Abstrak Cadangan devisa merupakan bagian penting dari perekonomian suatu negara. Besar kecilnya cadangan devisa dapat dipengaruhi oleh nilai ekspor. Tujuan dari penelitian ini yaitu menganalisis pengaruh ekspor, inflasi, BI rate, dan Utang Luar Negeri (ULN) terhadap cadangan devisa, serta menganalisis hubungan kointegrasi antara ekspor, inflasi, BI rate, dan utang luar negeri terhadap cadangan devisa. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dengan bentuk data time series. Analisis data yang digunakan adalah Error Correction Model (ECM) menggunakan aplikasi Eviews10. Hasil penelitian ini menujukan bahwa yang mempengaruhi cadangan devisa adalah BI Rate dan ULN, serta keseimbangan jangka pendek mempengaruhi keseimbangan jangka panjang. Abstract Foreign exchange reserves are an important part of a country's economy. The size of foreign exchange reserves can be influenced by the value of exports. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of exports, inflation, BI rate, and External Debt (ULN) on foreign exchange reserves, as well as analyze the cointegration relationship between exports, inflation, BI rate, and foreign debt on foreign exchange reserves. This study uses secondary data in the form of time series data. Analysis of the data used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) using the Eviews10 application. The results of this study indicate that those that affect foreign exchange reserves are the BI Rate and external debt, and the short-term balance affects the long-term balance.
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