Background Ovarian mucinous carcinoma is a disease that requires unique treatment. But for a long time, guidelines for ovarian serous carcinoma have been used for the treatment of ovarian mucinous carcinoma. This study aimed to construct and validate nomograms for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with ovarian mucinous adenocarcinoma. Methods In this study, patients initially diagnosed with ovarian mucinous adenocarcinoma from 2004 to 2015 were screened from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and divided into the training group and the validation group at a ratio of 7:3. Independent risk factors for OS and CSS were determined by multivariate Cox regression analysis, and nomograms were constructed and validated. Results In this study, 1309 patients with ovarian mucinous adenocarcinoma were finally screened and randomly divided into 917 cases in the training group and 392 cases in the validation group according to a 7:3 ratio. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors of OS were age, race, T_stage, N_stage, M_stage, grade, CA125, and chemotherapy. Independent risk factors of CSS were age, race, marital, T_stage, N_stage, M_stage, grade, CA125, and chemotherapy. According to the above results, the nomograms of OS and CSS in ovarian mucinous adenocarcinoma were constructed. In the training group, the C-index of the OS nomogram was 0.845 (95% CI: 0.821–0.869) and the C-index of the CSS nomogram was 0.862 (95%CI: 0.838–0.886). In the validation group, the C-index of the OS nomogram was 0.843 (95% CI: 0.810–0.876) and the C-index of the CSS nomogram was 0.841 (95%CI: 0.806–0.876). The calibration curve showed the consistency between the predicted results and the actual results, indicating the high accuracy of the nomogram. Conclusion The nomogram provides 3-year and 5-year OS and CSS predictions for patients with ovarian mucinous adenocarcinoma, which helps clinicians predict the prognosis of patients and formulate appropriate treatment plans.
Background: To investigate the clinical value of serum homocysteine (Hcy), folate, and ultrasonography detection of yolk sac in predicting the outcome of threatened abortion.Methods: Ninety-eight pregnant women within 12 weeks of gestation were included in the study. Of these subjects, 29 presented with threatened abortion and were considered the case group (n=29). The other 69 subjects showed as a normal pregnancy were the control group (n=69). The case group was followed up with at 28 weeks of gestation, and further divided into inevitable abortion group (IA, n=9) and successful fetus protection group (SFP, n=20). The yolk sacs of the included cases were measured by ultrasonography. The serum Hcy and folate levels of the included cases were measured by an enzyme cycling assay and chemiluminescent immunoassay, respectively. The yolk sac visualization rate and serum Hcy and folate levels were compared between the two case groups and used as a predicting reference for the outcome of threatened abortion. Results: The yolk sac visualization rates detected by ultrasonography were 97.1% (67/69) for the control group and 69.0% (20/29) for the threatened abortion group, with a statistical difference (p<0.05). For the IA and SFP groups, the visualization rates were 22.2% (2/9) and 90.0% (18/20) respectively, with a statistical difference (p<0.05). The serum Hcy levels in the threatened abortion group were significant elevated compared with control group (6.1±2.0 μmol/L vs 4.5±1.3 μmol/L), with a statistical difference (p<0.05). However, the serum levels of folat in the threatened abortion group were significantly decreased compared with the control group (15.5±4.2 nmol/L vs 19.1±4.7 nmol/L), with a statistical difference (p<0.05). The serum levels of Hcy and folate were 7.5±1.7 μmol/L and 12.7±4.2 nmol/L for the IA group, which were statistically different compared to the SFP group (p<0.05). The predictive sensitivity for the outcome of threatened abortion based on serum Hcy and folate levels were 85.0% and 75.0%, with a predictive specificity of 66.7% and 88.9% respectively. Conclusion: Serum Hcy and folate levels were quite different in threatened abortion pregnant woman compared to the control group. Serum Hcy and folate level detection combined with ultrasonography detection of yolk sac can provide useful information for threatened abortions
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