The uncertainty caused by the discontinuous nature of wind energy affects the power grid. Hence, forecasting the behavior of this renewable resource is important for energy managers and electricity traders to overcome the risk of unpredictability and to provide reliability for the grid. The objective of this paper is to employ and compare the potential of various artificial neural network structures of multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function for prediction of the wind velocity time series in Tehran, Iran. Structure analysis and performance evaluations of the established networks indicate that the MLP network with a 4-7-13-1 architecture is superior to others. The best networks were deployed to unseen data and were capable of predicting the velocity time series via using the sliding window technique successfully. Applying the statistical indices with the predicted and the actual test data resulted in acceptable RMSE, MSE and R 2 values with 1.19, 1.43 and 0.85, respectively, for the best network.
In this article, two techniques that are congruous with the principle of control theory are utilized to estimate the state of health (SOH) of real-life plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) accurately, which is of vital importance to battery management systems. The relation between the battery terminal voltage curve properties and the battery state of health is modelled via an adaptive neuron-fuzzy inference system and a group method of data handling. The comparison of the results demonstrates the capability of the proposed techniques for accurate SOH estimation. Moreover, the estimated results are compared with the direct actual measured SOH indicators using standard tests. The results indicate that the adaptive neuron-fuzzy inference system with fifteen rules based on a SOH estimator has better performances over the other technique, with a 1.5% maximum error in comparison to the experimental data.
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