Strategic management requires an assessment of a firm's internal and external environment. Our work extends the body of management tools (e.g. SWOT analysis or growth-share matrix) by proposing an automated text mining framework. Here we draw upon narrative materials from firms (e.g. financial disclosures) and perform topic modeling in order to identify the key issues faced by an organization. We then quantify the use of language along two dimensions: risk and optimism. This reveals a firm's strengths and weaknesses by identifying business units, activities and processes subject to risk, while also comparing it to competitors or the market.
False rumors (often termed “fake news”) on social media pose a significant threat to modern societies. However, potential reasons for the widespread diffusion of false rumors have been underexplored. In this work, we analyze whether sentiment words, as well as different emotional words, in social media content explain differences in the spread of true vs. false rumors. For this purpose, we collected $${\varvec{N}} =126{,}301$$
N
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126
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301
rumor cascades from Twitter, comprising more than 4.5 million retweets that have been fact-checked for veracity. We then categorized the language in social media content to (1) sentiment (i.e., positive vs. negative) and (2) eight basic emotions (i. e., anger, anticipation, disgust, fear, joy, trust, sadness, and surprise). We find that sentiment and basic emotions explain differences in the structural properties of true vs. false rumor cascades. False rumors (as compared to true rumors) are more likely to go viral if they convey a higher proportion of terms associated with a positive sentiment. Further, false rumors are viral when embedding emotional words classified as trust, anticipation, or anger. All else being equal, false rumors conveying one standard deviation more positive sentiment have a 37.58% longer lifetime and reach 61.44% more users. Our findings offer insights into how true vs. false rumors spread and highlight the importance of managing emotions in social media content.
Emotions are regarded as a dominant driver of human behavior, and yet their role in online rumor diffusion is largely unexplored. In this study, we empirically study the extent to which emotions explain the diffusion of online rumors. We analyze a large-scale sample of 107,014 online rumors from Twitter, as well as their cascades. For each rumor, the embedded emotions were measured based on eight so-called basic emotions from Plutchik’s wheel of emotions (i.e., anticipation–surprise, anger–fear, trust–disgust, joy–sadness). We then estimated using a generalized linear regression model how emotions are associated with the spread of online rumors in terms of (1) cascade size, (2) cascade lifetime, and (3) structural virality. Our results suggest that rumors conveying anticipation, anger, and trust generate more reshares, spread over longer time horizons, and become more viral. In contrast, a smaller size, lifetime, and virality is found for surprise, fear, and disgust. We further study how the presence of 24 dyadic emotional interactions (i.e., feelings composed of two emotions) is associated with diffusion dynamics. Here, we find that rumors cascades with high degrees of aggressiveness are larger in size, longer-lived, and more viral. Altogether, emotions embedded in online rumors are important determinants of the spreading dynamics.
Sentiment analysis refers to the extraction of the polarity of source materials, such as financial news. However, measuring positive tone requires the correct classification of sentences that are negated, i. e. the negation scopes. For example, around 4.74 % of all sentences in German ad hoc announcements contain negations. To predict the corresponding negation scope, related literature commonly utilizes two approaches, namely, rule-based algorithms and machine learning. Nevertheless, a thorough comparison is missing, especially for the sentiment analysis of financial news. To close this gap, this paper uses German ad hoc announcements as a common example of financial news in order to pursue a two-sided evaluation. First, we compare the predictive performance using a manually-labeled dataset. Second, we examine how detecting negation scopes can improve the accuracy of sentiment analysis. In this instance, rulebased algorithms produce superior results, resulting in an improvement of up to 9.80 % in the correlation between news sentiment and stock market returns.
Online media is important for society in informing and shaping opinions, hence raising the question of what drives online news consumption. Here we analyse the causal effect of negative and emotional words on news consumption using a large online dataset of viral news stories. Specifically, we conducted our analyses using a series of randomized controlled trials (N = 22,743). Our dataset comprises ~105,000 different variations of news stories from Upworthy.com that generated ∼5.7 million clicks across more than 370 million overall impressions. Although positive words were slightly more prevalent than negative words, we found that negative words in news headlines increased consumption rates (and positive words decreased consumption rates). For a headline of average length, each additional negative word increased the click-through rate by 2.3%. Our results contribute to a better understanding of why users engage with online media.
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