ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to estimate the relative risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people living with HIV (PLHIV) compared with the HIV-uninfected population. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies from the peer-reviewed literature. We searched the Medline database for relevant journal articles published before August 2010. Eligible studies were observational and randomized controlled trials, reporting CVD, defined as myocardial infarction (MI), ischaemic heart disease, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events or coronary heart disease among HIV-positive adults. Pooled relative risks were calculated for various groupings, including different classes of antiretroviral therapy (ART). ResultsThe relative risk of CVD was 1.61 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.43-1.81] among PLHIV without ART compared with HIV-uninfected people. The relative risk of CVD was 2.00 (95% CI 1.70-2.37) among PLHIV on ART compared with HIV-uninfected people and 1.52 (95% CI 1.35-1.70) compared with treatment-naïve PLHIV. We estimate the relative risk of CVD associated with protease inhibitor (PI)-, nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-and nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-based ART to be 1.11 (95% CI 1.05-1.17), 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.10) and 1.04 (95% CI 0.99-1.09) per year of exposure, respectively. Not all ART was associated with increased risk; specifically, lopinavir/ritonavir and abacavir were associated with the greater risk and the relative risk of MI for PI-based versus non-PI-based ART was 1.41 (95% CI 1.20-1.65). ConclusionPLHIV are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Although effective in prolonging survival, ART (in particular PI-based regimens) is related to further increased risk of CVD events among people at highest initial absolute risk of cardiovascular disease.

BackgroundAntiretroviral therapy (ART) has substantially decreased mortality and HIV-related morbidity. However, other morbidities appear to be more common among PLHIV than in the general population. This study aimed to estimate the relative risk of renal disease among people living with HIV (PLHIV) compared to the HIV-uninfected population.MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of relative risks of renal disease among populations of PLHIV reported in studies from the peer-reviewed literature. We searched Medline for relevant journal articles published before September 2010, yielding papers published during or after 2002. We also searched conference proceedings of the International AIDS Society (IAS) and Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI) prior to and including 2010. Eligible studies were observational studies reporting renal disease defined as acute or chronic reduced renal function with glomerular filtration rate less than or equal to 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 among HIV-positive adults. Pooled relative risks were calculated for various groupings, including class of ART drugs administered.ResultsThe overall relative risk of renal disease was 3.87 (95% CI: 2.85-6.85) among HIV-infected people compared to HIV-uninfected people. The relative risk of renal disease among people with late-stage HIV infection (AIDS) was 3.32 (1.86-5.93) compared to other PLHIV. The relative risk of renal disease among PLHIV who were receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) was 0.54 (0.29-0.99) compared to treatment-naïve PLHIV; the relative risk of renal disease among PLHIV who were treated with tenofovir was 1.56 (0.83-2.93) compared to PLHIV who were treated with non-tenofovir therapy. The risk of renal disease was also found to significantly increase with age.ConclusionPLHIV are at increased risk of renal disease, with greater risk at later stages of infection and at older ages. ART prolongs survival and decreases the risk of renal disease. However, less reduction in renal disease risk occurs for Tenofovir-containing ART than for other regimens.

