Global warming is causing some regions to experience frequent and severe drought, with important impacts on montane forest vegetation. In this study, the Qilian Mountains is on the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau which was divided into three study areas, the eastern (HaXi), middle (XiShui) and western (QiFeng) parts. This work focused on interannual trend comparison of tree-ring width (TRW) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI), their relationship characterization from 2000 to 2020, and spatial and temporal pattern portrayal of response to climate factors. The results showed that: (1) the overall interannual variation of TRW and EVI showed a stable increasing trend, and the trend of TRW and EVI gradually became consistent with the increase in drought stress (from the eastern region to the western region and from high elevation to low elevation) (p < 0.01); (2) a significant positive relation was observed between TRW and EVI at the same sampling sites, and the synchrony of the positive correlation gradually increased with the increase of drought stress (p < 0.01); and (3) compared to TRW, EVI is significantly more sensitive with climatic variations, and the dominant climate factors affecting both TRW and EVI dynamics are gradually identical with the increase of drought stress.
Understanding how vegetation growth responds to climate change is a critical requirement for predicting future ecosystem dynamics. Global warming causes significant changes in the vegetation characteristics of mountain ecosystems, particularly affecting vegetation phenology and net primary productivity (NPP). The Qilian Mountains are located in an arid and semiarid region, and the mechanisms of vegetation phenology in response to climate change still need to be further explored. We used MODIS data (2001–2020) to extract vegetation phenology and NPP, quantitatively evaluated their spatial–temporal dynamics, and analyzed the response mechanism of vegetation phenology–climate and vegetation phenology–NPP combined with meteorological data. The results showed that from southeast to northwest, the vegetation phenology changes significantly with the change in vegetation type, with SOS (start of the growing season) advancing at a rate of −0.415 d/year, EOS (end of the growing season) and LOS (length of the growing season) delaying at a rate of 0.20 d/year and 0.374 d/year, respectively, and NPP continues to increase. There was also an elevation gradient effect, with SOS delayed by 15.6 d/km, EOS advanced by 12.02 d/km and LOS shortened by 19.24 d/km. We found that the preseason temperature and SPEI (standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index) have a strong influence on the SOS and EOS, with the mean minimum temperature being the most significant and requiring attention, while the influence of precipitation cannot be ignored. We also found that the vegetation phenology is closely related to NPP, and SOS has the most significant effect. This study will provide a scientific basis for the response mechanisms of vegetation phenology in arid and semiarid regions under climate change. It will provide a reference for the implementation of effective ecosystem management.
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