Currently, Brazil is the leading producer of sugarcane in the world, with self-sufficiency in the use of ethanol as a biofuel, as well as being one of the largest suppliers of sugar to the world. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for sugarcane production based on data extracted from aerial imagery obtained from drones or satellites, allowing the precise tracking of plant development in the field. A model based on a semiparametric approach associated with the inverse Gaussian distribution applied to vegetation indices (VIs), such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Visible Atmospherically Resistant Index (VARI), was developed with data from drone images obtained from two field experiments with randomized replications and four sugarcane varieties. These experiments were performed under conditions identical to those applied by sugarcane farmers. Further, the model validation was carried out by scaling up the analyses with data extracted from Sentinel-2 images of several commercial sugarcane fields. Very often, in countries such as Brazil, sugarcane crops occupy extensive areas. Consequently, the development of tools capable of being operated remotely automatically benefits the management of this crop in the field by avoiding laborious and time-consuming sampling and by promoting the reduction of operation costs. The results of the model application in both sources of data, i.e., data from field experiments as well as the data from commercial fields, showed a suitable level of overlap between the data of predicted yield using VIs generated from drone and satellite images with the data of verified yield obtained by measuring the production of experiments and commercial fields, indicating that the model is reliable for forecasting productivity months before the harvest time.
We define a new four-parameter model called the odd log-logistic generalized inverse Gaussian distribution which extends the generalized inverse Gaussian and inverse Gaussian distributions. We obtain some structural properties of the new distribution. We construct an extended regression model based on this distribution with two systematic structures, which can provide more realistic fits to real data than other special regression models. We adopt the method of maximum likelihood to estimate the model parameters. In addition, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings and sample sizes to check the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimators. We provide a diagnostics analysis based on case-deletion and quantile residuals. Finally, the potentiality of the new regression model to predict price of urban property is illustrated by means of real data.
The induction of one or more parameter(s) in parent distributions opened new doors for flexible modeling in modern distribution theory. Among well-established generalized (G) classes for flexible modeling, the exponentiated-G, Marshall-Olkin-G and odd log-logistic-G families offer induction of one additional parameter while the beta-G and Kumaraswamy-G classes offer two extra shape parameters. The Marshall-Olkin-odd-loglogistic-G (MOOLL-G) family serves as an alternative to the beta-G and Kumaraswamy-G classes. A new motivation for the MOOLL-G family for competing risk scenarios, some useful properties, and parameter estimation are addressed. The new log-MOOLL-Weibull regression is useful for analysis of real life data. The accuracy of the estimates and the residuals is addressed via Monte Carlo simulations. The presented models outperform some other well-known models.
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