The Arctic is an integral part of the climate system that has undergone dramatic changes in recent decades. This includes the so-called Arctic amplification, which refers to atmospheric temperature increase in the Arctic that is at least two times higher than global mean values (Serreze & Francis, 2006), and that is associated with a rapid decrease in sea ice area and volume (

The Alfred Wegener Institute Climate Model (AWI‐CM) participates for the first time in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), CMIP6. The sea ice‐ocean component, FESOM, runs on an unstructured mesh with horizontal resolutions ranging from 8 to 80 km. FESOM is coupled to the Max Planck Institute atmospheric model ECHAM 6.3 at a horizontal resolution of about 100 km. Using objective performance indices, it is shown that AWI‐CM performs better than the average of CMIP5 models. AWI‐CM shows an equilibrium climate sensitivity of 3.2°C, which is similar to the CMIP5 average, and a transient climate response of 2.1°C which is slightly higher than the CMIP5 average. The negative trend of Arctic sea‐ice extent in September over the past 30 years is 20–30% weaker in our simulations compared to observations. With the strongest emission scenario, the AMOC decreases by 25% until the end of the century which is less than the CMIP5 average of 40%. Patterns and even magnitude of simulated temperature and precipitation changes at the end of this century compared to present‐day climate under the strong emission scenario SSP585 are similar to the multi‐model CMIP5 mean. The simulations show a 11°C warming north of the Barents Sea and around 2°C to 3°C over most parts of the ocean as well as a wetting of the Arctic, subpolar, tropical, and Southern Ocean. Furthermore, in the northern middle latitudes in boreal summer and autumn as well as in the southern middle latitudes, a more zonal atmospheric flow is projected throughout the year.

No abstract

Chlorophyll fluorescence is directly linked to the photosynthetic efficiency of plants. As satellite-based remote sensing has been shown to have the potential to derive global information about fluorescence it has become subject of various recently published studies stimulating an upsurge in this research field. This manuscript presents a simple and fast retrieval method for solar induced terrestrial plant fluorescence (SIF) which relies on only a few prerequisites. The spaced based remote sensing spectrometers used in this work typically exhibit an additive spectral feature, which is not fluorescence. This is often accompanying the actual SIF retrieval and can significantly deteriorate the results. To account for this effect a correction method has been developed and is combined with the retrieval. The method has been applied to 10 years of SCIAMACHY data with promising results. The retrieved SIF values are lying between 0 and 4 mW [m −2 sr −1 nm −1 ]. However, most of the retrieved values are not exceeding 1.5 [m −2 sr −1 nm −1 ], agreeing with previous studies on the subject. Results have been retrieved for SCIAMACHY spatial resolution of 240 30 km 2 × and gridded to 80 arc minutes. A clear seasonal variation could be shown utilizing 10 years of SCIAMACHY data (2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012). In absence of large area ground based validation data a final judgment of the results presented is not feasible. However, a direct comparison to data of others was showing similar results for most areas.

