BackgroundIntrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a highly aggressive malignant tumor with a poor prognosis. This study aimed to establish a novel clinical-radiomics model for predicting the prognosis of ICC after radical hepatectomy.MethodsA clinical-radiomics model was established for 82 cases of ICC treated with radical hepatectomy in our hospital from May 2011 to December 2020. Radiomics features were extracted from venous-phase and arterial-phase images of computed tomography. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was generated to compare overall survival (OS) between different groups. The independent factors were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Nomogram performance was evaluated regarding discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. C-index and area under the curve (AUC) were utilized to compare the predictive performance between the clinical-radiomics model and conventional staging systems.ResultsThe radiomics model included five features. The AUC of the radiomics model was 0.817 in the training cohort, and 0.684 in the validation cohort. The clinical-radiomics model included psoas muscle index, radiomics score, hepatolithiasis, carcinoembryonic antigen, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio. The reliable C-index of the model was 0.768, which was higher than that of other models. The AUC of the model for predicting OS at 1, and 3 years was 0.809 and 0.886, which was significantly higher than that of the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th staging system (0.594 and 0.619), radiomics model (0.743 and 0.770), and tumor differentiation (0.645 and 0.628). After stratification according to the constructed model, the median OS was 59.8 months for low-risk ICC patients and 10.1 months for high-risk patients (p < 0.0001).ConclusionThe clinical-radiomics model integrating sarcopenia, clinical features, and radiomics score was accurate for prognostic prediction for mass-forming ICC patients. It provided an individualized prognostic evaluation in patients with mass-forming ICC and could helped surgeons with clinical decision-making.
BACKGROUND
Diffuse reduction of spleen density (DROSD) is related to cancer prognosis; however, its role in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains unclear.
AIM
To assess the predictive value of DROSD in the prognosis of ICC after curative resection.
METHODS
In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, we enrolled patients with ICC who underwent curative hepatectomy between 2012 and 2019. Preoperative spleen density was measured using computed tomography. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were calculated and compared utilizing the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were applied to identify independent factors for OS and RFS. A nomogram was created with independent risk factors to predict prognosis of patients with ICC.
RESULTS
One hundred and sixty-seven ICC patients were enrolled. Based on the diagnostic cut-off values (spleen density ≤ 45.5 Hounsfield units), 55 (32.9%) patients had DROSD. Kaplan–Meier analysis indicated that patients with DROSD had worse OS and RFS than those without DROSD (
P
< 0.05). Cox regression analysis revealed that DROSD, carcinoembryonic antigen level, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level, length of hospital stay, lymph node metastasis, and postoperative complications were independent predictors for OS (
P
< 0.05). The nomogram created with these factors was able to predict the prognosis of patients with ICC with good reliability (OS C-index = 0.733). The area under the curve for OS was 0.79.
CONCLUSION
ICC patients with DROSD have worse OS and RFS. The nomogram is a simple and practical method to identify high-risk ICC patients with poor prognosis.
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