The global terrestrial carbon sink offsets one-third of the world's fossil fuel emissions, but the strength of this sink is highly sensitive to large-scale extreme events. In 2012, the contiguous United States experienced exceptionally warm temperatures and the most severe drought since the Dust Bowl era of the 1930s, resulting in substantial economic damage. It is crucial to understand the dynamics of such events because warmer temperatures and a higher prevalence of drought are projected in a changing climate. Here, we combine an extensive network of direct ecosystem flux measurements with satellite remote sensing and atmospheric inverse modeling to quantify the impact of the warmer spring and summer drought on biosphereatmosphere carbon and water exchange in 2012. We consistently find that earlier vegetation activity increased spring carbon uptake and compensated for the reduced uptake during the summer drought, which mitigated the impact on net annual carbon uptake. The early phenological development in the Eastern Temperate Forests played a major role for the continental-scale carbon balance in 2012. The warm spring also depleted soil water resources earlier, and thus exacerbated water limitations during summer. Our results show that the detrimental effects of severe summer drought on ecosystem carbon storage can be mitigated by warming-induced increases in spring carbon uptake. However, the results also suggest that the positive carbon cycle effect of warm spring enhances water limitations and can increase summer heating through biosphere-atmosphere feedbacks.seasonal climate anomalies | carbon uptake | ecosystem fluxes | biosphere-atmosphere feedbacks | eddy covariance A n increase in the intensity and duration of drought (1, 2), along with warmer temperatures, is projected for the 21st century (3). Warmer and drier summers can substantially reduce photosynthetic activity and net carbon uptake (4). In contrast, warmer temperatures during spring and autumn prolong the period of vegetation activity and increase net carbon uptake in temperate ecosystems (5), sometimes even during spring drought (6). Atmospheric CO 2 concentrations suggest that warm-springinduced increases in carbon uptake could be cancelled out by the effects of warmer and drier summers (7). However, the extent and variability of potential compensation on net annual uptake using direct observations of ecosystem carbon exchange have not yet been examined for specific climate anomalies.In addition to perturbations of the carbon cycle, warmer spring temperatures can have an impact on the water cycle by increasing evaporation from the soil and plant transpiration (8-10), which reduces soil moisture. Satellite observations suggest that warmer spring and longer nonfrozen periods enhance summer drying via hydrological shifts in soil moisture status (11). Climate model simulations also indicate a soil moisture-temperature feedback between early vegetation green-up in spring and extreme temperatures in summer (12, 13). Soil water deficits during drou...
The World Urban Database and Access Portal Tools (WUDAPT) is an international community-based initiative to acquire and disseminate climate relevant data on the physical geographies of cities for modeling and analysis purposes. The current lacuna of globally consistent information on cities is a major impediment to urban climate science toward informing and developing climate mitigation and adaptation strategies at urban scales. WUDAPT consists of a database and a portal system; its database is structured into a hierarchy representing different levels of detail, and the data are acquired using innovative protocols that utilize crowdsourcing approaches, Geowiki tools, freely accessible data, and building typology archetypes. The base level of information (L0) consists of local climate zone (LCZ) maps of cities; each LCZ category is associated with a range of values for model-relevant surface descriptors (roughness, impervious surface cover, roof area, building heights, etc.). Levels 1 (L1) and 2 (L2) will provide specific intra-urban values for other relevant descriptors at greater precision, such as data morphological forms, material composition data, and energy usage. This article describes the status of the WUDAPT project and demonstrates its potential value using observations and models. As a community-based project, other researchers are encouraged to participate to help create a global urban database of value to urban climate scientists.
