Background Since systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) affects women of reproductive age, pregnancy is a major concern. Objective To identify predictors of adverse pregnancy outcome (APO) in inactive or stable active SLE patients Design Prospective Cohort Setting Multicenter Patients 385 patients (49% non-Hispanic White; 31% prior nephritis) with SLE in PROMISSE. Exclusion criteria were: proteinuria >1000 mg/24 hour, creatinine >1.2 mg/dL, prednisone >20 mg/day, or multi-fetal pregnancy. Measurements APO included: fetal/neonatal death; birth <36 weeks due to placental insufficiency, hypertension, or preeclampsia; and small for gestational age (SGA) <5%. Disease activity was assessed by SLEPDAI and physician's global assessment (PGA). Results APO occurred in 19.0% (95% CI: 15.2% - 23.2%) of pregnancies, fetal death (4%), neonatal death (1%), preterm delivery (9%), and SGA (10%). Severe flares in the second and third trimester occurred in 2.5% and 3.0%, respectively. Baseline predictors of APO included lupus anticoagulant positive (OR = 8.32, 95% CI: 3.59-19.26), antihypertensive use (OR = 7.05, 95% CI: 3.05 - 16.31), PGA>1 (OR = 4.02, 95% CI: 1.84 - 8.82) and platelets (OR = 1.33 per 50K decrease, 95% CI:1.09-1.63); non-Hispanic White was protective (OR = 0.45, 95% CI: 0.24-0.84). Maternal flares, higher disease activity, and smaller increase in C3 later in pregnancy also predicted APO. Among women without baseline risk factors, the APO rate was 7.8%. For those either LAC positive, or LAC negative but non-White or Hispanic and taking antihypertensives, APO rate was 58%; fetal/neonatal mortality 22%. Limitations Excluded patients with high disease activity. Conclusions In pregnant SLE patients with inactive or stable mild/moderate disease, severe flares are infrequent, and absent specific risk factors, outcomes are favorable. Primary Funding Source National Institutes of Health

BACKGROUND Which serologic and clinical findings predict adverse pregnancy outcome (APO) in patients with antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) is controversial. METHODS PROMISSE is a multicenter, prospective observational study of risk factors for APO in patients with aPL (lupus anticoagulant [LAC], anticardiolipin antibody [aCL] and/or antibody to β2 glycoprotein I [anti-β2-GP-I]). We tested the hypothesis that a pattern of clinical and serological variables can identify women at highest risk for APO. RESULTS Between 2003 and 2011 we enrolled 144 pregnant patients, of whom 28 had APO. Thirty-nine percent of patients with LAC had APO, compared to 3% who did not have LAC (p < 0.0001). Only 8% of women with IgG aCL ≥40 u/mL but not LAC suffered APO, compared to 43% of those with LAC (p = 0.002). IgM aCL or IgG or IgM anti-β2-GP-I did not predict APO. In bivariate analysis, APO occurred in 52% of patients with and 13% of patients without prior thrombosis (p = 0.00005), and in 23% with SLE compared to 17% without SLE (not significant); SLE was a predictor in multivariate analysis. Prior pregnancy loss did not predict APO, nor did maternal race. Simultaneous aCL, anti-β2-GP-I, and LAC did not predict APO better than did LAC alone. CONCLUSIONS LAC is the primary predictor of APO after 12 weeks gestation in aPL-associated pregnancies. ACL and anti-β2-GP-I, if LAC is not also present, do not predict APO.

The distribution and abundance of Ixodes scapularis were studied in Wisconsin, northern Illinois, and portions of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan by inspecting small mammals for ticks and by collecting questing ticks at 138 locations in state parks and natural areas. Environmental data were gathered at a local level (i.e., micro and meso levels), and a geographic information system (GIS) was used with several digitized coverages of environmental data to create a habitat profile for each site and a grid map for Wisconsin and Illinois. Results showed that the presence and abundance of I. scapularis varied, even when the host population was adequate. Tick presence was positively associated with deciduous, dry to mesic forests and alfisol-type soils of sandy or loam-sand textures overlying sedimentary rock. Tick absence was associated with grasslands, conifer forests, wet to wet/mesic forests, acidic soils of low fertility and a clay soil texture, and Precambrian bedrock. We performed a discriminant analysis to determine environmental differences between positive and negative tick sites and a regression equation to examine the probability of I. scapularis presence per grid. Both analyses indicated that soil order and land cover were the dominant contributors to tick presence. We then constructed a risk map indicating suitable habitats within areas where I. scapularis is already established. The risk map also shows areas of high probability the tick will become established if introduced. Thus, this risk analysis has both explanatory power and predictive capability.