The Alfred Wegener Institute Climate Model (AWI-CM) participates for the first time in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), CMIP6. The sea ice-ocean component, FESOM, runs on an unstructured mesh with horizontal resolutions ranging from 8 to 80 km. FESOM is coupled to the Max Planck Institute atmospheric model ECHAM 6.3 at a horizontal resolution of about 100 km. Using objective performance indices, it is shown that AWI-CM performs better than the average of CMIP5 models. AWI-CM shows an equilibrium climate sensitivity of 3.2°C, which is similar to the CMIP5 average, and a transient climate response of 2.1°C which is slightly higher than the CMIP5 average. The negative trend of Arctic sea-ice extent in September over the past 30 years is 20-30% weaker in our simulations compared to observations. With the strongest emission scenario, the AMOC decreases by 25% until the end of the century which is less than the CMIP5 average of 40%. Patterns and even magnitude of simulated temperature and precipitation changes at the end of this century compared to present-day climate under the strong emission scenario SSP585 are similar to the multi-model CMIP5 mean. The simulations show a 11°C warming north of the Barents Sea and around 2°C to 3°C over most parts of the ocean as well as a wetting of the Arctic, subpolar, tropical, and Southern Ocean. Furthermore, in the northern middle latitudes in boreal summer and autumn as well as in the southern middle latitudes, a more zonal atmospheric flow is projected throughout the year.Plain Language Summary The Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI) participates for the first time with a global climate model in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6). The results of CMIP6 and previous model comparison projects feed into the next assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC assessment reports include information on past and expected climate change in the future and is written for policy-and decision-makers as well as for the general public. The main characteristics of the AWI climate model are described and compared to models from previous intercomparison projects. The projected global warming in AWI-CM is similar to the average warming predicted by climate models in the previous intercomparison project. However, the Arctic sea-ice extent declines faster than typical previous estimates. Areas that are wet in present-day climate become wetter, and areas that are dry in present-day climate become drier in the future-consistent with previous climate model simulations. The ocean currents remain rather stable in the AWI climate projections, which leads to a continued warm Gulf stream and therefore an only slightly reduced warming of the North Atlantic and parts of Europe compared to other middle-latitude regions.

No abstract

Abstract. Using two decades of satellite-based measurements of reflectance of solar radiation at the top-of-atmosphere and a complementary record of cloud properties, it is concluded that the loss of Arctic brightness due to sea ice retreat is not compensated by a pan-Arctic increase in cloudiness, but rather by a systematic change in the thermodynamic phase of cloud and a resultant effect on cloud reflectance. Liquid water content of the clouds has increased resulting in positive trends in susceptible cloud properties. Consequently, a cooling trend by clouds is superimposed on top of the pan-Arctic amplified warming, induced by the anthropogenic release of greenhouse gases, the ice albedo feedback and related effects. Except above the permanent and marginal sea ice zone around the Arctic circle, the rate of surface cooling by clouds has increased, both in spring (−32 % in total radiative forcing for the whole Arctic) and in summer (−14 %). The magnitude of this effect depends on both the underlying surface type and changes in the regional Arctic climate.

<p>It is now well known that the sea ice extent in the Artic has been shrinking in the past three decades in the period known as the Arctic Amplification. A simple assumption would be that if the sea ice extent has been reduced, then the spectral reflectance at the top of the atmosphere - R<sub>TOA</sub> - would have also decreased across the Arctic. On the other hand, Arctic reflectivity also largely depends on the presence of clouds, shielding the underlying surface, and on changes of their optical and physical properties. Thus, the assessment of trends of spectral reflectivity and cloud properties are essential to understand those forcings and feedbacks considered drivers of Arctic Amplification as well as the interactions between the components of the Arctic cryosphere. In the reported study we observationally tackle the stated problem investigating changes of R<sub>TOA</sub> at selected wavelengths making use of spaceborne measurements of the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME onboard ERS-2 and MetOp A/B/C) and of the Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Chartography (SCIAMACHY onboard Envisat) for the period 1995-2018. We complement this record with cloud properties and fluxes at top of the atmosphere and at the surface, inferred from measurements of the post-meridiem orbits of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR onboard POES). Although the Pan-Arctic reflectivity has decreased, the analysis of regional trends shows distinct areas where the reflectivity trends diverge. While darkening areas can be attributed to seasonal sea ice decline, an increase of Arctic brightness over sea ice free regions can be largely attributed to changes in the optical properties of clouds. While the multiyear mean of the radiative forcing by clouds points to a TOA cooling and a surface warming, its trends exhibit opposite tendencies. In the last two decades, the cloud radiative effect at TOA is expected to warm the lower latitudes (below 75 N) and to cool the circumpolar belt, while an opposite trend at BOA, amounting to 5 W m<sup>-2 </sup>per decade, cools the lower Arctic latitudes and warms the permanent sea ice region, this effect being more pronounced in spring months (April to June) than in summer months (July to September).</p>