Future climates are forecast to include greater precipitation variability and more frequent heat waves, but the degree to which the timing of climate variability impacts ecosystems is uncertain. In a temperate, humid grassland, we examined the seasonal impacts of climate variability on 27 y of grass productivity. Drought and highintensity precipitation reduced grass productivity only during a 110-d period, whereas high temperatures reduced productivity only during 25 d in July. The effects of drought and heat waves declined over the season and had no detectable impact on grass productivity in August. If these patterns are general across ecosystems, predictions of ecosystem response to climate change will have to account not only for the magnitude of climate variability but also for its timing.Konza | net primary production | streamflow | critical climate periods F uture climates are likely to include more frequent droughts, high-intensity precipitation patterns, and heat waves, (i.e., periods of elevated air temperatures) (1, 2). At their most severe, extreme climate events, such as the mid-American heat waves of 1980 and 2011 and the 2003 European heat wave, involve months of hot, dry weather (3, 4), increasing mortality in humans and wildlife (5, 6) while reducing agricultural and natural-systems productivity (7-10). An increase in climate extremes would have unambiguously negative effects on ecosystems. However, most climate variability would not be considered extreme and occurs on much shorter time scales throughout the growing season with temperature and precipitation frequently disassociated. The response of ecosystems to short-term climate variability at different times of year is thought to vary (11-16), but we know little about how the timing of short-duration climate variability impacts key ecosystem dynamics such as plant productivity.To understand better how the timing of climate variability affects grassland productivity, we applied the critical climate period approach (17, 18) to long-term measurements of grass productivity in a humid, temperate grassland. Aboveground net primary productivity of grass (ANPP G ) was measured at the time of peak standing biomass from 1984-2010 in both shallow-soil upland and deep-soil lowland topographic positions in an annually burned, ungrazed watershed that is dominated by grasses with the C 4 photosynthetic pathway. In attempting to understand how the timing of climate variability affects grass productivity, we analyzed long-term records of precipitation, stream discharge, and air temperature to examine how variation in drought, precipitation intensity, and heat waves affect grass productivity at different times of the growing season. Results and DiscussionAcross 27 y, drought reduced grass productivity over a wide range of dates but had declining effects as the season progressed. ANPP G decreased with decreasing precipitation summed from April 15 to August 2 [day of year (DOY) 105-214] (Fig. 1). ANPP G declined 0.60 ± 0.12 g·m −2 for each millimeter decline in p...
Key Points:• ECOSTRESS is a state-of-the-art combination of thermal bands, spatial and temporal resolutions, and measurement accuracy and precision • Data from 82 eddy covariance sites were coalesced concurrently with the first year of ECOSTRESS for Stage 1 validation • Clear-sky ET from ECOSTRESS compared well against a wide range of eddy Abstract The ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS) was launched to the International Space Station on 29 June 2018 by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). The primary science focus of ECOSTRESS is centered on evapotranspiration (ET), which is produced as Level-3 (L3) latent heat flux (LE) data products. These data are generated from the Level-2 land surface temperature and emissivity product (L2_LSTE), in conjunction with ancillary surface and atmospheric data. Here, we provide the first validation (Stage 1, preliminary) of the global ECOSTRESS clear-sky ET product (L3_ET_PT-JPL, Version 6.0) against LE measurements at 82 eddy covariance sites around the world. Overall, the ECOSTRESS ET product performs well against the site measurements (clear-sky instantaneous/time of overpass: r 2 = 0.88; overall bias = 8%; normalized root-mean-square error, RMSE = 6%). ET uncertainty was generally consistent across climate zones, biome types, and times of day (ECOSTRESS samples the diurnal cycle), though temperate sites are overrepresented. The 70-m-high spatial resolution of ECOSTRESS improved correlations by 85%, and RMSE by 62%, relative to 1-km pixels. This paper serves as a reference for the ECOSTRESS L3 ET accuracy and Stage 1 validation status for subsequent science that follows using these data.
Grassland productivity is regulated by both temperature and the amount and timing of precipitation 1,2. Future climate change is therefore expected to influence grassland phenology and growth, with consequences for ecosystems and economies. However, the interacting e ects of major shifts in temperature and precipitation on grasslands remain poorly understood and existing modelling approaches, although typically complex, do not extrapolate or generalize well and tend to disagree under future scenarios 3,4. Here we explore the potential responses of North American grasslands to climate change using a new, data-informed vegetation-hydrological model, a network of high-frequency ground observations across a wide range of grassland ecosystems and CMIP5 climate projections. Our results suggest widespread and consistent increases in vegetation fractional cover for the current range of grassland ecosystems throughout most of North America, despite the increase in aridity projected across most of our study area. Our analysis indicates a likely future shift of vegetation growth towards both earlier spring emergence and delayed autumn senescence, which would compensate for drought-induced reductions in summer fractional cover and productivity. However, because our model does not include the e ects of rising atmospheric CO 2 on photosynthesis and water use e ciency 5,6 , climate change impacts on grassland productivity may be even larger than our results suggest. Increases in the productivity of North American grasslands over this coming century have implications for agriculture, carbon cycling and vegetation feedbacks to the atmosphere. The grassland biome is the largest in the world, covering up to 59 million km 2 (over 30% of the global land surface) 1. Grasslands constitute a key component of the terrestrial biosphere and are fundamental to the meat and dairy industries 1 , but projections of grassland growth and productivity from model intercomparison studies diverge greatly under climate change 3,4. Grassland growth and productivity are highly dynamic on fast (days-to-weeks) timescales, leading to substantial variability between years 7-9. Grassland growth is largely controlled by soil water content and the magnitude, frequency and timing of precipitation events 10-12. The response of grasslands to changes in precipitation
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