OBJECTIVE Previous reports of the annual incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) in China were conducted using retrospective hospital cases, which may not reflect the reality. This longitudinal study estimated T1D incidence in a Chinese population of 21.7 million from 2007 to 2017. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS A population-based registry of T1D was performed by the Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center. Annual incidence and 95% CIs were calculated by age group and sex. The association of sex with T1D incidence and predicted new cases of T1D were assessed using Poisson regression models. Annual percentage change and average annual percentage of change were assessed using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS Overall, there were 6,875 individuals who developed T1D from 2007 to 2017 in this population. T1D incidence (/100,000 persons) (95% CI) significantly increased from 2.72 (2.51, 2.93) in 2007 to 3.60 (3.38, 3.78) in 2017 (P < 0.001). The T1D onset peak was in the 10–14-year-old age group. While no significant trend was found in the 0–14- and 15–29-year-old age groups, T1D incidence markedly increased from 1.87 to 3.52 in the ≥30-year-old age group (P < 0.05). The prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis was highest in the 0–4-year-old age group. We predicted new cases of T1D will increase 1.57-fold over the next decade. CONCLUSIONS T1D incidence in this large Chinese population is higher than has been reported previously. From 2007 to 2017, although the incidence peak was in the 10–14-year age group, the T1D incidence increased sharply in adults but not in youth.
Background The relationship between temperature and mental disorders is still unclear. This study aims to assess the short-term effect of apparent temperature (AT) on daily emergency visits of mental and behavioral disorders (MDs) in Beijing, China. Methods Daily counts of emergency visits related to MDs in Beijing from 2016 to 2018 were obtained. A quasi-Poisson generalized additive model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was applied to analyze the lag-exposure-response relationship between AT and emergency admissions related to MDs. Sunshine duration, precipitation, PM 2.5 , SO 2 , O 3 , time trend, day of week and holiday were adjusted in the model. Results Total daily emergency visits for MDs during the study period were 16,606. With the reference of −2.4 °C (temperature with the minimum emergency visit risk), the single day effects of low AT (−8.6 °C, 10th percentile) and high AT (9.2 °C, 90th percentile) on MDs emergency visits reached a relative risk peak of 1.043 (95%CI: 1.017–1.069) on lag day 4 and 1.105 (95%CI: 1.006–1.215) on lag day 1, respectively. The greatest cumulative effect of high AT emerged on lag 0–5 days and reached a relative risk of 1.435 (95%CI: 1.048–1.965), while no significant cumulative effect of low AT was observed. There was a significant effect of high AT on emergency visits of MDs due to psychoactive substance use and male patients. Conclusions Both low and high AT are demonstrated to be the significant risk factors of MDs, which highlights the need of strengthening the health interventions, patient medical services and early warning for patients.
There are limited studies on the prevalence and incidence of clinically diagnosed hypertrophic myocardiopathy (HCM) and its mortality in the Chinese population, and the projected population burden of HCM over the next decades. We collected data on HCM and its mortality from the Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center (BMHCIC) database and estimated the prevalence and incidence based on the whole Beijing population. Calculation of population trends was performed using annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC). Finally, future HCM incidence was built by modelling projection of HCM to the next decades using Poisson regression analysis and Gray Model 1,1(GM [1,1]). The prevalence of HCM was 0.0069% (95%CI, 0.0065–0.0072%; N = 1343) in 2010, rising to 0.076% (95% CI, 0.074–0.077%; N = 16,616) in 2019, and the incidence of HCM was 6.85 per 100 000 person-year in 2010, rising to 11.76 per 100 000 person-year in 2019. Males had higher prevalence and incidence of HCM than females. The APPC for the rising incidence of HCM was 5.8% and the expected numbers will double increase in 2029 by assuming the same increase trend as the last decades. HCM had increased annual incidence of HF (APPC: 8.4, 4.4–12.6, p < 0.05), and relatively stable annual incidence of mortality (APPC: 1.2%, − 2.3% to 4.8%, p > 0.05) during the studied period. Males had lower mortality (2.70% vs. 4.20%, p < 0.001) than females. The calculated HCM prevalence was much lower compared to prior screening studies from 2004, although the predicted HCM incidence would double over the next decades. HCM was associated with a stable risk of mortality during the studied period.
Genome-wide association studies have identified that TERT gene was associated with telomere length and age-related diseases. However, little study directly focused on the association between TERT gene polymorphisms and risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). We conducted a case-control study to examine the effect of TERT polymorphisms on CHD risk among 596 CHD patients and 603 healthy controls from China. Five significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) in TERT were selected and genotyped using Sequenom Mass-ARRAY technology. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using unconditional logistic regression adjusting for age and gender. Allelic model analysis revealed that for TERT rs10069690, allele frequency distributions differed between cases and controls (OR= 1.267, 95%CI = 1.018-1.576; p = 0.034). Genotypic model analysis revealed that genotype frequency distributions of rs10069690 differed between cases and controls after adjusted by age and sex (TC vs. CC: adjusted OR = 1.352, 95% CI = 1.007-1.815; p = 0.045). Genetic model analysis revealed that rs10069690 was associated with an increased risk of CHD under co-dominant, dominant, over-dominant and log-additive models. After adjustments, it remained significant under over-dominant model (adjusted OR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.01-1.81; p = 0.044). Our results shed new light on the association between telomere-related gene TERT polymorphisms and CHD susceptibility in a Chinese Han population.
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