Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh inflasi, nilai tukar (kurs), tingkat suku bunga deposito dan pertumbuhan PDB terhadap pergerakan indeks harga saham sektor properti dan real estate di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan menggunakan data sekunder berupa data tahunan periode 2000-2018 yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia (Statistik Ekonomi dan keuangan Indonesia dan laporan perekonomian Indonesial), Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) (IDX statistics) dan instansi lain yang terkait dengan penelitian. Alat analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian adalah regresi linear berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel independen secara simultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pergerakan indeks harga saham sektor properti dan real estate. Secara parsial inflasi, nilai tukar, tingkat suku bunga deposito berpengaruh signifikan terhadap indeks harga saham sektor properti dan real estate, sedangkan pertumbuhan PDB tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap indeks harga saham sektor properti dan real estate.
This study aims to: (1) To analyze the long-term and short-term relationship between economic growth, government spending and human development index in districts/cities in Jambi Province. (2) To analyze the causal relationship between economic growth, government spending and human development index in regencies/cities in Jambi Province. The data used is panel data from 11 districts/cities in Jambi Province during the period 2010-2020. Analysis of the data used is the Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) and the Granger panel causality test. The results of the study conclude that: (1) There is a positive long-term relationship between the human development index, government spending on education and health on economic growth. In the short term, there is a negative relationship between economic growth, spending on education and health on the human development index. Then there is a positive relationship between government education and health and economic growth. (2) Causality test Granger's results state that there is a two-way causality between economic growth and the human development index, then between government competition and HDI. Furthermore, there is a one-way causality (unidirectional causality) between the government contest and economic growth.
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