The aim of this article is to propose a new three-parameter discrete Lindley distribution. A wide range of its structural properties are investigated. This includes the shape of the probability mass function, hazard rate function, moments, skewness, kurtosis, index of dispersion, mean residual life, mean past life and stress-strength reliability. These properties are expressed in explicit forms. The maximum likelihood approach is used to estimate the model parameters. A detailed simulation study is carried out to examine the bias and mean square error of the estimators. Using the proposed distribution, a new first-order integervalued autoregressive process is introduced for the over-dispersed, equi-dispersed and under-dispersed time series of counts. To demonstrate the importance of the proposed distribution, three data sets on coronavirus, length of stay at psychiatric ward and monthly counts of larceny calls are analyzed. INDEX TERMS Survival discretization method, over-dispersion, INAR(1) process, simulation.
This article proposes and studies a new three-parameter generalized model of the inverse Gompertz distribution, in the so-called Kumaraswamy inverse Gompertz distribution. The main advantage of the new model is that it has "an upside down bathtub-shaped curve hazard rate function" depending upon the shape parameters. Several of its statistical and mathematical properties including quantiles, median, mode, moments, probability weighted moment, entropy function, skewness and kurtosis are derived. Moreover, the reliability and hazard rate functions, mean time to failure, mean residual and inactive lifetimes are also concluded. The maximum likelihood approach is done here to estimate the new model parameters. A simulation study is conducted to examine the performance of the estimators of this model. Finally, the usefulness of the proposed distribution is illustrated with different engineering applications to complete, type-II right censored, and upper record data and it is found that this model is more flexible when it is compared to well-known models in the statistical literature.
New Weibull-Pareto distribution is a significant and practical continuous lifetime distribution, which plays an important role in reliability engineering and analysis of some physical properties of chemical compounds such as polymers and carbon fibres. In this paper, we construct the predictive interval of unobserved units in the same sample (one sample prediction) and the future sample based on the current sample (two-sample prediction). The used samples are generated from new Weibull-Pareto distribution due to a progressive type-II censoring scheme. Bayesian and maximum likelihood approaches are implemented to the prediction problems. In the Bayesian approach, it is not easy to simplify the predictive posterior density function in a closed form, so we use the generated Markov chain Monte Carlo samples from the Metropolis-Hastings technique with Gibbs sampling. Moreover, the predictive interval of future upper-order statistics is reported. Finally, to demonstrate the proposed methodology, both simulated data and real-life data of carbon fibres examples are considered to show the applicabilities of the proposed methods.
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