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Mathematical models, in particular, physics-based models, are essential tools to food product and process design, optimization and control. The success of mathematical models relies on their predictive capabilities. However, describing physical, chemical and biological changes in food processing requires the values of some, typically unknown, parameters. Therefore, parameter estimation from experimental data is critical to achieving desired model predictive properties. This work takes a new look into the parameter estimation (or identification) problem in food process modeling. First, we examine common pitfalls such as lack of identifiability and multimodality. Second, we present the theoretical background of a parameter identification protocol intended to deal with those challenges. And, to finish, we illustrate the performance of the proposed protocol with an example related to the thermal processing of packaged foods.

Fish quality has a direct impact on market price and its accurate assessment and prediction are of main importance to set prices, increase competitiveness, resolve conflicts of interest and prevent food wastage due to conservative product shelf-life estimations. In this work we present a general methodology to derive predictive models of fish freshness under different storage conditions. The approach makes use of the theory of optimal experimental design, to maximize data information and in this way reduce the number of experiments. The resulting growth model for specific spoilage microorganisms in hake (Merluccius merluccius) is sufficiently informative to estimate quality sensory indexes under time-varying temperature profiles. In addition it incorporates quantitative information of the uncertainty induced by fish variability. The model has been employed to test the effect of factors such as fishing gear or evisceration, on fish spoilage and therefore fish quality. Results show no significant differences in terms of microbial growth between hake fished by long-line or bottom-set nets, within the implicit uncertainty of the model. Similar conclusions can be drawn for gutted and un-gutted hake along the experiment horizon. In addition, whenever there is the possibility to carry out the necessary experiments, this approach is sufficiently general to be used in other fish species and under different stress variables.

Optimal disinfection protocols are fundamental to minimize bacterial resistance to the compound applied, or cross-resistance to other antimicrobials such as antibiotics. The objective is twofold: guarantee safe levels of pathogens and minimize the excess of disinfectant after a treatment. In this work, the disinfectant dose is optimized based on a mathematical model. The model explains and predicts the interplay between disinfectant and pathogen at different initial microbial densities (inocula) and dose concentrations. The study focuses on the disinfection of Escherichia coli with benzalkonium chloride, the most common quaternary ammonium compound. Interestingly, the specific benzalkonium chloride uptake (mean uptake per cell) decreases exponentially when the inoculum concentration increases. As a consequence, the optimal disinfectant dose increases exponentially with the initial bacterial concentration.

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Fish wastage and market prices highly depend on accurate and reliable predictions of product shelf life and quality. The Quality Index Method (QIM) and EU grading criteria for whitefish (Council Regulation(EC) No 2406/96, 1996) are established sensory methods used in the market to monitor fish quality. Each assessment requires the consultation of a panel of trained experts. The indexes refer exclusively to the current state of the fish without any predictions about its evolution in the following days. This work proposes the development of a smart quality sensor which enables to measure quality and to predict its progress through time. The sensor combines information of biochemical and microbial spoilage indexes with dynamic models to predict quality in terms of the QIM and EU grading criteria. Besides, the sensor can account for the variability inside the batch if spoilage indexes are measured in more than one fish sample. The sensor is designed and tested to measure quality in fresh cod (Gadus morhua) under commercial ice storage conditions. Only two spoilage indexes, psychrotrophic counts and total volatile base-nitrogen content, were required to get accurate estimations of the two usual established sensory methods. The sensor is able to account for biological variability as shown with the validation and demonstration data sets. Moreover, new research and technologies are in course to make these measurements faster and non-destructive, what would allow having at hand a smart non-intrusive fish quality sensor.