This document was developed to enable greater consistency in the practice, application, and documentation of Model‐Informed Drug Discovery and Development (MID3) across the pharmaceutical industry. A collection of “good practice” recommendations are assembled here in order to minimize the heterogeneity in both the quality and content of MID3 implementation and documentation. The three major objectives of this white paper are to: i) inform company decision makers how the strategic integration of MID3 can benefit R&D efficiency; ii) provide MID3 analysts with sufficient material to enhance the planning, rigor, and consistency of the application of MID3; and iii) provide regulatory authorities with substrate to develop MID3 related and/or MID3 enabled guidelines.
Pharmacogenetics is now widely investigated and health institutions acknowledge its place in clinical pharmacokinetics. Our objective is to assess through a simulation study, the impact of design on the statistical performances of three different tests used for analysis of pharmacogenetic information with nonlinear mixed effects models: (i) an ANOVA to test the relationship between the empirical Bayes estimates of the model parameter of interest and the genetic covariate, (ii) a global Wald test to assess whether estimates for the gene effect are significant, and (iii) a likelihood ratio test (LRT) between the model with and without the genetic covariate. We use the stochastic EM algorithm (SAEM) implemented in MONOLIX 2.1 software. The simulation setting is inspired from a real pharmacokinetic study. We investigate four designs with N the number of subjects and n the number of samples per subject: (i) N = 40/n = 4, similar to the original study, (ii) N = 80/n = 2 sorted in 4 groups, a design optimized using the PFIM software, (iii) a combined design, N = 20/n = 4 plus N = 80 with only a trough concentration and (iv) N = 200/n = 4, to approach asymptotic conditions. We find that the ANOVA has a correct type I error estimate regardless of design, however the sparser design was optimized. The type I error of the Wald test and LRT are moderatly inflated in the designs far from the asymptotic (<10%). For each design, the corrected power is analogous for the three tests. Among the three designs with a total of 160 observations, the design N = 80/n = 2 optimized with PFIM provides both the lowest standard error on the effect coefficients and the best power for the Wald test and the LRT while a high shrinkage decreases the power of the ANOVA. In conclusion, a correction method should be used for model-based tests in pharmacogenetic studies with reduced sample size and/or sparse sampling and, for the same amount of samples, some designs have better power than others.
Flotetuzumab (MGD006 or S80880) is a bispecific molecule that recognizes CD3 and CD123 membrane proteins, redirecting T cells to kill CD123-expressing cells for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia. In this study, we developed a mathematical model to characterize MGD006 exposure-response relationships and to assess the impact of its immunogenicity in cynomolgus monkeys. Thirty-two animals received multiple escalating doses (100-300-600-1,000 ng/kg/day) via intravenous infusion continuously 4 days a week. The model reflects sequential binding of MGD006 to CD3 and CD123 receptors. Formation of the MGD006/CD3 complex was connected to total T cells undergoing trafficking, whereas the formation of the trimolecular complex results in T-cell activation and clonal expansion. Activated T cells were used to drive the peripheral depletion of CD123-positive cells. Anti-drug antibody development was linked to MGD006 disposition as an elimination pathway. Model validation was tested by predicting the activity of MGD006 in eight monkeys receiving continuous 7-day infusions. MGD006 disposition and total T-cell and CD123-positive cell profiles were well characterized. Anti-drug antibody development led to the suppression of T-cell trafficking but did not systematically abolish CD123-positive cell depletion. Target cell depletion could persist after drug elimination owing to the self-proliferation of activated T cells generated during the first cycles. The model was externally validated with the 7-day infusion dosing schedule. A translational model was developed for MGD006 that features T-cell activation and expansion as a key driver of pharmacologic activity and provides a mechanistic quantitative platform to inform dosing strategies in ongoing clinical studies. .
Drug development in oncology commonly exploits the tools of molecular biology to gain therapeutic benefit through reprograming of cellular responses. In immuno‐oncology (IO) the aim is to direct the patient’s own immune system to fight cancer. After remarkable successes of antibodies targeting PD1/PD‐L1 and CTLA4 receptors in targeted patient populations, the focus of further development has shifted toward combination therapies. However, the current drug‐development approach of exploiting a vast number of possible combination targets and dosing regimens has proven to be challenging and is arguably inefficient. In particular, the unprecedented number of clinical trials testing different combinations may no longer be sustainable by the population of available patients. Further development in IO requires a step change in selection and validation of candidate therapies to decrease development attrition rate and limit the number of clinical trials. Quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) proposes to tackle this challenge through mechanistic modeling and simulation. Compounds’ pharmacokinetics, target binding, and mechanisms of action as well as existing knowledge on the underlying tumor and immune system biology are described by quantitative, dynamic models aiming to predict clinical results for novel combinations. Here, we review the current QSP approaches, the legacy of mathematical models available to quantitative clinical pharmacologists describing interaction between tumor and immune system, and the recent development of IO QSP platform models. We argue that QSP and virtual patients can be integrated as a new tool in existing IO drug development approaches to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of the search for novel combination therapies.
The lack of a common exchange format for mathematical models in pharmacometrics has been a long-standing problem. Such a format has the potential to increase productivity and analysis quality, simplify the handling of complex workflows, ensure reproducibility of research, and facilitate the reuse of existing model resources. Pharmacometrics Markup Language (PharmML), currently under development by the Drug Disease Model Resources (DDMoRe) consortium, is intended to become an exchange standard in pharmacometrics by providing means to encode models, trial designs, and modeling steps.
Quantitative pharmacology (QP) applications in translational medicine, drug‐development, and therapeutic use were crowd‐sourced by the ASCPT Impact and Influence initiative. Highlighted QP case studies demonstrated faster access to innovative therapies for patients through 1) rational dose selection for pivotal trials; 2) reduced trial‐burden for vulnerable populations; or 3) simplified posology. Critical success factors were proactive stakeholder engagement, alignment on the value of model‐informed approaches, and utilizing foundational clinical pharmacology understanding of the therapy.
Abstract. This study aimed to develop a joint population pharmacokinetic model for an antipsychotic agent in development (S33138) and its active metabolite (S35424) produced by reversible metabolism. Because such a model leads to identifiability problems and numerical difficulties, the model building was performed using the FOCE-I and the Stochastic Approximation Expectation Maximization (SAEM) estimation algorithms in NONMEM and MONOLIX, respectively. Four different structural models were compared based on Bayesian information criteria. Models were first written as ordinary differential equations systems and then in closed form (CF) to facilitate further analyses. The impact of polymorphisms on genes coding for the CYP2C19 and CYP2D6 enzymes, respectively involved in the parent drug and the metabolite elimination were investigated using permutation Wald test. The parent drug and metabolite plasma concentrations of 101 patients were analyzed on two occasions after 4 and 8 weeks of treatment at 1, 3, 6, and 24 h following daily oral administration. All configurations led to a two compartment model with back-transformation of the metabolite into the parent drug and a first-pass effect. The elimination clearance of the metabolite through other processes than back-transformation was decreased by 35% [9-53%] in CYP2D6 poor metabolizer. Permutation tests were performed to ensure the robustness of the analysis, using SAEM and CF. In conclusion, we developed a complex joint pharmacokinetic model adequately predicting the impact of CYP2D6 polymorphisms on the parent drug and its metabolite concentrations through the back-transformation mechanism.
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