BackgroundThe overuse of diagnostic imaging for low back pain (LBP) in Australia results in unnecessary cost to the health system and, for patients, avoidable exposure to radiation. The 2013 NPS MedicineWise LBP program aimed to reduce unnecessary diagnostic imaging for non-specific acute LBP in the Australian primary care setting. The LBP program delivered referral pattern feedback, a decision support tool and patient information to 19,997 (60%) of registered Australian general practitioners (GPs). This study describes the findings from evaluation of the effectiveness of the 2013 LBP program at reducing X-ray and computed tomography (CT) scans of the lower back, and the financial costs and benefits of the program to the government funder.MethodsThe effectiveness of the 2013 LBP program was evaluated using population-based time-series analysis of administrative claims data of Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) funded X-ray and CT scan services of the lower back. The CT scan referral trend of non-GP health professionals was used as an observational control group in a Bayesian structural time-series model. A retrospective cost–benefit analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted using program costs from organisational records and reimbursement data from the MBS.ResultsThe 2013 NPS MedicineWise LBP program was associated with a statistically significant 10.85% relative reduction in the volume of CT scans of the lumbosacral region, equating to a cost reduction to the MBS of AUD$11,600,898. The best available estimate of program costs was AUD$141,154. Every dollar of funding spent on the 2013 LBP program saved AUD$82 of funding to the MBS for CT scan reimbursements. Therefore, from the perspective of the Australian Government Department of Health, the 2013 LBP program was cost saving. The program cost AUD$2.82 per CT scan averted in comparison to the scenario of no program. No association between the 2013 NPS MedicineWise LBP program and the volume of X-ray items on the MBS was observed.ConclusionsThe 2013 NPS MedicineWise LBP program reduced CT scan referral by GPs, in line with the program’s messages and clinical guidelines. Reducing this low-value care produced savings to the health system that exceeded the costs of program implementation.

ObjectiveNPS MedicineWise aims to ensure that medicines are prescribed and used in a manner consistent with current evidence-based best practice. A series of nationwide educational and advertising interventions for general practitioners and consumers were implemented in Australia between 2009 and 2015 with the aim of reducing antibiotic prescriptions for upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs). The work described in this paper quantifies the change in antibiotic dispensing following these interventions.MethodsAntibiotic dispensing data between 2004 and 2015 were obtained from a national claims database. A Bayesian structural time series model was used to forecast a series of antibiotic dispensing volumes expected to have occurred if the interventions had not taken place. These were compared with the volumes that were actually observed to estimate the intervention effect.ResultsOn average, 126,536 fewer antibiotics were dispensed each month since the intervention programs began in 2009 (95% Bayesian credible interval = 71,580–181,490). This change represents a 14% total reduction in dispensed scripts after the series of intervention programs began in 2009.ConclusionsContinual educational intervention programs that emphasise the judicious use of antibiotics may effectively reduce inappropriate prescribing of antibiotics for the treatment of URTIs at a national level.

This methodology provides a novel way of estimating population incidence by combining diagnosis dates and CD4 cell counts at diagnosis.

Background This study evaluated the impact of multifaceted NPS MedicineWise programs that targeted all general practitioners (GPs) in Australia in 2009 and 2015 with the aim of reducing unnecessary prescribing of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and encouraged stepping down to a lower strength PPI or to discontinue treatment. The 2015 intervention coincided with the release of Choosing Wisely Australia recommendations from the Royal Australian College of General Practitioners (RACGP). Methods Outcome measures included monthly dispensing rates of different strength PPIs prescribed by GPs to concessional patients in Australia. All PPIs were categorized according to the May 2019 revised classifications for standard and low strength PPIs except for esomeprazole 40 mg which was classified as a standard strength and esomeprazole 20 mg as low strength for this analysis. Time series analyses was conducted of the dispensing rates of PPI prescriptions for concessional patients between January 2006 and June 2016 using the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) and Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) databases in Australia. Participants were GPs with dispensed PPI prescriptions to concessional patients between January 2006 and June 2016. Results Following the 2009 NPS MedicineWise program we observed a 6.7% reduction in the expected dispensing rate of standard strength PPIs for concessional patients between April 2006 and March 2015, and an 8.6% reduction between April 2009 and June 2016 following the 2015 program launch. We observed a significant increase of 5.6% in the dispensing rate of low strength PPIs for concessional patients between April 2009 and March 2015, and no significant change in trend following the 2015 program. Conclusions The NPS MedicineWise programs were associated with reductions in the dispensing rate of standard strength PPIs by June 2016 and an increase in the dispensing rate of low-strength PPIs by March 2015 although this trend did not continue following the 2015 program. This suggests that GPs are stepping down patients to lower strength PPIs following the educational programs. However, lower strength PPIs are still not the majority of PPIs dispensed in Australian and regular interventions to sustain and improve PPI management by GPs may be warranted.

