On February 1, 2016, The World Health Organization declared the ongoing Zika crisis an emergency and that, although not yet scientifically proven, the link between the virus and growing numbers of microcephaly cases was "strongly suspected." However, the causal relationship between zika and microcephaly is not universally accepted. Public Health Implications. The current situation with regard to Zika is not encouraging, because there is no vaccine, no treatment, and no good serological test, and vector control remains a challenge.

SummarySerotypes of dengue DEN-1 and DEN-2 have been reported in much of Brazil over the last 15 years, and DEN-3 serotype was only recently detected. This prospective study was conducted in Salvador, a large city in north-east Brazil, where two epidemics were previously recorded (DEN-1 and DEN-2). We obtained the seroprevalence and 1-year incidence of dengue infections in the population of 30 sampling areas of Salvador and analysed the relationship between intensity of viral circulation, standard of living and vector density. High seroprevalence (68.7%) and annual incidence (70.6%) of infection for one or both circulating serotypes (DEN-1 and DEN-2) were found. High rates of transmission were observed in all studied areas, from the highest to the lowest socio-economic status. The mean PI (Premise Index) for Aedes aegypti was 7.4% (range 0.27-25.6%). Even in the areas with the lowest PI (£ 3%) the observed seroincidence was 54.6%. These findings highlighted the existence of a silent epidemic during a period perceived by the Health Services as of low endemicity, indicating the strength and speed of dengue transmission in the city of Salvador.keywords dengue, prospective study, serological survey, living conditions, vector density correspondence M.

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A situação epidemiológica da dengue no Brasil é apresentada, mostrando-se a introdução e a dispersão do vetor e dos diferentes sorotipos do vírus no Brasil. No presente momento, o Aedes aegypti, o vetor, encontra-se disseminado por praticamente todo o território nacional, bem como três dos quatro sorotipos existentes do vírus (DENV-1, DENV-2 e DENV-3). O quadro epidemiológico tem se caracterizado como epidemias recorrentes, mais visível nos grandes centro urbanos. Um elemento novo no cenário é o crescimento da proporção de casos graves, especialmente casos da febre hemorrágica da dengue. As ações de controle existentes, além de custosas, têm se mostrado inefetivas. Com vistas a preencher as insuficiências existentes no conhecimento, alguns elementos para uma agenda de pesquisa são apresentados. Finalmente, não devemos deixar de reconhecer que problemas como dengue têm suas raízes na forma explosiva como as populações urbanas em países como o Brasil têm crescido, nas condições em que essas populações vivem e nos estilos de vida que adquirem.

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Dengue epidemics account annually for several million cases and deaths worldwide. The high endemic level of dengue fever and its hemorrhagic form correlates to extensive domiciliary infestation by Aedes aegypti and multiple viral serotype human infection. This study analyzed serial case reports registered in Brazil since 1981, describing incidence evolutionary patterns and spatial distribution. Epidemic waves followed the introduction of every serotype (DEN 1 to 3), and reduction in susceptible individuals possibly accounted for decreasing case frequency. An incremental expansion of affected areas and increasing occurrence of dengue fever and its hemorrhagic form with high case fatality were noted in recent years. In contrast, efforts based solely on chemical vector control have been insufficient. Moreover, some evidence demonstrates that educational measures do not permanently modify population habits. Thus, as long as a vaccine is not available, further dengue control depends on potential results from basic interdisciplinary research and intervention evaluation studies, integrating environmental changes, community participation and education, epidemiological and virological surveillance, and strategic technological innovations aimed to stop transmission.

BackgroundThe explosive epidemics of dengue that have been occurring in various countries have stimulated investigation into new approaches to improve understanding of the problem and to develop new strategies for controlling the disease. The objective of this study was to evaluate the characteristics of diffusion of the first dengue epidemic that occurred in the city of Salvador in 1995.MethodsThe epidemiological charts and records of notified cases of dengue in Salvador in 1995 constituted the source of data. The cases of the disease were georeferenced according to census areas (spatial units) and epidemiological weeks (temporal unit). Kernel density estimation was used to identify the pattern of spatial diffusion using the R-Project computer software program.ResultsOf the 2,006 census areas in the city, 1,400 (70%) registered cases of dengue in 1995 and the spatial distribution of these records revealed that by the end of 1995 practically the entire city had been affected by the virus, with the largest concentration of cases occurring in the western region, composed of census areas with a high population density and predominantly horizontal residences compared to the eastern region of the city, where there is a predominance of vertical residential buildings.ConclusionThe pattern found in this study shows the characteristics of the classic process of spreading by contagion that is common to most infectious diseases. It was possible to identify the epicenter of the epidemic from which centrifugal waves of the disease emanated. Our results suggest that, if a more agile control instrument existed that would be capable of rapidly reducing the vector population within a few days or of raising the group immunity of the population by means of a vaccine, it would theoretically be possible to adopt control actions around the epicenter of the epidemic and consequently reduce the incidence of the disease in the city. This finding emphasizes the need for further research to improve the technology available for the prevention of this disease.