the public debt is deepened, the visions of the public debt as a phenomenon burdening the national economy, found in various schools of economics, are reviewed. It is demonstrated that the high internal and external dept in parallel with the respectively growing expenditure for its service is a pressing problem for Ukraine, calling for an urgent solution. This raises the need for seeking ways to improve the public debt management mechanisms. The article’s objective is to deepen the theoretical and methodological framework for assessment of the public debt in Ukraine and the budget expenditures for its service. It is demonstrated that the public debt in Ukraine results from the public budget deficit, high sovereign borrowing from internal and external sources. The econometric assessment of the time series on budget expenditures for debt service and repayment in Ukraine is given. The analysis of the public debt dynamics in Ukraine shows that not only the increasing volume of public debt and State-guarantee debt, but also the increasing budget expenditures on its service and repayment are dangerous. The high deficit of public budget is persisting, which growth is caused, inter alia, by the payment commitments. The expenditures on service and repayment of public debt constitute a large share in the public budget expenditures. Forecasting calculations made in the article demonstrate the upward tendency in the public budget expenditures on repayment and service of the public debt of Ukraine, thus signaling the growing threats to the budget security of Ukraine. The main factors for the rapidly increased debt burden in Ukraine over the latest years are identified: the considerable devaluation of domestic currency (Hryvnya), sharp drop in GDP, the shrinking internal consumer demand, etc. It is demonstrated that the risk of the increasing payments for service of public debt is an essential and chronic factor generating problems in public finances and affecting the budget security of Ukraine.
Theoretical and methodological foundations for evaluating the effectiveness of managing the budget process at its initial stage are deepened, views of various experts on the management effectiveness when drawing up, reviewing the draft law and adopting it are considered. It is substantiated that in recent years the procedure and terms of submitting the draft and adopting the Law of Ukraine “On the State Budget of Ukraine” have been repeatedly violated. The necessity to increase the budget management effectiveness at the first stage of the budget process is proved. The questionnaire of the public poll is developed, on the basis of which the evaluation of the management effectiveness when drawing up, reviewing of the draft Law of Ukraine “On the State Budget of Ukraine” and its adoption is made.Indicators that allow characterizing the budget management effectiveness when drawing up, reviewing and approving the state budget are proposed. The proposed calculations are based on the assertion that the efficiency is a component of the management effectiveness. The following are pointed out: index of timely submission of the management object; index of timely fixation of the management object; index of timely acceptance of the management object. Introduction of these indicators allows characterizing the management effectiveness on the tasks fulfillment set for the government concerning the compliance with the budget legislation and the basics of the state budget policy for the next reporting period, approved by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine when drafting the State Budget Law. Using the proposed indexes of the management effectiveness, an integral index of the budget management effectiveness at the first stage of the budget process is calculated. It is argued that in 2004 there was a high efficiency of the budget management at the first stage of the budget process; in 2006, 2012, 2014, 2017 and 2018, the efficiency was average, and in 2010 and 2013, its efficiency was below average. The integral index of the budget management effectiveness at the first stage of the budget process was in the critical efficiency zone in 2005, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2015, and 2016.It is proved that there is an average correlation between the integral index of the budget management effectiveness at the first stage of the budget process and (i) the number of changes made to the draft law; (ii) real GDP growth rate.
Purpose. The aim of the study theoretical foundations of public administration and develop a scientific approach on this basis to assessing the effective management of the budgetary funds in accordance with international rankings. Methodology of research. The results of the study are based on the use of abstract and logical (when examining existing approaches to public administration assessment) and statistical analysis (when calculating the indicator of the effective management of budget funds of Ukraine in accordance with international ratings). The theoretical and methodological basis of the study is the key provisions, principles and methods of modern economic theory, finance and economics. Findings. It is substantiated that successful functioning of the budgetary system is possible provided that the real state of management of the formation and use of budgetary funds is monitored, and the effectiveness of managerial making decisions in the budgetary process is evaluated. It is proved that the current state of economic development of Ukraine is characterized by instability, stagnation, and lack of effective state management of budgetary funds. Global approaches to assessing public administration performance based on GRICS and the Budget Transparency Index are explored. This made it possible to propose a scientific and methodological approach to assessing the effective management of the budgetary funds. Originality. The scientific and methodological approach to assessing the effectiveness of the budgetary funds management is proposed, a feature of which is the introduction of the calculation of an appropriate indicator of efficiency with the separation of direct (transparency in the budget sphere, citizen participation in the budget process, budget surveillance) and indirect (political stability, government efficiency, rule of law, control over corruption) factors and levels (high, relatively high, medium, low and critical) of efficiency. This approach enabled both to analyse practically the efficiency of budgetary funds management in Ukraine during 2008-2017, and determine its position among other countries of the world for 2017. Practical value. The developed scientific approach enriches the theory and practice of the management process of budgetary funds as a component of state regulation system and can be applied in the activity of legislative and executive bodies of state power and bodies of local self-government in the development and making management decisions in budgetary area. Key words: budget; public administration; budgetary funds; efficiency of management; public debt.
MACROECONOMIC FACTORS ON BUDGETARY INDICATORS В статті доведено, що визначення найбільш суттєвих макроекономічних факторів, які впливають на бюджетні показники є беззаперечною, оскільки протягом останнього часу саме забезпечення результативного формування та використання бюджетних коштів стало стратегічним напрямом в сфері державного управління фінансами. При оцінюванні впливу макроекономічних факторів на бюджетні показники виокремлено індекси. Доведено залежність податкових надходжень до державного бюджету України від рівня безробіття у країні; дефіциту державного бюджету від індексу споживчих цін в Україні; дефіциту державного бюджету від рівня безробіття в Україні; видатків на обслуговування державного боргу України від ВВП і від дефіциту державного бюджету. Виокремлено ризики (недоотримання запланованого рівня доходів; порушень законодавства у бюджетній
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