Pakistan’s agricultural economy is reliant on the Indus River’s irrigation system, which is fed by the water coming from the great Himalayas-Karakoram Glacier Mountains. Because of hilly terrain areas, the climatic variations have an intense effect on the river flow, especially during the winter and monsoon months. Consequently, significant variations, which are observed annually, result in flooding situations in the monsoon months and reduced flows in the winter season. Thousands of people have lost their lives and massive property destruction has taken place due to disastrous floods that occurred during 2010 and 2016. Past studies have focused on proper water resources and the management of extreme events such as floods and droughts; however, modelling and forecasting based on the various climatic factors and stochastic variations are rare. This paper attempts to forecast Indus River flows using multiple linear regression (MLR), the stochastic time series, the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA), and its reduced heteroscedasticity model, i.e., SARIMA-GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) methods at the Kalabagh station. The results show that MLR is best over the short-term; SARIMA is better over the long-term, and SARIMA-GARCH may be superior for a very long-term forecast.
This study was conducted to evaluate different planting methods for rice crops in the rice wheat zone of Sheikhupura Pakistan for the year 2019-2020. Four planting methods were tested in this study conventional transplanting of rice, 2- Manual transplanting of rice by rope, 3-Mechanical transplanting of rice and 4-Direct seeding of rice. Among all these methods, the mechanical transplanting of rice method proved to perform best in terms of meeting recommended plant population of rice crop, rice crop yield and yield parameters followed by manual transplanting of rice by rope method and direct seeding of rice method. Mechanical transplanting of rice is a mechanized technology for sowing rice crops; solving labor problems and time management. Transplanting of rice by rope method is a laborious method. Direct seeding of rice method also fulfil labour, and plant population issues with proper weeds management, Conventional transplanting of rice method performed poorly in terms of plant population, yield and yield parameters.
Background: Balochistan continues to have a high prevalence of acute malnutrition. Aim: The objective of this study was to evaluate the role of micro and macro nutrients in malnourished children attending Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF),
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