Molecular mechanisms driving disease course and response to therapy in ulcerative colitis (UC) are not well understood. Here, we use RNAseq to define pre-treatment rectal gene expression, and fecal microbiota profiles, in 206 pediatric UC patients receiving standardised therapy. We validate our key findings in adult and paediatric UC cohorts of 408 participants. We observe a marked suppression of mitochondrial genes and function across cohorts in active UC, and that increasing disease severity is notable for enrichment of adenoma/adenocarcinoma and innate immune genes. A subset of severity genes improves prediction of corticosteroid-induced remission in the discovery cohort; this gene signature is also associated with response to anti-TNFα and anti-α4β7 integrin in adults. The severity and therapeutic response gene signatures were in turn associated with shifts in microbes previously implicated in mucosal homeostasis. Our data provide insights into UC pathogenesis, and may prioritise future therapies for nonresponders to current approaches.

Summary Evaluating progression risk and determining optimal therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC) is challenging as many patients exhibit incomplete responses to treatment. As part of the PROTECT (Predicting Response to Standardized Colitis Therapy) Study, we evaluated the role of the gut microbiome in disease course for 405 pediatric, new-onset, treatment-naive UC patients. Patients were monitored for one year upon treatment initiation, and microbial taxonomic composition was analyzed from fecal samples and rectal biopsies. Depletion of core gut microbes and expansion of bacteria typical of the oral cavity were associated with baseline disease severity. Remission and refractory disease were linked to species-specific temporal changes that may be implicative of therapy efficacy, and a pronounced increase in microbiome variability was observed prior to colectomy. Finally, microbial associations with disease-associated serological markers suggest host-microbial interactions in UC. These insights will help improve existing treatments and develop therapeutic approaches guiding optimal medical care.

Fecal lactoferrin is sensitive and specific for detecting inflammation in chronic IBD. This noninvasive test may prove useful in screening for inflammation in patients presenting with abdominal pain and diarrhea.

Background-The lack of evidence-based outcomes data leads to uncertainty in developing treatment regimens in children newly diagnosed with Ulcerative Colitis (UC). We hypothesized that pre-treatment clinical, transcriptomic, and microbial factors predict disease course. Methods-We performed an inception cohort study of 428 paediatric UC patients receiving standardised mesalazine or corticosteroids (CS), with pre-established criteria for escalation to thiopurines or anti-TNFα. RNA sequencing (n=206) defined pre-treatment rectal gene expression. 16S sequencing (n=343) characterized rectal/fecal microbiota. The primary outcome was Week 52 CS-free remission (SFR) with no therapy beyond mesalazine. Findings-Week 52 SFR was achieved in 150/400 (38%) participants; 74/400 (19%) received thiopurines alone, 12¾00 (31%) received anti-TNFα, and 25/400 (6%) colectomy. Lower baseline clinical severity, higher baseline hemoglobin, and Week 4 clinical remission were associated with achieving Week 52 SFR (logistic model AUC:0.70 (95% CI 0.65-0.75), specificity 77% (CI 71-82), n=386). Baseline severity and week 4 remission were validated inan independent cohort of 274 participants. An antimicrobial peptide gene signature (OR:0.6, p=0.002) and Ruminococcaceae (OR:1.4, p=0.04) and Sutterella (OR: 0.8, p=0.05) abundance were independently associated with SFR after adjusting for the clinical predictors. Amongst moderateto-severe patients, escalation to anti-TNFα was associated with increased baseline clinical severity and decreased hemoglobin, serum 25 (OH) D, and rectal eosinophils (logistic model AUC:0.78 (95% CI 0.72-0.84), specificity 85% (CI 78-93), n=232). A rectal transportgene signature (OR: 0.3, p=0.0006) and Oscillospira abundance (OR:0.6, p=0.02) were independently associated with escalation to anti-TNFα after adjusting for the clinical predictors. Interpretation-Our findings support the utility of using initial clinical activity and treatment response by 4 weeks to predict Week 52 CS-free remission with mesalazine alone in children newly diagnosed with UC. The development of personalized clinical and biological signatures holds the promise of informing UC therapeutic decisions.