Abstract. A range of proxy observations have recently provided constraints on how Earth's hydrological cycle responded to early Eocene climatic changes. However, comparisons of proxy data to general circulation model (GCM) simulated hydrology are limited and inter-model variability remains poorly characterised. In this work, we undertake an intercomparison of GCM-derived precipitation and P − E distributions within the extended EoMIP ensemble (Eocene Modelling Intercomparison Project; Lunt et al., 2012), which includes previously published early Eocene simulations performed using five GCMs differing in boundary conditions, model structure, and precipitation-relevant parameterisation schemes. We show that an intensified hydrological cycle, manifested in enhanced global precipitation and evaporation rates, is simulated for all Eocene simulations relative to the preindustrial conditions. This is primarily due to elevated atmospheric paleo-CO2, resulting in elevated temperatures, although the effects of differences in paleogeography and ice sheets are also important in some models. For a given CO2 level, globally averaged precipitation rates vary widely between models, largely arising from different simulated surface air temperatures. Models with a similar global sensitivity of precipitation rate to temperature (dP∕dT) display different regional precipitation responses for a given temperature change. Regions that are particularly sensitive to model choice include the South Pacific, tropical Africa, and the Peri-Tethys, which may represent targets for future proxy acquisition. A comparison of early and middle Eocene leaf-fossil-derived precipitation estimates with the GCM output illustrates that GCMs generally underestimate precipitation rates at high latitudes, although a possible seasonal bias of the proxies cannot be excluded. Models which warm these regions, either via elevated CO2 or by varying poorly constrained model parameter values, are most successful in simulating a match with geologic data. Further data from low-latitude regions and better constraints on early Eocene CO2 are now required to discriminate between these model simulations given the large error bars on paleoprecipitation estimates. Given the clear differences between simulated precipitation distributions within the ensemble, our results suggest that paleohydrological data offer an independent means by which to evaluate model skill for warm climates.
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; ~ 56 million years ago (Ma) is the most severe carbon cycle perturbation event of the Cenozoic. Although the PETM is associated with warming in both the surface (~up to 8°C) and deep ocean (~up to 5°C), there are relatively few terrestrial temperature estimates from the onset of this interval. The associated response of the hydrological cycle during the PETM is also poorly constrained. Here, we use biomarker proxies (informed by models) to reconstruct temperature and hydrological change within the Cobham Lignite (UK) during the latest Paleocene and early PETM. Previous work at this site indicates warm terrestrial temperatures during the very latest Paleocene (ca. 22 to 26°C). However, biomarker temperature proxies imply cooling during the onset of the PETM (ca. 5 to 11°C cooling), inconsistent with other local, regional and global evidence. This coincides with an increase in pH (ca. 2 pH units with pH values > 7), enhanced waterlogging, a major reduction in fires and the development of areas of open water within a peatland environment. This profound change in hydrology and environment biases biomarker temperature proxies, including the branched GDGT paleothermometer. This serves as a cautionary tale on the danger of attempting to interpret biomarker proxy records without a wider understanding of their environmental context.
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; ~ 56 million years ago (Ma) is the most severe carbon cycle perturbation event of the Cenozoic. Although the PETM is associated with warming in both the surface (~up to 8°C) and deep ocean (~up to 5°C), there are relatively few terrestrial temperature estimates from the onset of this interval. The associated response of the hydrological cycle during the PETM is also poorly constrained. Here, we use biomarker proxies (informed by models) to reconstruct temperature and hydrological change within the Cobham Lignite (UK) during the latest Paleocene and early PETM. Previous work at this site indicates warm terrestrial temperatures during the very latest Paleocene (ca. 22 to 26°C). However, biomarker temperature proxies imply cooling during the onset of the PETM (ca. 5 to 11°C cooling), inconsistent with other local, regional and global evidence. This coincides with an increase in pH (ca. 2 pH units with pH values > 7), enhanced waterlogging, a major reduction in fires and the development of areas of open water within a peatland environment. This profound change in hydrology and environment biases biomarker temperature proxies, including the branched GDGT paleothermometer. This serves as a cautionary tale on the danger of attempting to interpret biomarker proxy records without a wider understanding of their environmental context.