Introduction:Many countries have a national antimicrobial resistance strategy. In Australia, primary care is especially important because this setting encompasses a high proportion of antibiotic use. While antibiotic use decreased during the 1990s, it began to increase again in the mid-2000s. In response to this, in 2009 NPS MedicineWise implemented a series of nationwide educational interventions for consumers, family physicians (general practitioners), and community pharmacies that aimed to reduce excessive antibiotic use.Methods:For consumers a social marketing approach was used, including strategies that leveraged collectivism, nudge theory, celebrity endorsement, and co-creation. Channels included social, print, radio, and other media as well as practice waiting rooms and pharmacies. For health professionals, interventions included face-to-face education, audits, comparative prescribing feedback, case studies, and point-of-care materials. Surveys of consumers and family physicians were conducted periodically to evaluate changes in knowledge and behavior. National Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme claims data were analyzed using a Bayesian structural time-series model to estimate the cumulative effect of interventions by comparing the observed and expected monthly dispensing volumes if the interventions had not occurred.Results:The consumer survey results indicated that more people were aware of antibiotic resistance (seventy-four percent in 2017 versus seventy percent in 2014), with the minority requesting or expecting antibiotics for upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) (twenty-two percent in 2017). People underestimated the usual duration of symptoms for URTIs and were more inclined to expect antibiotics beyond that timeframe. Compared with non-participants, family physicians who participated in the program reported more frequent discussions about hand hygiene (ninety percent versus eighty-two percent) and proper use of antibiotics with patients (ninety-five percent versus eighty-eight percent). Between 2009 and 2015 there was an estimated fourteen percent reduction in prescriptions dispensed to concessional patients for antibiotics commonly prescribed for URTIs.Conclusions:Family physicians and consumers have responded positively to national programs. Sustaining and building on these improvements will require continued education and further innovation.

HIV infection is no longer the death sentence it once was. Attention in some resource-rich settings is turning to the field of ageing because of the realization that people living with HIV (PLHIV) age at greater rates than the non-HIVinfected population. It is suggested that PLHIV are more at risk for a host of comorbidities including cancers, renal failure, mental health disorders and also cardiovascular disease (CVD) [1]. We decided to collate the existing evidence and determine what the current body of knowledge indicates about the relative extent of risk of CVD for PLHIV. In doing so, we found that there was no consistency in the way that studies were designed, their data were analysed and/or their results were reported, which makes external comparison and drawing overarching conclusions difficult. The studies were also not ideally designed to address the broader research question of our review and meta-analysis. This could have been a condequence of feasibility issues within the studies or because the studies were addressing related but different questions. Despite this, we believed it was timely and important to conduct a synthesis and meta-analyses but there are factors to be acknowledged in interpreting our findings. We thank Althoff and Gange for addressing some of these factors.Firstly, we agree with Althoff and Gange that the comparison between HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected adults was not ideal. However, as they point out this was a consequence of the scarcity of data from the few studies designed in the best epidemiological manner for our purposes. The factors identified by Althoff and Gange are important in this context and it is unfortunate that underlying studies did not control for them completely. However, it is unreasonable to expect all studies to match all conceivable factors for a true control and each study to match the same factors. As a result of heterogeneities, we were unable to quantify estimates from all the studies as a whole. Rather, we had to conduct a series of meta-analyses. That does not alleviate the problem of incomparability with the full demographics and other characteristics of the setting-specific populations. As that was out of our control, we reported on pooled estimates of meta-analyses from collated relevant studies in subgroups. The outcomes from our analyses should consider these caveats, but it is not clear whether, and if so to what extent, they may bias results.Secondly, as we previously stated in discussion of our analysis, the included studies could not adjust for all confounders and our synthesis could only report on studies as they were conducted and reported. As in all epidemiological and clinical studies, exogenous factors that are believed to be associated with the dependent and independent variables should be assessed and accounted for in study analyses. We chose to include studies that met selection criteria and, although there were some inconsistencies in the chosen confounders or ignored potential confounders, each study had some merit in contributing...