Objective. To evaluate the long-term mortality and renal outcome in a cohort of Danish patients with lupus nephritis (LN) and to identify outcome predictors among findings registered at the time of the first renal biopsy. Methods. The cohort consisted of 100 patients diagnosed with LN (World Health Organization classes I-VI) between 1971 and 1995 and followed for a median duration of 14.7 years (range 0.01-36.9 years). Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated on the basis of national age-, sex-, and calendar-year period-specific death rates. Results. Thirty-seven deaths occurred in the cohort, corresponding to an overall SMR of 6.8 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 4.9 -9.4). Excess mortality was observed throughout followup. The SMR estimates were 9.0 (95% CI 4.7-17.1), 6.2 (95% CI 4.0 -9.5), and 6.6 (95% CI 3.1-13.8) for patients diagnosed during the calendar-year periods 1971-1979, 1980 -1989, and 1990 -1995, respectively. The cumulative renal survival after 5, 10, and 20 years of followup was 87%, 83%, and 73%, respectively. The risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) did not decrease significantly across calendaryear periods. Systolic blood pressure >180 mm Hg, focal segmental nephritis, and advanced sclerosing nephritis were identified as baseline predictors of death in multivariate regression analyses, while systolic blood pressure >180 mm Hg, serum creatinine level >140 moles/liter, and diagnostic delay predicted progression to ESRD. Conclusion. LN is associated with excess long-term mortality, and patients may progress to ESRD even after prolonged followup. Our analyses indicate that focal segmental histopathology at disease onset constitutes an important risk factor for death among LN patients. Moreover, our data underscore the importance of early intervention, blood pressure control, and long-term followup in LN.
Objective. Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) seem to experience an increased prevalence of oncogenic virus infections. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether SLE patients have an increased risk of virus-associated malignancies, defined as malignancies potentially caused by virus infection.Methods. A hospital-based cohort of 576 SLE patients was linked to the Danish Cancer Registry. The cohort was followed up for malignancies from the date of SLE diagnosis, and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated for various forms of cancer.Results Conclusion. The patients in this SLE cohort experienced an increased risk of HPV-associated tumors and other potentially virus-induced cancers during long-term followup. Our findings call for clinical alertness to oncogenic virus infections in SLE patients.
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