The use of whole-genome phylogenetic analysis has revolutionized our understanding of the evolution and spread of many important bacterial pathogens due to the high resolution view it provides. However, the majority of such analyses do not consider the potential role of accessory genes when inferring evolutionary trajectories. Moreover, the recently discovered importance of the switching of gene regulatory elements suggests that an exhaustive analysis, combining information from core and accessory genes with regulatory elements could provide unparalleled detail of the evolution of a bacterial population. Here we demonstrate this principle by applying it to a worldwide multi-host sample of the important pathogenic E. coli lineage ST131. Our approach reveals the existence of multiple circulating subtypes of the major drug–resistant clade of ST131 and provides the first ever population level evidence of core genome substitutions in gene regulatory regions associated with the acquisition and maintenance of different accessory genome elements.
Large-scale mining and analysis of bacterial datasets contribute to the comprehensive characterization of complex microbial dynamics within a microbiome and among different bacterial strains, e.g., during disease outbreaks. The study of large-scale bacterial evolutionary dynamics poses many challenges. These include data-mining steps, such as gene annotation, ortholog detection, sequence alignment and phylogeny reconstruction. These steps require the use of multiple bioinformatics tools and ad-hoc programming scripts, making the entire process cumbersome, tedious and error-prone due to manual handling. This motivated us to develop the M1CR0B1AL1Z3R web server, a ‘one-stop shop’ for conducting microbial genomics data analyses via a simple graphical user interface. Some of the features implemented in M1CR0B1AL1Z3R are: (i) extracting putative open reading frames and comparative genomics analysis of gene content; (ii) extracting orthologous sets and analyzing their size distribution; (iii) analyzing gene presence–absence patterns; (iv) reconstructing a phylogenetic tree based on the extracted orthologous set; (v) inferring GC-content variation among lineages. M1CR0B1AL1Z3R facilitates the mining and analysis of dozens of bacterial genomes using advanced techniques, with the click of a button. M1CR0B1AL1Z3R is freely available at https://microbializer.tau.ac.il/.
The rapid spread of SARS‐CoV‐2 and its threat to health systems worldwide have led governments to take acute actions to enforce social distancing. Previous studies used complex epidemiological models to quantify the effect of lockdown policies on infection rates. However, these rely on prior assumptions or on official regulations. Here, we use country‐specific reports of daily mobility from people cellular usage to model social distancing. Our data‐driven model enabled the extraction of lockdown characteristics which were crossed with observed mortality rates to show that: (i) the time at which social distancing was initiated is highly correlated with the number of deaths, r2 = 0.64, while the lockdown strictness or its duration is not as informative; (ii) a delay of 7.49 days in initiating social distancing would double the number of deaths; and (iii) the immediate response has a prolonged effect on COVID‐19 death toll.
Insertions and deletions (indels) are common molecular evolutionary events. However, probabilistic models for indel evolution are under-developed due to their computational complexity. Here we introduce several improvements to indel modeling: (1) While previous models for indel evolution assumed that the rates and length distributions of insertions and deletions are equal, here we propose a richer model that explicitly distinguishes between the two; (2) We introduce numerous summary statistics that allow Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) based parameter estimation; (3) We develop a method to correct for biases introduced by alignment programs, when inferring indel parameters from empirical datasets; (4) Using a model-selection scheme we test whether the richer model better fits biological data compared to the simpler model. Our analyses suggest that both our inference scheme and the model-selection procedure achieve high accuracy on simulated data. We further demonstrate that our proposed richer model better fits a large number of empirical datasets and that, for the majority of these datasets, the deletion rate is higher than the insertion rate.
Motivation Type-III secretion systems are utilized by many Gram-negative bacteria to inject type 3 effectors (T3Es) to eukaryotic cells. These effectors manipulate host processes for the benefit of the bacteria and thus promote disease. They can also function as host-specificity determinants through their recognition as avirulence proteins that elicit immune response. Identifying the full effector repertoire within a set of bacterial genomes is of great importance to develop appropriate treatments against the associated pathogens. Results We present Effectidor, a user-friendly web server that harnesses several machine-learning techniques to predict T3Es within bacterial genomes. We compared the performance of Effectidor to other available tools for the same task on three pathogenic bacteria. Effectidor outperformed these tools in terms of classification accuracy (AUPRC above 0.98 in all cases). Availability Effectidor is available at: https://effectidor.tau.ac.il, and the source code is available at: https://github.com/naamawagner/Effectidor. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
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