Background: Critically ill neonates are at greater risk for adverse drug reactions (ADRs). The differentiation of ADRs from reactions associated with organ dysfunction/immaturity or genetic variability is difficult. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, each ADR was assessed using newborn-specific severity and probability scales by the clinical pharmacist. Subsequently, a machine learning-based risk score was designed to predict ADR presence in neonates. Results: In 98/412 (23.8%) of (56.3%; male) neonates included, 187 ADRs (0.42 ADR/patient) were determined related to 49 different drugs (37.12%). Drugs identified as high risk were enoxaparin, dexmedetomidine, vinblastine, dornase alfa, etoposide/carboplatin and prednisolone. The independent variables included in the risk score to predict ADR presence, according to the random forest importance criterion, were: systemic hormones (2 points), cardiovascular drugs (3 points), diseases of the circulatory system (1 point), nervous system drugs (1 point), and parenteral nutrition treatment (1 point), (cut-off value: 3 points). This risk score correctly classified 91.1% of the observations in the test set (c-index: 0.914). Conclusions: Using the high-performing risk score specific to neonates, it is expected that high-risk neonatal ADRs can be determined and prevented before they occur. Moreover, the awareness of clinicians of these drugs can be improved with this web-tool, and mitigation strategies (change of drug, dose, treatment duration, etc.) can be considered, based on a benefit-harm relationship for suspected drugs with a newborn-centered approach.

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Aim: To develop models that predict the presence of medication errors (MEs) (prescription, preparation, administration, and monitoring) using machine learning in NICU patients.Design: Prospective, observational cohort study randomized with machine learning (ML) algorithms.Setting: A 22-bed capacity NICU in Ankara, Turkey, between February 2020 and July 2021.Results: A total of 11,908 medication orders (28.9 orders/patient) for 412 NICU patients (5.53 drugs/patient/day) who received 2,280 prescriptions over 32,925 patient days were analyzed. At least one physician-related ME and nurse-related ME were found in 174 (42.2%) and 235 (57.0%) of the patients, respectively. The parameters that had the highest correlation with ME occurrence and subsequently included in the model were: total number of drugs, anti-infective drugs, nervous system drugs, 5-min APGAR score, postnatal age, alimentary tract and metabolism drugs, and respiratory system drugs as patient-related parameters, and weekly working hours of nurses, weekly working hours of physicians, and number of nurses’ monthly shifts as care provider-related parameters. The obtained model showed high performance to predict ME (AUC: 0.920; 95% CI: 0.876–0.970) presence and is accessible online (http://softmed.hacettepe.edu.tr/NEO-DEER_Medication_Error/).Conclusion: This is the first developed and validated model to predict the presence of ME using work environment and pharmacotherapy parameters with high-performance ML algorithms in NICU patients. This approach and the current model hold the promise of implementation of targeted/precision screening to prevent MEs in neonates.Clinical Trial Registration:ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT04899960.

Hospitalized newborns have an increased risk of malnutrition and, especially preterm infants, often experience malnutrition-related extrauterine growth restriction (EUGR). The aim of this study was to predict the discharge weight and the presence of weight gain at discharge with machine learning (ML) algorithms. The demographic and clinical parameters were used to develop the models using fivefold cross-validation in the software-R with a neonatal nutritional screening tool (NNST). A total of 512 NICU patients were prospectively included in the study. Length of hospital stay (LOS), parenteral nutrition treatment (PN), postnatal age (PNA), surgery, and sodium were the most important variables in predicting the presence of weight gain at discharge with a random forest classification (AUROC:0.847). The AUROC of NNST-Plus, which was improved by adding LOS, PN, PNA, surgery, and sodium to NNST, increased by 16.5%. In addition, weight at admission, LOS, gestation-adjusted age at admission (> 40 weeks), sex, gestational age, birth weight, PNA, SGA, complications of labor and delivery, multiple birth, serum creatinine, and PN treatment were the most important variables in predicting discharge weight with an elastic net regression (R2 = 0.748). This is the first study on the early prediction of EUGR with promising clinical performance based on ML algorithms. It is estimated that the incidence of EUGR can be improved with the implementation of this ML-based web tool (http://www.softmed.hacettepe.edu.tr/NEO-DEER/) in clinical practice.

Objective: To identify any relationship among visceral adipose tissue area (visceral FA), liver density (liver HU), psoas muscle area (psoas MA), waist circumference (WC) and the presence and severity of abdominal aortic calcific atherosclerosis (AAC).