A (univariate) random variable is said to be of phase type if it can be represented as the time until absorption in a finite state absorbing Markov chain. Univariate phase type random variables are useful because they arise from processes that are often encountered in applications, they have densities that can be written in a closed form, they possess some useful closure properties, and they can approximate any nonnegative random variable. This paper introduces and discusses several extensions to the multivariate case. It shows that the multivariate random variables possess many of the properties of univariate phase type distributions and derives explicit formulas for various probabilistic quantities of interest. Some examples are included.
In this paper we show how several models used to describe the reliability of computer software can be comprehensively viewed by adopting a Bayesian point of view. We first provide an alternative motivation for a commonly used model, the Jelinski-Moranda model, using notions from shock models. We then show that some alternate models proposed in the literature can be derived by assigning specific prior distributions for the parameters of the above model. We also obtain other structural results such as stochastic inequalities and association, and discuss how these can be interpreted.
In this paper we introduce the concept of repair replacement. Repair replacement is a maintenance policy in which items are preventively maintained when a certain time has elapsed since their last repair. This differs from age replacement where a certain amount of time has elapsed since the last replacement. If the last repair was a complete repair, repair replacement is essentially the same as age replacement. It is in the case of minimal repair that these two policies differ. We make comparison between various types of policies in order to determine when and under which condition one type of policy is better than another.
Complete repair and minimal repair models with a block maintenance policy are considered. Each of these models gives rise to a counting process, and these processes are compared stochastically. This contrasts with most previous work on maintenance policies where only univariate marginal comparisons were made. Also a more general block schedule is considered than is customary.
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