Abstract. Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has developed the next generation of advanced Earth system models (ESMs) to estimate the combined effects of human activities (e.g., land use and fossil fuel emissions) on the carbon–climate system. A new set of historical data based on the History of the Global Environment database (HYDE), and multiple alternative scenarios of the future (2015–2100) from Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) teams, is required as input for these models. With most ESM simulations for CMIP6 now completed, it is important to document the land use patterns used by those simulations. Here we present results from the Land-Use Harmonization 2 (LUH2) project, which smoothly connects updated historical reconstructions of land use with eight new future projections in the format required for ESMs. The harmonization strategy estimates the fractional land use patterns, underlying land use transitions, key agricultural management information, and resulting secondary lands annually, while minimizing the differences between the end of the historical reconstruction and IAM initial conditions and preserving changes depicted by the IAMs in the future. The new approach builds on a similar effort from CMIP5 and is now provided at higher resolution (0.25∘×0.25∘) over a longer time domain (850–2100, with extensions to 2300) with more detail (including multiple crop and pasture types and associated management practices) using more input datasets (including Landsat remote sensing data) and updated algorithms (wood harvest and shifting cultivation); it is assessed via a new diagnostic package. The new LUH2 products contain > 50 times the information content of the datasets used in CMIP5 and are designed to enable new and improved estimates of the combined effects of land use on the global carbon–climate system.
The sensitivity of agricultural productivity to climate has not been sufficiently quantified. The total factor productivity (TFP) of the US agricultural economy has grown continuously for over half a century, with most of the growth typically attributed to technical change. Many studies have examined the effects of local climate on partial productivity measures such as crop yields and economic returns, but these measures cannot account for national-level impacts. Quantifying the relationships between TFP and climate is critical to understanding whether current US agricultural productivity growth will continue into the future. We analyze correlations between regional climate variations and national TFP changes, identify key climate indices, and build a multivariate regression model predicting the growth of agricultural TFP based on a physical understanding of its historical relationship with climate. We show that temperature and precipitation in distinct agricultural regions and seasons explain ∼70% of variations in TFP growth during 1981-2010. To date, the aggregate effects of these regional climate trends on TFP have been outweighed by improvements in technology. Should these relationships continue, however, the projected climate changes could cause TFP to drop by an average 2.84 to 4.34% per year under medium to high emissions scenarios. As a result, TFP could fall to pre-1980 levels by 2050 even when accounting for present rates of innovation. Our analysis provides an empirical foundation for integrated assessment by linking regional climate effects to national economic outcomes, offering a more objective resource for policy making.total factor productivity | agricultural economy | economic growth | climate impacts | crop yield A long-standing challenge of climate impact assessment has been to determine how climate has influenced the agricultural economy, and how its effects may change in the future. Climate affects agriculture regionally, depending not only on local weather factors but also on specific crops, livestock, and related goods and services, as well as agricultural systems, infrastructures, and interventions. Aggregating these disparate and potentially contradictory regional impacts into larger-scale economic outcomes is particularly difficult because the ultimate consequences are influenced by market fluctuations and policy incentives. As a result, understanding of how climate has influenced the agricultural economy is limited, making projection of the future under climate change extremely uncertain.This uncertainty is reflected in the lack of consensus regarding the overall impacts of climate change on US agriculture (1, 2). In general, studies follow two approaches, both focusing on partial productivity measures or local economic indicators. One approach seeks to determine the impact of weather shocks on common partial productivity measures such as crop yield (3-7). These studies tend to show that weather variability substantially influences local crop production. The other approach aims to iden...
Objective To describe the management and outcomes of Fanconi anemia (FA) patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. Study Design Cohort study. Methods Demographic information, prognostic factors, therapeutic management, and survival outcomes for FA patients enrolled in the International Fanconi Anemia Registry (IFAR) who developed head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) were analyzed. Results 35 FA patients were diagnosed with HNSCC at a mean age of 32 years. The most common site of primary cancer was the oral cavity (26/35, 74%). Thirty patients underwent surgical resection of the cancer. Sixteen patients received radiation therapy with an average radiation dose of 5050 cGy. The most common toxicities were high-grade mucositis (9/16, 56%), hematologic abnormalities (8/16, 50%), and dysphagia (8/16, 50%). Three patients received conventional chemotherapy and had significant complications while three patients who received targeted chemotherapy with cetuximab had fewer toxicities. The 5-year overall survival rate was 39% with a cause-specific survival rate of 47%. Conclusions Fanconi anemia patients have a high risk of developing aggressive HNSCC at an early age. FA patients can tolerate complex ablative and reconstructive surgeries, but careful post-operative care is required to reduce morbidity. The treatment of FA-associated HNSCC is difficult secondary to the poor tolerance of radiation and chemotherapy. However, radiation should be used for high-risk cancers because of the poor survival in these patients.