A range of proxy approaches have been used to reconstruct short-term changes to Earth’s hydrological cycle during the early Eocene hyperthermals. However, little is known about the response of Earth’s hydrological and biogeochemical systems to long-term Cenozoic cooling, which began following the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum (53.3 – 49.4 million years ago; Ma). Here, we use the molecular distribution and isotopic composition of terrestrial biomarkers preserved in marine sediments of ODP Site 913, East Greenland, to develop a long-term record of high-latitude hydrological change between 50 and 34 Ma. There is a marked decline in the concentration of conifer-derived diterpenoids and angiosperm-derived triterpenoids during the Eocene. As the input of wind-blown conifer pollen remains stable during this interval, this implies that decreasing di- and triterpenoid concentrations reflect declining influence of fluvial inputs – and perhaps terrestrial runoff – throughout the Eocene. Branched GDGTs and bacterial-derived hopanes indicate an increased input of soil- and kerogen-derived organic matter, respectively, after 38 Ma. This coincides with evidence for ice rafted debris and suggests input of organic matter via glacial processes. This also implies some continental glaciation occurred in the middle-to-late Eocene. Leaf wax hydrogen isotopes extending throughout this section – the first such long-term record from the Paleogene - indicate that precipitation δ2H was persistently higher than that of modern coastal Greenland, consistent with warmer ocean source waters and enhanced poleward moisture transport. Non-intuitively, however, this effect appears to have been smallest during the warmest part of the record, and higher δ2H values occur in the middle Eocene. Although interpretation of these hydrogen isotope trends is unclear, they clearly indicate – alongside the changes in biomarker abundances – a perturbed hydrological cycle through the Eocene in coastal Greenland. More long-term records are required to ascertain if this represents regional or global hydrological reorganisation.
Abstract. Recent studies, utilising a range of proxies, indicate that a significant perturbation to global hydrology occurred at the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; ~56 Ma). An enhanced hydrological cycle for the warm early Eocene is also suggested to have played a key role in maintaining high-latitude warmth during this interval. However, comparisons of proxy data to General Circulation Model (GCM) simulated hydrology are limited and inter-model variability remains poorly characterised, despite significant differences in simulated surface temperatures. In this work, we undertake an intercomparison of GCM-derived precipitation and P-E distributions within the EoMIP ensemble (Lunt et al., 2012), which includes previously-published early Eocene simulations performed using five GCMs differing in boundary conditions, model structure and precipitation relevant parameterisation schemes. We show that an intensified hydrological cycle, manifested in enhanced global precipitation and evaporation rates, is simulated for all Eocene simulations relative to preindustrial. This is primarily due to elevated atmospheric paleo-CO2, although the effects of differences in paleogeography/ice sheets are also of importance in some models. For a given CO2 level, globally-averaged precipitation rates vary widely between models, largely arising from different simulated surface air temperatures. Models with a similar global sensitivity of precipitation rate to temperature (dP/dT) display different regional precipitation responses for a given temperature change. Regions that are particularly sensitive to model choice include the South Pacific, tropical Africa and the Peri-Tethys, which may represent targets for future proxy acquisition. A comparison of early and middle Eocene leaf-fossil-derived precipitation estimates with the GCM output illustrates that a number of GCMs underestimate precipitation rates at high latitudes. Models which warm these regions, either via elevated CO2 or by varying poorly constrained model parameter values, are most successful in simulating a match with geologic data. Further data from low-latitude regions and better constraints on early Eocene CO2 are now required to discriminate between these model simulations given the large error bars on paleoprecipitation estimates. Given the clear differences apparent between simulated precipitation distributions within the ensemble, our results suggest that paleohydrological data offer an independent means by which to evaluate model skill for warm climates.
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