Without a doubt the first step in any water resources management is the rainfall-runoff modeling over the watershed. However considering high stochastic property of the process, many models are being still developed in order to define such a complex phenomenon in the field of hydrologic engineering. Recently Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as a non-linear inter-extrapolator is extensively used by hydrologists for rainfall-runoff modeling as well as other fields of hydrology. In the current research, the wavelet analysis was linked to the ANN concept for modeling Ligvanchai watershed rainfall-runoff process at Tabriz, Iran. For this purpose the main time series of two variables, rainfall and runoff, were decomposed to some multi-frequently time series by wavelet theory, then these time series were imposed as input data to the ANN to predict the runoff discharge 1 day ahead. The obtained results show the proposed model can predict both short and long term runoff discharges because of using multi-scale time series of rainfall and runoff data as the ANN input layer.Keywords Artificial neural network · Black box model · Rainfall-runoff modeling · Wavelet transform · Ligvanchai watershed
The most important approach to identify the behavior of hydrological processes is time series analysis of this process. Wavelet-entropy measure has been considered as a criterion for the degree of time series fluctuations and consequently uncertainty. Wavelet-entropy measure reduction indicates the reduction in natural time series fluctuations and thus, the occurrence of an unfavorable trend in time series. In this way, to identify the main cause of declining aquifer water level in the Silakhor plain, monthly time series of rainfall, temperature and output discharge were divided into three different time periods. Then, these time series were decomposed to multiple frequent time series by wavelet transform and then, the wavelet energies were computed for these decomposed time series. Finally, wavelet-entropy measure was computed for each different time period. Given the entropy reduction of about 71, 13 and 10.5% for discharge, rainfall and temperature time series respectively, it can be concluded that fluctuation decrease of discharge time series has relatively more effect on groundwater level oscillation patterns with respect to the rainfall and temperature time series. In this regard, it could be concluded that the climate change factors are not facing significant changes; thus, human activities can be regarded as the main reason for the declining groundwater level in this plain.
One of the most important issues in earth dams is the control rate of seepage from the foundation and dam bodies. Due to the site of the dams, to increase the creep length and reduce the seepage, there are several methods for sealing the reservoir of dams that construction of the cut-off wall under the clay core of the dams is one of the most effective methods. In this study, the seepage rate and pore water pressure of the Eyvashan earth dam, comparison of instrument results with the results of numerical analysis and, finally, the performance of the cut-off wall are investigated. According to the results of instrumental and numerical analysis, the maximum seepage rate in full reservoir conditions is equal to 831,604 m3/year. To fit the data of instrumentation and numerical analysis, multivariate regression was used and the coefficient of determination was used which R2 = 0.9892 and R2 = 0.9834, respectively, were obtained for seepage and pore water pressure. Very good agreement between the results of the observed data and the predicted data indicates the proper behavior of the dam in terms of pore water pressure. Also, due to the results of numerical simulation and instrumentation, the pore water pressure in the downstream part of the cut-off wall is suddenly dropped, which indicates the correct operation of the cut-off wall.
In this study, wavelet-support vector machine (WSVM) is proposed for drought forecasting using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). In this way, the SPI time series of Urmia Lake watershed is decomposed to multiple frequency time series by wavelet transform. Then, these time sub-series are applied as input data to the support vector machine (SVM) model to forecast drought. Also, a cuckoo search (CS)-based approach is proposed for parameter optimization of SVM, finding the best initial constant parameters of the SVM algorithm. The obtained results indicate that the radial basis function (RBF)-kernel function of the SVM algorithm has high efficiency in the SPI modeling, resulting in a determination coefficient (DC) of 0.865 in verification step. In the WSVM model, the Coif1, which is considered as a mother wavelet function with decomposition level of five, shows a better performance with DC of 0.954 in verification step, revealing that the proposed hybrid WSVM model outperforms the single SVM model in forecasting SPI time series. Also, DC of cuckoo search-support vector machine (CS-SVM) is calculated to be 0.912 in verification step, indicating the fact that the proposed CS-SVM model shows better efficiency than single SVM model.
The drainage system is used to guide the flow of water in the earth dams. Construction of drainage in the dam body to collect and direct the drainage formed in the dam body to keep the slope dry and prevent the increase of pore water pressure in the body. One of the main goals of the designers is to find the minimum factor of safety and, consequently, reduce the cost of construction. In this study, the Marvak dam is modeled with the actual characteristics of the materials in the Geostudio software, and with the change in the dimensions of the drain, the material and the slope of the dam body, the minimum Factor of safety of the dam is obtained. In order to predict the minimum Factor of safety, a two-layer neural network has been used. With the training of the neural network based on the data obtained from heterogeneous dams, a minimum Factor of safety has been extracted for optimization of drainage. Finally, it was determined that the internal friction angle of the body material and the slope of the dam have the greatest effect on the dam factor of safety.
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