Supervised classification is one of the tasks most frequently carried out by socalled Intelligent Systems. Thus, a large number of techniques have been developed based on Artificial Intelligence (Logic-based techniques, Perceptron-based techniques) and Statistics (Bayesian Networks, Instance-based techniques). The goal of supervised learning is to build a concise model of the distribution of class labels in terms of predictor features. The resulting classifier is then used to assign class labels to the testing instances where the values of the predictor features are known, but the value of the class label is unknown. This paper describes various classification algorithms and the recent attempt for improving classification accuracy-ensembles of classifiers.
The ability to predict a student's performance could be useful in a great number of different ways associated with university-level distance learning. Students' key demographic characteristics and their marks on a few written assignments can constitute the training set for a supervised machine learning algorithm. The learning algorithm could then be able to predict the performance of new students, thus becoming a useful tool for identifying predicted poor performers. The scope of this work is to compare some of the state of the art learning algorithms. Two experiments have been conducted with six algorithms, which were trained using data sets provided by the Hellenic Open University. Among other significant conclusions, it was found that the Naïve Bayes algorithm is the most appropriate to be used for the construction of a software support tool, has more than satisfactory accuracy, its overall sensitivity is extremely satisfactory, and is the easiest algorithm to implement.Computers do not learn as well as people do, but many machine-learning algorithms have been found that are effective for some types of learning tasks. They are especially useful in poorly understood domains where humans might not have the knowledge needed to develop effective knowledge-engineering algorithms. Generally, machine learning (ML) explores
Educational data mining constitutes a recent research field which gained popularity over the last decade because of its ability to monitor students' academic performance and predict future progression. Numerous machine learning techniques and especially supervised learning algorithms have been applied to develop accurate models to predict student's characteristics which induce their behavior and performance. In this work, we examine and evaluate the effectiveness of two wrapper methods for semisupervised learning algorithms for predicting the students' performance in the final examinations. Our preliminary numerical experiments indicate that the advantage of semisupervised methods is that the classification accuracy can be significantly improved by utilizing a few labeled and many unlabeled data for developing reliable prediction models.
Machine learning has emerged as a key factor in many technological and scientific advances and applications. Much research has been devoted to developing high performance machine learning models, which are able to make very accurate predictions and decisions on a wide range of applications. Nevertheless, we still seek to understand and explain how these models work and make decisions. Explainability and interpretability in machine learning is a significant issue, since in most of real-world problems it is considered essential to understand and explain the model's prediction mechanism in order to trust it and make decisions on critical issues. In this study, we developed a Grey-Box model based on semi-supervised methodology utilizing a self-training framework. The main objective of this work is the development of a both interpretable and accurate machine learning model, although this is a complex and challenging task. The proposed model was evaluated on a variety of real world datasets from the crucial application domains of education, finance and medicine. Our results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed model performing comparable to a Black-Box and considerably outperforming single White-Box models, while at the same time remains as interpretable as a White-Box model.
Nowadays, cryptocurrency has infiltrated almost all financial transactions; thus, it is generally recognized as an alternative method for paying and exchanging currency. Cryptocurrency trade constitutes a constantly increasing financial market and a promising type of profitable investment; however, it is characterized by high volatility and strong fluctuations of prices over time. Therefore, the development of an intelligent forecasting model is considered essential for portfolio optimization and decision making. The main contribution of this research is the combination of three of the most widely employed ensemble learning strategies: ensemble-averaging, bagging and stacking with advanced deep learning models for forecasting major cryptocurrency hourly prices. The proposed ensemble models were evaluated utilizing state-of-the-art deep learning models as component learners, which were comprised by combinations of long short-term memory (LSTM), Bi-directional LSTM and convolutional layers. The ensemble models were evaluated on prediction of the cryptocurrency price on the following hour (regression) and also on the prediction if the price on the following hour will increase or decrease with respect to the current price (classification). Additionally, the reliability of each forecasting model and the efficiency of its predictions is evaluated by examining for autocorrelation of the errors. Our detailed experimental analysis indicates that ensemble learning and deep learning can be efficiently beneficial to each other, for developing strong, stable, and reliable forecasting models.
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