Background Georgia has a high prevalence of hepatitis C, with 5•4% of adults chronically infected. On April 28, 2015, Georgia launched a national programme to eliminate hepatitis C by 2020 (90% reduction in prevalence) through scaled-up treatment and prevention interventions. We evaluated the interim effect of the programme and feasibility of achieving the elimination goal.
MethodsWe developed a transmission model to capture the hepatitis C epidemic in Georgia, calibrated to data from biobehavioural surveys of people who inject drugs (PWID; 1998-2015) and a national survey (2015). We projected the effect of the administration of direct-acting antiviral treatments until Feb 28, 2019, and the effect of continuing current treatment rates until the end of 2020. Effect was estimated in terms of the relative decrease in hepatitis C incidence, prevalence, and mortality relative to 2015 and of the deaths and infections averted compared with a counterfactual of no treatment over the study period. We also estimated treatment rates needed to reach Georgia's elimination target.
The 19.7% prevalence of RF1_2k/1b in Georgia patients is far higher than has generally been reported to date worldwide. Identification of recombinants in low income countries with a high prevalence of HCV infection might be reasonable for choosing the most cost-effective treatment regimens.
Background
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection causes dysregulation and suppression of immune pathways involved in the control of tuberculosis (TB) infection. However, data on the role of chronic hepatitis C as a risk factor for active TB are lacking. We sought to evaluate the association between HCV infection and the development of active TB.
Methods
We conducted a cohort study in Georgia among adults tested for HCV antibodies (January 2015 – September 2o2o) and followed longitudinally for the development of newly diagnosed active TB. Data were obtained from the Georgian National programs of hepatitis C and TB. The exposures of interest were untreated and treated HCV infection. Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate adjusted hazards ratios.
Results
A total of 1,828,808 adults were included (median follow-up time: 26 months, IQR: 13-39 months). Active TB was diagnosed in 3,163 (0.17%) individuals after a median of 6 months follow-up (IQR: 1-18 months). The incidence rate per 100,000 person-years was 296 among persons with untreated HCV infection, 109 among those with treated HCV infection, and 65 among HCV-negative persons. In multivariable analysis, both untreated (aHR = 2.9, 95%CI: 2.4-3.4) and treated (aHR = 1.6, 95%CI: 1.4-2.0) HCV infection were associated with a higher hazard of active TB, compared to HCV-negative persons.
Conclusions
Adults with HCV infection, particularly untreated individuals, were at higher risk of developing active TB disease. Screening for latent TB infection and active TB disease should be part of clinical evaluation of people with HCV infection, especially in high TB burden areas.
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