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This article contributes to the literature on the relationship between financial development and economic growth in three ways: it utilizes recently developed techniques for generalized methods of moments (GMM) one-step estimation with dynamic panel models, it focuses exclusively on a sample of developing countries and it uses as proxies for financial development variables which capture both banking sector and stock market effects. The results provide evidence, based on a panel of annual data for 30 developing countries, that while the stock market variables are positively and significantly related to growth, their presence results in the standard banking sector variables, credit to the private sector and liquid liabilities, having negative effects on growth.

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This paper investigates whether investment in information technology systems affects bank profitability in the UK during the period 1976-1996. The results show that, when the other factors used in the literature are included, the number of automated teller machines installed by a bank has a positive impact on bank profitability.

This book provides an introduction to the methods employed in forecasting the future state of the economy. It provides a comprehensive coverage of methods and applications in this fast-growing area and is intended for use in postgraduate and upper-level undergraduate courses. Part I outlines the available techniques, particularly those used in business forecasting and econometric forecasting. The state of the art in time series modelling is reviewed and includes a discussion of Box-Jenkins models, the vector autogressive approach and cointegration. Ways of combining forecasts are also examined in detail. Part II considers the most important applications of forecasting. Applications in microeconomics include demand and sales forecasting, the use of anticipations data, leading indicators and scenario analysis. In macroeconomics the emphasis is on why errors occur in forecasting asset market prices, including implications of the efficient markets hypothesis for foreign markets, stock market prices and commodity market prices. The book ends with a discussion of the appropriateness of various techniques, recent developments in forecasting, and the links between economic forecasting and government policy.