Solar flare formation mechanisms and their corresponding predictions have commonly been difficult topics in solar physics for decades. The traditional forecasting method manually constructs a statistical relationship between the measured values of solar active regions and solar flares that cannot fully utilize the information related to solar flares contained in observational data. In this article, we first used neural-network methods driven by the measured magnetogram and magnetic characteristic parameters of the sunspot group to learn the prediction model and predict solar flares. The prediction fusion model is based on a deep neural network, convolutional neural network, and bidirectional long short-term memory neural network and can predict whether a sunspot group will have a flare event above class M or class C in the next 24 or 48 hr. The real skill statistics (TSS) and F1 scores were used to evaluate the performances of our fusion model. The test results clearly show that this fusion model can make full use of the information related to solar flares and combine the advantages of each independent model to capture the evolution characteristics of solar flares, which is a much better performance than traditional statistical prediction models or any single machine-learning method. We also proposed two frameworks, namely F1_FFM and TSS_FFM, which optimize the F1 score and TSS score, respectively. The cross validation results show that they have their respective advantages in the F1 score and TSS score.
Brain–computer interface (BCI)-guided robot-assisted training strategy has been increasingly applied to stroke rehabilitation, while few studies have investigated the neuroplasticity change and functional reorganization after intervention from multimodality neuroimaging perspective. The present study aims to investigate the hemodynamic and electrophysical changes induced by BCI training using functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) and electroencephalography (EEG) respectively, as well as the relationship between the neurological changes and motor function improvement. Fourteen chronic stroke subjects received 20 sessions of BCI-guided robot hand training. Simultaneous EEG and fMRI data were acquired before and immediately after the intervention. Seed-based functional connectivity for resting-state fMRI data and effective connectivity analysis for EEG were processed to reveal the neuroplasticity changes and interaction between different brain regions. Moreover, the relationship among motor function improvement, hemodynamic changes, and electrophysical changes derived from the two neuroimaging modalities was also investigated. This work suggested that (a) significant motor function improvement could be obtained after BCI training therapy, (b) training effect significantly correlated with functional connectivity change between ipsilesional M1 (iM1) and contralesional Brodmann area 6 (including premotor area (cPMA) and supplementary motor area (SMA)) derived from fMRI, (c) training effect significantly correlated with information flow change from cPMA to iM1 and strongly correlated with information flow change from SMA to iM1 derived from EEG, and (d) consistency of fMRI and EEG results illustrated by the correlation between functional connectivity change and information flow change. Our study showed changes in the brain after the BCI training therapy from chronic stroke survivors and provided a better understanding of neural mechanisms, especially the interaction among motor-related brain regions during stroke recovery. Besides, our finding demonstrated the feasibility and consistency of combining multiple neuroimaging modalities to investigate the neuroplasticity change.
Transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS) has emerged as a promising technique to non-invasively modulate the endogenous oscillations in the human brain. Despite its clinical potential to be applied in routine rehabilitation therapies, the underlying modulation mechanism has not been thoroughly understood, especially for patients with neurological disorders, including stroke. In this study, we aimed to investigate the frequency-specific stimulation effect of tACS in chronic stroke. Thirteen chronic stroke patients underwent tACS intervention, while resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data were collected under various frequencies (sham, 10 Hz and 20 Hz). The graph theoretical analysis indicated that 20 Hz tACS might facilitate local segregation in motor-related regions and global integration at the whole-brain level. However, 10 Hz was only observed to increase the segregation from whole-brain level. Additionally, it is also observed that, for the network in motor-related regions, the nodal clustering characteristic was decreased after 10 Hz tACS, but increased after 20 Hz tACS . Taken together, our results suggested that tACS in various frequencies might induce heterogeneous modulation effects in lesioned brains. Specifically, 20 Hz tACS might induce more modulation effects, especially in motor-related regions, and they have the potential to be applied in rehabilitation therapies to facilitate neuromodulation. Our findings might shed light on the mechanism of neural responses to tACS and facilitate effectively designing stimulation protocols with tACS in stroke in the future.
A solar active region is a source of disturbance for the Sun–terrestrial space environment and usually causes extreme space weather, such as geomagnetic storms. The main indicator of an active region is sunspots. Certain types of sunspots are related to extreme space weather caused by eruptive events such as coronal mass ejections or solar flares. Thus, the automatic classification of sunspot groups is helpful to predict solar activity quickly and accurately. This paper completed the automatic classification of a sunspot group data set based on the Mount Wilson classification scheme, which contains continuum and magnetogram images provided by the Solar Dynamics Observatory’s Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager SHARP data from 2010 May 1 to 2017 December 12. After applying some data preprocessing steps such as image cropping and data standardization, the features of magnetic type in the data are more obvious, and the amount of data is increased. The processed data are spliced into two frames of single-channel data for the neural network to perform 3D convolution operations. This paper constructs a variety of convolutional neural networks with different structures and numbers of layers, selects 10 models as representatives, and chooses XGBoost, which is commonly used in ensemble-learning algorithms, to fuse the results of independent classification models. We found that XGBoost is an effective way to fuse models, which is proved by the relatively balanced high scores in the three magnetic types. The accuracy of the ensemble model is above 92%. The F1 scores of the magnetic types of Alpha, Beta, and Beta-x reached 0.95, 0.91, and 0.82 respectively.
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