Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and the possibility of breeding in laboratory facilities, Aedes aegypti is one of the best-known mosquitoes. In this work the biology of Aedes aegypti is incorporated into the framework of a stochastic population dynamics model able to handle seasonal and total extinction as well as endemic situations. The model incorporates explicitly the dependence with temperature. The ecological parameters of the model are tuned to the present populations of Aedes aegypti in Buenos Aires city, which is at the border of the present day geographical distribution in South America. Temperature thresholds for the mosquito survival are computed as a function of average yearly temperature and seasonal variation as well as breeding site availability. The stochastic analysis suggests that the southern limit of Aedes aegypti distribution in South America is close to the 15 degrees C average yearly isotherm, which accounts for the historical and current distribution better than the traditional criterion of the winter (July) 10 degrees C isotherm.

We develop a stochastic spatial model for Aedes aegypti populations based on the life cycle of the mosquito and its dispersal. Our validation corresponds to a monitoring study performed in Buenos Aires. Lacking information with regard to the number of breeding sites per block, the corresponding parameter (BS) was adjusted to the data. The model is able to produce numerical data in very good agreement with field results during most of the year, the exception being the fall season. Possible causes of the disagreement are discussed. We analyzed the mosquito dispersal as an advantageous strategy of persistence in the city and simulated the dispersal of females from a source to the surroundings along a 3-year period observing that several processes occur simultaneously: local extinctions, recolonization processes (resulting from flight and the oviposition performed by flyers), and colonization processes resulting from the persistence of eggs during the winter season. In view of this process, we suggest that eradication campaigns in temperate climates should be performed during the winter time for higher efficiency.

The distribution of Aedes aegypti (L) (Diptera: Culicidae) oviposition in Buenos Aires City is spatially heterogeneous. Oviposition activity was monitored for a year with a grid of 279 traps at 850-m intervals that were serviced weekly. Geostatistics were used for the spatial analysis and generalized linear regression to model oviposition as a function of demographic and environmental variables. The proportion of weeks infested and the total number of eggs showed spatial continuity and were higher in areas that had higher densities of houses and were closer to industrial sites; they were lower in areas with higher human populations or higher densities of flats. When all sites were considered, the spatial structure showed a strong trend, but after regression, the residuals presented lower spatial dependence. When only infested sites were considered, the oviposition variables were spatially autocorrelated and the regression residuals showed little or no spatial dependence. The spatial pattern of Ae. aegypti oviposition in a highly urbanized city such as Buenos Aires seems to be related to the urbanization gradient. These urban environments might present different resource availability or continuity between patches of resources.

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The risk of domestic reinfestation by Triatoma infestans after a single community-wide application of delta-methrin (2.5% suspension concentrate at 25 mg active ingredient/m2) was studied in Amamá, north-west Argentina, where no insecticide spraying had been done by official control services. The percentage of infested houses fell from 88% before spraying in 1985 to nil during the 6 months after spraying, and thereafter increased from 5% in 1986 to 96% before a second treatment in 1992, fitting closely to a logistic model (r2 = 0.997). Significant risk factors associated with domestic reinfestation determined from stepwise logistic regression and one-factor analysis were the density of T. infestans in bedrooms just before spraying and the surface structure of indoor walls. Peak densities of bugs in 1988-1989 significantly differed between levels of both risk factors. Our study suggests the existence of stable determinants of infestation linked to the household which, in the absence of effective control measures, would also determine the speed of house recolonization and the ensuing bug densities. Plastering of mud walls before application of insecticides to all domestic and peridomestic structures is supported by the study.

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The association between household seroreactivity to Trypanosoma cruzi in dogs and children and T. cruzi infection rates in domestic Triatoma infestans was investigated in 1988-1989 in the rural community of Amamá, north-west Argentina, where house spraying with residual pyrethroids was carried out in 1985. Three years after spraying, a greater reduction of the average T. cruzi prevalence rate in dogs (from 83% to 40%) than in children (from 48% to 30%) was accompanied by a substantial decrease in vector infection rates from 51%-63% to 21%. At a household level, in homes with or without seroreactive children, the percentage of infected T. infestans was 4.5-4.7 times higher when seroreactive dogs were present (27.1%-34.8%) than when they were not (5.8%-7.7%; stratified relative risk [RR] = 4.58). The contribution of seroreactive children to bug infection rates was not significant (RR = 1.29). The combined effect of both seroreactive dogs and seroreactive children fitted equally well with additive or multiplicative transmission models. Bug infection rates showed an increasing trend with the number of seroreactive dogs and an inverse association with the age of the youngest seroreactive dog. Our study supports the hypothesis of a causal association between the presence and number of infected dogs and increased levels of T. cruzi transmission to domestic T. infestans.

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