Background Based on the potential involvement of Toll-like receptor (TLR) signalling in the pathogenesis of neonatal lupus (NL), it was hypothesised that fetal exposure to hydroxychloroquine (HCQ), a TLR inhibitor, might reduce the risk of anti-SSA/Ro/SSB/La antibody-associated cardiac manifestations of NL (cardiac-NL). Methods Cardiac-NL children (N=50) and controls (N=151) were drawn from the following overlapping pregnancy studies: Research Registry for NL; PR Interval and Dexamethasone Evaluation in Cardiac-NL; and Predictors of Pregnancy Outcomes: Biomarkers in Antiphospholipid Syndrome and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE). Pregnancies met the following inclusion criteria: documentation of maternal anti-SSA/Ro/SSB/La antibodies at pregnancy, confirmation of medication use and child’s outcome, a diagnosis of SLE before pregnancy and birth by 31 December 2007. Results Seven (14%) of the cardiac-NL children were exposed to HCQ compared with 56 (37%) of the controls (p=0.002; OR 0.28; 95% CI 0.12 to 0.63). Cases and controls were similar with respect to demographic and antibody status. Multivariable analysis adjusting for birth year, maternal race/ethnicity, antibody status, non-fluorinated steroid use and prior cardiac-NL risk yielded an OR associated with HCQ use of 0.46 (95% CI 0.18 to 1.18; p=0.10). Conclusion This case–control study suggests that, in mothers with SLE with anti-SSA/Ro/SSB/La antibodies, exposure to HCQ during pregnancy may decrease the risk of fetal development of cardiac-NL. Prospective studies are needed for confirmation.

Background Over 20% of pregnancies in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and/or antiphospholipid antibodies (APL) result in an adverse pregnancy outcome (APO) related to abnormal placentation. The ability to identify, early in pregnancy, patients who are destined for poor outcomes would significantly impact care of this high risk population. In non-autoimmune patients, circulating angiogenic factors are dysregulated in disorders of placentation, such as preeclampsia (PE) and fetal growth restriction. Objective To determine whether early dysregulation of circulating angiogenic factors, can predict APO in high risk SLE and/or APL pregnancies. Study Design We used data and samples from the PROMISSE Study (Predictors of pRegnancy Outcome: BioMarkers In antiphospholipid antibody Syndrome and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus), a multi-center prospective study that enrolled 492 pregnant women with SLE and/or APL between September 2003 and August 2013. Patients were followed through pregnancy from <12 weeks gestation. Circulating levels of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt1), placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble endoglin (sEng) were measured monthly and subjects followed for APO, classified as severe (PE<34 weeks, fetal/neonatal death, indicated pre-term delivery <30 weeks) or moderate (PE≥34 weeks, indicated preterm delivery 30-36 weeks, growth restriction without PE). Results Severe APOs occurred in 12% and moderate APOs in 10% of patients. By 12-15 weeks, sFlt1, PlGF, and sEng levels were markedly altered in women who developed severe APO. After adjusting for clinical risk factors, sFlt1 was the strongest predictor of severe APO among 12-15 week measures (odds ratio=17.3 comparing highest and lowest quartiles, 95% CI: 3.5-84.8; positive predictive value (PPV)=61%; negative predictive value (NPV)=93%). At 16-19 weeks, the combination of sFlt1 and PlGF was most predictive of severe APO, with risk greatest for subjects with both PlGF in lowest quartile (<70.3 pg/ml) and sFlt1 in highest quartile (>1872 pg/ml; odds ratio=31.1; 95% CI: 8.0-121.9; PPV=58%; NPV=95%). Severe APO rate in this high risk subgroup was 94% (95%CI: 70%-99.8%), if lupus anticoagulant or history of high blood pressure is additionally present. In contrast, among patients with both sFlt1 <1872 pg/ml and PlGF >70.3 pg/ml, rate of severe APO was only 4.6% (95% CI: 2.1%-8.6%). Conclusions Circulating angiogenic factors measured during early gestation have a high negative predictive value in ruling out the development of severe adverse outcomes among patients with SLE and/or APL syndrome. Timely risk stratification of patients is important for effective clinical care and optimal allocation of healthcare resources.

In pregnant patients with SLE and/or aPL, increased Bb and sC5b-9 detectable early in pregnancy are strongly predictive of APOs and support activation of complement, particularly the alternative pathway, as a contributor to APOs.

ObjectiveWe previously reported that lupus anticoagulant (LAC) is the main predictor of poor pregnancy outcome in antiphospholipid antibody (aPL)-positive patients. We sought to confirm this finding in an independent group of patients who were subsequently recruited into the PROMISSE study.MethodsThe PROMISSE study is a multicentre, prospective, observational study of pregnancy outcomes in women with aPL and/or systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) that enrolled patients from 2003 to 2015. All consecutive, aPL-positive patients from the PROMISSE study who completed their pregnancy between April 2011 and January 2015 (after the previous PROMISSE report) are included in the current report. Patients were followed monthly until delivery, and aPL was tested at first, second and third trimesters of pregnancy and at 12 weeks post partum. Adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) were defined as fetal death after 12 weeks of gestation, neonatal death, delivery prior to 36 weeks of gestation due to pre-eclampsia or placental insufficiency or small-for-gestational age (birth weight <5th percentile).ResultsForty-four aPL-positive patients are included in this paper. Thirteen patients had APOs, which occurred in 80% of cases during the second trimester of pregnancy. LAC was present in 69% of patients with APOs compared with 27% of patients without APOs (p=0.01). No association was found between anticardiolipin antibodies (aCL) or anti-β2 glycoprotein I antibodies (aβ2GPI) IgG or IgM positivity and APOs. Definite antiphospholipid syndrome (history of thrombosis and/or pregnancy morbidity and aPL) was found in 92% of patients with any APOs compared with 45% of patients without APOs (p=0.004). Conversely, the frequency of SLE was not statistically different between those with and without APOs (30% vs 39%).ConclusionsOur findings, in an independent group of aPL-positive patients from the PROMISSE study, confirm that LAC, but not aCL and aβ2GPI, is predictive of poor pregnancy outcomes after 12 weeks of pregnancy.Trial registration numberNCT00198068.

N/A.