Purpose To analyze baseline CT/MR-based image features of salivary glands to predict radiation-induced xerostomia 3-months after head-and-neck cancer (HNC) radiotherapy. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on 266 HNC patients who were treated using radiotherapy at our institution between 2009 and 2018. CT and T1 post-contrast MR images along with NCI-CTCAE xerostomia grade (3-month follow-up) were prospectively collected at our institution. CT and MR images were registered on which parotid/submandibular glands were contoured. Image features were extracted for ipsilateral/contralateral parotid and submandibular glands relative to the location of the primary tumor. Dose-volume-histogram (DVH) parameters were also acquired. Features were pre-selected based on Spearman correlation before modelling by examining the correlation with xerostomia ( p < 0.05). A shrinkage regression analysis of the pre-selected features was performed using LASSO. The internal validity of the variable selection was estimated by repeating the entire variable selection procedure using a leave-one-out-cross-validation. The most frequently selected variables were considered in the final model. A generalized linear regression with repeated ten-fold cross-validation was developed to predict radiation-induced xerostomia at 3-months after radiotherapy. This model was tested in an independent dataset ( n = 50) of patients who were treated at the same institution in 2017–2018. We compared the prediction performances under eight conditions (DVH-only, CT-only, MR-only, CT + MR, DVH + CT, DVH + CT + MR, Clinical+CT + MR, and Clinical+DVH + CT + MR) using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC). Results Among extracted features, 7 CT, 5 MR, and 2 DVH features were selected. The internal cohort ( n = 216) ROC-AUC values for DVH, CT, MR, and Clinical+DVH + CT + MR features were 0.73 ± 0.01, 0.69 ± 0.01, 0.70 ± 0.01, and 0.79 ± 0.01, respectively. The validation cohort ( n = 50) ROC-AUC values for DVH, CT, MR, and Clinical+DVH + CT + MR features were 0.63, 0.57, 0.66, and 0.68, respectively. The DVH-ROC was not significantly different than the CT-ROC ( p = 0.8) or MR-ROC ( p = 0.4). However, the CT + MR-ROC was significantly different than the CT-ROC ( p = 0.03), but not the Clinical+DVH + CT + MR model ( p = 0.5). Conclusion Our results suggest that baseline CT and MR image features may reflect baseline salivary gland function and potential risk for radiation injury. The integration of baseline image features into prediction models has the potential to improve xerostomia risk stratification with the ultimate goal of truly personalized HNC radiotherapy. Electronic supplementary material ...

Purpose Patients with head-and-neck cancer (HNC) may experience xerostomia after radiation therapy (RT), which leads to compromised quality of life. The purpose of this study is to explore how the spatial pattern of radiation dose (radiomorphology) in the major salivary glands influences xerostomia in patients with HNC. Methods and materials A data-driven approach using spatially explicit dosimetric predictors, voxel dose (ie, actual radiation dose in voxels in parotid glands [PG] and submandibular glands [SMG]) was used to predict whether patients would develop xerostomia 3 months after RT. Using planned radiation dose data and other nondose covariates including baseline xerostomia grade of 427 patients with HNC in our database, the machine learning methods were used to investigate the influence of dose patterns across subvolumes in PG and SMG on xerostomia. Results Of the 3 supervised learning methods studied, ridge logistic regression yielded the best predictive performance. Ridge logistic regression was also preferred to evaluate the influence pattern of highly correlated dose on xerostomia, which showed a discriminative pattern of influence of doses in the PG and SMG on xerostomia. Moreover, the superior–anterior portion of the contralateral PG and medial portion of the ipsilateral PG were determined to be the most influential regions regarding dose effect on xerostomia. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve from a 10-fold cross-validation was 0.70 ± 0.04. Conclusions Radiomorphology, combined with machine learning methods, is able to suggest patterns of dose in PG and SMG that are the most influential on xerostomia. The influence pattern identified by this data-driven approach and machine learning methods may help improve RT treatment planning and reduce xerostomia after treatment.

