Autism Spectrum Disorder is a neurodevelopmental disorder characterized by deficits in social communication and interaction as well as the presence of repetitive, restricted patterns of behavior, interests, or activities. Many autistic students experience difficulty with daily functioning at school and home. Given these difficulties, regular school attendance is a primary source for autistic students to receive an appropriate range of needed educational and therapeutic interventions. Moreover, school absenteeism (SA) is associated with negative consequences such as school drop-out. Therefore, early SA prediction would help school districts to intervene properly to ameliorate this issue. Due to its heterogeneity, autistic students show within-group differences concerning their SA. A comprehensive statistical analysis performed by the authors shows that the individual and demographic characteristics of the targeted population are not predictive factors of SA. So, we used the students’ recent previous attendance to predict their future attendance. We introduce a deep learning-based framework for predicting short-and long-term SA of autistic students using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) algorithms. The adopted algorithms outperform other machine learning algorithms. In detail, LSTM increased the accuracy and recall of short-term SA prediction by 20% and 13%, while the same scores of long-term SA prediction increased by 5% using MLP.
Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental disorder that affects the areas of social communication and behavior. The term “spectrum” refers to the wide range of symptoms observed across individuals with ASD. Many children with ASD experience difficulty with daily functioning at school andhome. ASD prevalenceincreases in the United States, with the most recent prevalence of 1.9%. Given the wide range of social and learning, difficulties experienced by children with ASD, it is paramount that they are able to attend school to receive the appropriate range of interventions. School absenteeism (SA) is a significant concern given its association with many negativeconsequences such as school drop-out.Early prediction of SA would help school districtto implement effective interventions to ameliorate this issue. Due to its heterogeneity, students with ASD show within-group differences concerning their SA. This research introduces a deep learning-based framework for predicting short-and long-term SA of students with ASD. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm is used to predict short-term SA. Similarly, Multilayer Perceptron(MLP) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms are used to predict long-term SA. The proposed framework achieves a high accuracy of 89% and 90% to predict short-term and long-term SA, respectively.
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