ediatric cancer is rare, with fewer than 10,000 solid tumors diagnosed in children annually in the United States 1. Previous studies interrogating germline predisposition broadly across pediatric cancer types have found heritable germline predisposition in 8-12% of patients. The yield of germline predisposition detected is dependent on the genes included for analysis and variant interpretation as well as the ascertainment biases found in each cohort. Iterative data are required to expand upon the understanding of susceptibility to pediatric cancer and determine the extent to which germline data may translate into clinical practice 2-7. Certain pediatric cancer diagnoses have well-established associations with germline mutations in specific genes and should automatically prompt clinical suspicion of a cancer predisposition, for example, retinoblastoma (RB1), pleuropulmonary blastoma (DICER1), optic pathway glioma (NF1), atypical teratoid/rhabdoid tumors (SMARCB1), small cell hypercalcemic ovarian tumors (SMARCA4), adrenal cortical tumors (TP53) and hypodiploid acute lymphoblastic leukemia (TP53) 8-10. Germline testing can also be critical for distinguishing between conditions like neurofibromatosis type 1 (NF1) and constitutional mismatch repair deficiency (CMMRD), which can be phenocopies of each other. For example, a child presenting with numerous café au lait spots and leukemia may have either of these conditions, but treatment and screening recommendations for the proband and family members will differ depending on the germline diagnosis 11. Besides the known associations of causal germline mutations, broad tumor-normal sequencing has revealed novel associations 9,12. While some of these findings likely represent population detection and do not play a role in the pathogenesis of the cancer in question 13 , other novel associations are likely causal. Population detection
Fanconi anemia (FA) is a rare bone marrow failure and cancer predisposition syndrome resulting from pathogenic mutations in genes encoding proteins participating in the repair of DNA interstrand crosslinks (ICLs). Mutations in 17 genes (FANCA-FANCS) have been identified in FA patients, defining 17 complementation groups. Here we describe an individual presenting with typical FA features who is deficient for the ubiquitin-conjugating enzyme (E2), UBE2T. UBE2T is known to interact with FANCL, the E3 ubiquitin-ligase component of the multiprotein FA core complex, and is necessary for the monoubiquitination of FANCD2 and FANCI. Proband fibroblasts do not display FANCD2 and FANCI monoubiquitination, do not form FANCD2 foci following treatment with mitomycin C, and are hypersensitive to crosslinking agents. These cellular defects are complemented by expression of wild type UBE2T demonstrating that deficiency of the protein UBE2T can lead to Fanconi anemia. UBE2T gene gains an alias of FANCT.
Perhexiline is a potent prophylactic anti-anginal agent that has been shown to inhibit myocardial utilization of long-chain fatty acids and to inhibit the mitochondrial enzyme carnitine palmitoyltransferase (CPT)-1. We compared the hemodynamic and biochemical effects of perhexiline (0.5 and 2.0 microM) and of another CPT-1 inhibitor, oxfenicine (0.5 mM), in Langendorff-perfused rat hearts subjected to 60 min of low-flow ischemia (95% flow reduction) followed by 30 min of reperfusion. Both perhexiline (2 microM only) and oxfenicine attenuated (p < 0.003, p < 0.0002, respectively) increases in diastolic tension during ischemia, without significant effects on developed tension, or on cardiac function during reperfusion. Myocardial concentrations of long-chain acylcarnitines (LCAC), products of CPT-1 action, were decreased (p < 0.05) by oxfenicine, unaffected by 2 microM perhexiline, and increased slightly by 0.5 microM perhexiline. Perhexiline, but not the active metabolite of oxfenicine, also inhibited cardiac CPT-2 with similar IC50 and Emax, although lower Hill slope, compared with CPT-1. Oxfenicine, but not perhexiline, reduced concentrations of the endogenous CPT-1 inhibitor, malonyl-CoA. Perhexiline, but not oxfenicine, inhibited myocardial release of lactate during normal flow. We conclude that (a) perhexiline protects against diastolic dysfunction during ischemia in this model, independent of major changes in LCAC accumulation and (b) this may result from simultaneous effects of perhexiline on myocardial CPT-1 and CPT-2.
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