Xerostomia is a common consequence of radiotherapy in head and neck cancer. The objective was to compare the regional radiation dose distribution in patients that developed xerostomia within 6 months of radiotherapy and those recovered from xerostomia within 18 months post-radiotherapy. We developed a feature generation pipeline to extract dose volume histogram features from geometrically defined ipsilateral/contralateral parotid glands, submandibular glands, and oral cavity surrogates for each patient. Permutation tests with multiple comparisons were performed to assess the dose difference between injury vs. non-injury and recovery vs. non-recovery. Ridge logistic regression models were applied to predict injury and recovery using clinical features along with dose features (D10-D90) of the subvolumes extracted from oral cavity and salivary gland contours + 3 mm peripheral shell. Model performances were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) using nested cross-validation. We found that different regional dose/volume metrics patterns exist for injury vs. recovery. Compared to injury, recovery has increased importance to the subvolumes receiving lower dose. Within the subvolumes, injury tends to have increased importance towards D10 from D90. This suggests that different threshold for xerostomia injury and recovery. Injury is induced by the subvolumes receiving higher dose, and the ability to recover can be preserved by further reducing the dose to subvolumes receiving lower dose.

NA. Laryngoscope, 127:2495-2500, 2017.

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Radiation-induced xerostomia is one of the most prevalent symptoms during and after head and neck cancer radiation therapy (RT). We aimed to discover the spatial radiation dose-based (voxel dose) importance pattern in the major salivary glands in relation to the recovery of xerostomia 18 months after RT, and to compare the recovery voxel dose importance pattern to the acute incidence (injury) pattern. Methods and Materials: This study included all patients within our database with xerostomia outcomes after completion of curative intensity modulated RT. Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events xerostomia grade was used to define recovered versus nonrecovered group at baseline, between end of treatment and 18 months post-RT, and beyond 18 months, respectively. Ridge logistic regression was performed to predict the probability of xerostomia recovery. Voxel doses within geometrically defined parotid glands (PG) and submandibular glands (SMG), demographic characteristics, and clinical factors were included in the algorithm. We plotted the normalized learned weights on the 3-dimensional PG and SMG structures to visualize the voxel dose importance for predicting xerostomia recovery. Results: A total of 146 head and neck cancer patients from 2008 to 2016 were identified. The superior region of the ipsilateral and contralateral PG was the most influencial for xerostomia recovery. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation for ridge logistic regression was 0.68 AE 0.07. Compared with injury, the recovery voxel dose importance pattern was more symmetrical and was influenced by lower dose voxels. Conclusions: The superior portion of the 2 PGs (low dose region) are the most influential on xerostomia recovery and seem to be equal in their contribution. The dissimilarity of the influence pattern between injury and recovery suggests different underlying

PURPOSE Early identification of patients who may be at high risk of significant weight loss (SWL) is important for timely clinical intervention in lung cancer radiotherapy (RT). A clinical decision support system (CDSS) for SWL prediction was implemented within the routine clinical workflow and assessed on a prospective cohort of patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS CDSS incorporated a machine learning prediction model on the basis of radiomics and dosiomics image features and was connected to a web-based dashboard for streamlined patient enrollment, feature extraction, SWL prediction, and physicians' evaluation processes. Patients with lung cancer (N = 37) treated with definitive RT without prior RT were prospectively enrolled in the study. Radiomics and dosiomics features were extracted from CT and 3D dose volume, and SWL probability (≥ 0.5 considered as SWL) was predicted. Two physicians predicted whether the patient would have SWL before and after reviewing the CDSS prediction. The physician's prediction performance without and with CDSS and prediction changes before and after using CDSS were compared. RESULTS CDSS showed significantly better prediction accuracy than physicians (0.73 v 0.54) with higher specificity (0.81 v 0.50) but with lower sensitivity (0.55 v 0.64). Physicians changed their original prediction after reviewing CDSS prediction for four cases (three correctly and one incorrectly), for all of which CDSS prediction was correct. Physicians' prediction was improved with CDSS in accuracy (0.54-0.59), sensitivity (0.64-0.73), specificity (0.50-0.54), positive predictive value (0.35-0.40), and negative predictive value (0.76-0.82). CONCLUSION Machine learning–based CDSS showed the potential to improve SWL prediction in lung cancer RT. More investigation on a larger patient cohort is needed to properly interpret CDSS prediction performance and its benefit in clinical decision making.

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