A, C and D, but three out of four symbiont types belonging to clade C failed to establish a symbiosis. Associations with clade A had the lowest fitness and were unstable in the field. Lastly, Symbiodinium types C1 and D were found to be relatively thermo-tolerant, with type D conferring the highest tolerance in A. millepora.Conclusions/SignificanceThese results highlight the complex interactions that occur between the coral host, the algal symbiont, and the environment to shape the fitness of the coral holobiont. An improved understanding of the factors affecting coral holobiont fitness will assist in predicting the responses of corals to global climate change.

Knowledge of the critical levels for key environmental variables that are likely to cause bleaching in reef corals is of fundamental importance in conducting risk assessments of potential climate-change effects on coral reefs. Such knowledge can also be used to provide early warning of mass bleaching events. A number of factors have contributed to the difficulty in determining critical levels for coral bleaching. These factors include the fact that multiple stressors may be involved in bleaching, the duration of stress required to elicit a bleaching response varies with temperature, and bleaching triggers are known to be variable in space, time and by species. In this study, I identify sea surface temperature (SST) as the most important parameter for predicting coral bleaching from 4 possible environmental variables collected over 10 to 12 yr from weather stations at 2 locations on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR): temperature, wind speed, solar radiation and barometric pressure. Predicted bleaching-response curves are constructed from high-resolution in situ temperature records and historical observations of coral bleaching for 13 locations. These curves approximate reef-wide stress-response thresholds for bleaching of thermally sensitive (and often dominant) coral species. Distinct spatial trends exist in the thermal sensitivity of coral populations that correspond with position across the shelf and latitude in the case of mid-and outer-shelf reefs. This suggests that considerable thermal adaptation has taken place over small (10s of km) and large (100s to 1000s of km) spatial scales. Bleaching curves for inshore reefs do not correspond with latitude and are more variable, reflecting greater local-scale variability in temperature regimes.