Purpose Prognostic indices such as the Brain Metastasis Graded Prognostic Assessment have been used in clinical settings to aid physicians and patients in determining an appropriate treatment regimen. These indices are derivative of traditional survival analysis techniques such as Cox proportional hazards (CPH) and recursive partitioning analysis (RPA). Previous studies have shown that by evaluating CPH risk with a nonlinear deep neural network, DeepSurv, patient survival can be modeled more accurately. In this work, we apply DeepSurv to a test case: breast cancer patients with brain metastases who have received stereotactic radiosurgery. Methods Survival times, censorship status, and 27 covariates including age, staging information, and hormone receptor status were provided for 1673 patients by the NCDB. Monte Carlo cross‐validation with 50 samples of 1400 patients was used to train and validate the DeepSurv, CPH, and RPA models independently. DeepSurv was implemented with L2 regularization, batch normalization, dropout, Nesterov momentum, and learning rate decay. RPA was implemented as a random survival forest (RSF). Concordance indices of test sets of 140 patients were used for each sample to assess the generalizable predictive capacity of each model. Results Following hyperparameter tuning, DeepSurv was trained at 32 min per sample on a 1.33 GHz quad‐core CPU. Test set concordance indices of 0.7488 ± 0.0049, 0.6251 ± 0.0047, and 0.7368 ± 0.0047, were found for DeepSurv, CPH, and RSF, respectively. A Tukey HSD test demonstrates a statistically significant difference between the mean concordance indices of the three models. Conclusion Our results suggest that deep learning‐based survival prediction can outperform traditional models, specifically in a case where an accurate prognosis is highly clinically relevant. We recommend that where appropriate data are available, deep learning‐based prognostic indicators should be used to supplement classical statistics.
Purpose We propose a treatment planning framework that accounts for weekly lung tumor shrinkage using cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) images with a deep learning‐based model. Methods Sixteen patients with non‐small‐cell lung cancer (NSCLC) were selected with one planning CT and six weekly CBCTs each. A deep learning‐based model was applied to predict the weekly deformation of the primary tumor based on the spatial and temporal features extracted from previous weekly CBCTs. Starting from Week 3, the tumor contour at Week N was predicted by the model based on the input from all the previous weeks (1, 2 … N − 1), and was evaluated against the manually contoured tumor using Dice coefficient (DSC), precision, average surface distance (ASD), and Hausdorff distance (HD). Information about the predicted tumor was then entered into the treatment planning system and the plan was re‐optimized every week. The objectives were to maximize the dose coverage in the target region while minimizing the toxicity to the surrounding healthy tissue. Dosimetric evaluation of the target and organs at risk (heart, lung, esophagus, and spinal cord) was performed on four cases, comparing between a conventional plan (ignoring tumor shrinkage) and the shrinkage‐based plan. Results he primary tumor volumes decreased on average by 38% ± 26% during six weeks of treatment. DSCs and ASD between the predicted tumor and the actual tumor for Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6 were 0.81, 0.82, 0.79, 0.78 and 1.49, 1.59, 1.92, 2.12 mm, respectively, which were significantly superior to the score of 0.70, 0.68, 0.66, 0.63 and 2.81, 3.22, 3.69, 3.63 mm between the rigidly transferred tumors ignoring shrinkage and the actual tumor. While target coverage metrics were maintained for the re‐optimized plans, lung mean dose dropped by 2.85, 0.46, 2.39, and 1.48 Gy for four sample cases when compared to the original plan. Doses in other organs such as esophagus were also reduced for some cases. Conclusion We developed a deep learning‐based model for tumor shrinkage prediction. This model used CBCTs and contours from previous weeks as input and produced reasonable tumor contours with a high prediction accuracy (DSC, precision, HD, and ASD). The proposed framework maintained target coverage while reducing dose in the lungs and esophagus.
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Volumetric modulated arc therapy planning is a challenging problem in high-dimensional, non-convex optimization. Traditionally, heuristics such as fluence-map-optimization-informed segment initialization use locally optimal solutions to begin the search of the full arc therapy plan space from a reasonable starting point. These routines facilitate arc therapy optimization such that clinically satisfactory radiation treatment plans can be created in a reasonable time frame. However, current optimization algorithms favor solutions near their initialization point and are slower than necessary due to plan overparameterization. In this work, arc therapy overparameterization is addressed by reducing the effective dimension of treatment plans with unsupervised deep learning. An optimization engine is then built based on low-dimensional arc representations which facilitates faster planning times.
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