Aortic dissection is an acute lesion of the aortic wall accompanied by separation of the media due to rupture or intramural hematoma. The incidence rate of aortic dissection is 5 to 30 cases per million people a year. Acute aortic dissection is a highly lethal cardiovascular emergency with an incidence of 2000 new cases per year in the United States and 3000 in Europe. The mortality rate of aortic dissection is 3.2/100 000 per year. In case of sudden death of nonhospitalized patients, aortic dissection was proved in 1.5% of necropsy cases. Most of patients die within 48 hours after admission or 1.4% per each hour. The main clinical manifestations of aortic dissection are acute myocardial infarction, stroke, pulmonary embolism, acute heart failure, acute pancreatitis, mesenteries thrombosis, which mislead the physician. The main measure, which might reduce the mortality, is early diagnosis of aortic dissection. The standard diagnosis is based on clinical symptoms and verification by instrumental (imaging) methods. An alternative mean for diagnosis of aortic dissection might be the determination of concentration of smooth muscle myosin heavy chain protein in blood serum, the peak of which is found after 3 hours after the onset of pain. Normal value of smooth muscle myosin heavy chain protein concentration is 2.5 mg/L, while in case of aortic dissection it exceeds 22.4 mg/L. This diagnostic method has not been introduced in Lithuania yet.
EuroSCORE created a moderately predictive area under the ROC curve for our patient population. Probability of non-survival by logistic regression model for each EuroSCORE risk group is statistically significantly higher compared to the lower risk group. Predictions available from prognostic scoring systems could be useful in decision making when there is uncertainty in whether to carry out surgery or not.
Prediction of outcomes after acute myocardial infarction was initiated more than 40 years ago. Improvement of the management options significantly reduced mortality of patients with acute myocardial infarction. In the 1960s, the mortality rate of inpatients was around 25–30%, whereas in 2007, according to the guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes, issued by the European Society of Cardiology, hospital mortality in patients with ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction was 7%, while in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome just 5%, but at 6 months, mortality rates were very similar in both conditions (12% vs. 13%, respectively). There are different criteria for prediction of acute myocardial infarction: demographic, clinical, laboratory, instrumental, and epidemiological. Data of hemodynamic studies are ones of the possible criteria for prediction of outcomes after acute myocardial infarction. Methods and findings of hemodynamic studies used for prediction of the outcomes are presented in this article.
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