Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC) suffer from a limited lifespan, which impedes their uses at a large scale. From this point of view, prognostics appears to be a promising activity since the estimation of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) before a failure occurs allows deciding from mitigation actions at the right time when needed. Prognostics is however not a trivial task: 1) underlying degradation mechanisms cannot be easily measured and modeled, 2) health prediction must be performed with a long enough time horizon to allow reaction. The aim of this paper is to face these problems by proposing a prognostics framework that enables avoiding assumptions on the PEMFC behavior, while ensuring good accuracy on RUL estimates. Developments are based on a particle filtering approach that enables including non-observable states (degradation through time) into physical models. RUL estimates are obtained by considering successive probability distributions of degrading states. The method is applied on 2 data sets, where 3 models of the voltage drop are tested to compare predictions. Results are obtained with an accuracy of 90 hours around the real RUL value (for a 1000 hours lifespan), clearly showing the significance of the proposed approach.
Fuel Cell systems (FC) represent a promising alternative energy source. However, even if this technology is close to being competitive, it is not ready for large scale industrial deployment: FC still must be optimized, particularly by increasing their limited lifespan. This involves a better understanding of wearing processes and requires emulating the behavior of the whole system. Furthermore, a new area of science and technology emerges: Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) appears to be of great interest to face the problems of health assessment and life prediction of FCs. According to this, the aim of this paper is to present the current state of the art on PHM of FCs, more precisely of Proton-Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC) stack. PHM discipline is described in order to depict the processing layers that allow early deviations detection, avoiding faults, deciding mitigation actions, and thereby increasing the useful life of FCs. On this basis, a taxonomy of existing works on PHM of PEMFC is given, highlighting open problems to be addressed. The whole enables getting a better understanding of remaining challenging issues in this area.
Driving prediction techniques (DPTs) are used to forecast the distributions of various future driving conditions (FDC), like velocity, acceleration, driver behaviors etc. and the quality of prediction results has great impacts on the performance of corresponding predictive energy management strategies (PEMSs), e.g., fuel economy (FE), lifetime of battery etc. This survey presents a comprehensive study on existing DPTs. Firstly, a review on prediction objectives and major types of prediction algorithms are presented. Then a comparative study on various prediction approaches is carried out and suitable application scenarios for each approach are provided according to their characteristics. Moreover, prediction accuracy-affecting factors are analyzed and corresponding approaches for dealing with mispredictions are discussed in detail. Finally, the bottlenecks of current researches and future developing trends of DPTs are given. In general, this paper not only gives a comprehensive analysis and review of existing DPTs but also indicates suitable application scenarios for each prediction algorithm and summarizes potential approaches for handling the prediction inaccuracies, which will help prospective designers to select proper DPTs according to different applications and contribute to the further performance enhancements of PEMSs for hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs).
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