Purpose -This article analyzes fundamental indexation in Brazil relative to the IBrX 100 and selected stock funds in the period between June 2003 and May 2015. This strategy relies on weights based on fundamental indicators and not on market prices.Design/methodology/approach -Fundamental indices built with the IBrX 100 stocks were weighted according to fundamental indicators. The fundamental weighting method sets the weight of each stock as proportional to a previously determined fundament value. This article also considers an ordinal weighting.Findings -The results indicate that fundamental indices do not display positive and statistically significant returns and alphas after adjusting a five risk factor model and transaction costs. The ordinal weighting suggests that fundamental indicator outliers do not drive results. The evidence also suggests that fundamental indices might perform better in bear markets.Originality/value -In general, fundamental indices behave like value stocks and do not present abnormal returns. This is consistent with the absence of fundamental index products in the Brazilian market.Keywords -active portfolio management, passive portfolio management, fundamental indexation, stock funds.
This paper analyzes whether some macroeconomic factors (country risk, IBrX volatility and Interbank Certificate of Deposit) are related to mutual fund flows for the period between January 2005 and August 2014. In order to investigate whether the flow series behaved differently during this period, the Chow test was conducted for September 2008 (the month in which the Lehman Brothers investment bank collapsed). The regressions were performed and the parameters were estimated through the OLS
Objective: To verify abnormal risk-adjusted returns in Brazilian stock portfolios formed according to the F-Score that indicates the presence of good fundamentals.
Method: The sample has 146 companies per year on average, includes the period of adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) from July 2008 to June 2018 and uses equally weighted portfolios formed at the end of June of each year with information from the previous year.
Results: The high F-Score portfolio showed greater average returns, lower beta, and a positive and significant alpha that disappeared in the sub-period initiating after the full adoption of IFRS. Significant coefficients for the small capitalization risk premium and egalitarian weighting suggest that large companies do not dominate its performance. High and low F-Score portfolios cannot be characterized as value stocks. The low F-Score portfolio displayed a negative and significant coefficient for the moment factor, suggesting persistence of negative returns.
Contributions: Portfolios with high F-Score may have less chance of catastrophic returns. The technique can be employed by less sophisticated investors to build defensive portfolios of companies with good fundamentals.
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