Background. Relationships between tumor doubling time (DT) and other prognostic factors and the risk of death related to these factors are not yet fully understood.
Methods. Tumor doubling time of primary lung carcinomas of 174 patients, detected in a limited number of local municipalities during a limited period, was calculated using the Schwartz formula. Survival rate of the 174 patients was compared with reference to categories of prognostic factors (univariate analyses) and significant factors affecting survival were identified by multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazard model.
Results. Tumor doubling time had a log normal distribution. There was a significant difference in mean DT in relation to sex, smoking history, presence of symptoms, cell type, primary tumor factor, and stage. Univariate analyses showed a significant difference in survival in relation to DT, age, sex, method of tumor detection, smoking history, symptoms, therapy, cell type, primary tumor (T) factor, regional lymph node (N) factor, distant metastasis (M) factor, and stage. Multivariate analyses using the Cox's proportional hazard model in a stepwise fashion identified a final set of five significant variables: N factor (P = 0.0001); therapy (P = 0.0016); M factor (P = 0.0017); T factor (P = 0.0018), and DT (P = 0.0152).
Conclusions. Tumor doubling time was an independent and significant prognostic factor for lung cancer patients.
Objective: The incidence of breast cancer has progressively increased, making it the leading cause of cancer deaths in Japan. Breast cancer accounts for 20.4% of all new cancers with a reported agestandardized rate of 63.6 per 100 000 women. Methods: The Japanese Guidelines for Breast Cancer Screening were developed based on a previously established method. The efficacies of mammography with and without clinical breast examination, clinical breast examination and ultrasonography with and without mammography were evaluated. Based on the balance of the benefits and harms, recommendations for populationbased and opportunistic screenings were formulated. Results: Five randomized controlled trials of mammographic screening without clinical breast examination were identified for mortality reduction from breast cancer. The overall relative risk for women aged 40-74 years was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.67-0.83). Three randomized controlled trials of mammographic screening with clinical breast examination served as eligible evidence for mortality reduction from breast cancer. The overall relative risk for women aged 40-64 years was 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.77-0.98). The major harms of mammographic screening were radiation exposure, false-positive cases and overdiagnosis. Although two case-control studies evaluating mortality reduction from breast cancer were found for clinical breast examination, there was no study assessing the effectiveness of ultrasonography for breast cancer screening. Conclusions: Mammographic screening without clinical breast examination for women aged 40-74 years and with clinical breast examination for women aged 40-64 years is recommended for population-based and opportunistic screenings. Clinical breast examination and ultrasonography are not recommended for population-based screening because of insufficient evidence regarding their effectiveness.
Cervical cancer is the 11th leading cause of death from cancer for females in Japan. In 2005, there were 2486 deaths from cervical cancer, accounting for 1.8% of the total number of cancer deaths in Japan. Cervical cancer screening using conventional cytology has been conducted worldwide. The guideline for cervical cancer screening was developed based on the established method. The efficacies of conventional and liquid-based cytology, human papillomavirus testing alone and two combination methods were evaluated. On the basis of the balance of the benefits and harms, recommendations for population-based and opportunistic screening were formulated. Five methods of cervical cancer screening were evaluated. On the basis of the analytic framework involving key questions, 3450 articles published from January 1985 to October 2007 were selected using MEDLINE and other methods. After the systematic literature review, 66 articles were confirmed. The results of 33 studies were consistent, and the evidence was sufficient to evaluate the effect of conventional cytology screening. The accuracy of liquid-based cytology was almost equal to that of conventional cytology. Although human papillomavirus testing and combination methods showed high sensitivity, no study has evaluated the reduction in mortality from cervical cancer. Except for the possibility of overdiagnosis, no serious adverse effects of cervical cancer screening were found. Cervical cancer screening using conventional and liquid-based cytology is recommended for population-based and opportunistic screening due to sufficient evidence. Cervical cancer screening using either human papillomavirus testing alone or two combination methods is not recommended for population-based screening due to insufficient evidence.
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