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In the case of many complex, real-world decision problems solved with the participation of a group of experts, it is important to capture the uncertainty of opinions and preferences expressed. In such situations, one can use many modifications of the technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS) method, for example, based on fuzzy numbers. In fuzzy TOPSIS, two aggregation methods of fuzzy expert opinions dominate, the first based on the average value technique and the second one extended by the minimum and maximum functions for determining the support of the aggregated fuzzy number. An important disadvantage of both techniques is the fact that the agreement degree of expert opinions is not taken into account. This article proposes the inclusion of the modified procedure for aggregating individual expert opinions, taking into account the degree of agreement of their opinions (called the similarity aggregation method—SAM) and the ranking of experts into the fuzzy TOPSIS method. The fuzzy TOPSIS method extended in this way was used to solve the decision problem of recruiting employees by a group of experts. As part of the solution, the modified SAM was compared with aggregation procedures based on the average value and min-max (minimum and maximum) support. The results of the conducted research indicate that SAM allows fuzzy numbers to be obtained, characterized by less imprecision and greater stability than the other two considered aggregation procedures.

One of the important research problems in the context of financial institutions is the assessment of credit risk and the decision to whether grant or refuse a loan. Recently, machine learning based methods are increasingly employed to solve such problems. However, the selection of appropriate feature selection technique, sampling mechanism, and/or classifiers for credit decision support is very challenging, and can affect the quality of the loan recommendations. To address this challenging task, this article examines the effectiveness of various data science techniques in issue of credit decision support. In particular, processing pipeline was designed, which consists of methods for data resampling, feature discretization, feature selection, and binary classification. We suggest building appropriate decision models leveraging pertinent methods for binary classification, feature selection, as well as data resampling and feature discretization. The selected models’ feasibility analysis was performed through rigorous experiments on real data describing the client’s ability for loan repayment. During experiments, we analyzed the impact of feature selection on the results of binary classification, and the impact of data resampling with feature discretization on the results of feature selection and binary classification. After experimental evaluation, we found that correlation-based feature selection technique and random forest classifier yield the superior performance in solving underlying problem.

Energy security is of key importance for states and international organizations. An important issue in energy security is the assessment of current and future energy security methods. While the assessment of the current methods is relatively easy, since it is based on recent information, the assessment of the future methods is burdened with uncertainty and is therefore much more difficult. Therefore, the aim of the article is to develop a new approach for assessing current and future energy security issues based on a complex security index, supported by the computationally transparent fuzzy multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method. The use of the fuzzy MCDA methods allows one to capture the uncertainty of assessments and forecasts, and the forecasts themselves were based on the Holt’s method; the international energy security risk index (IESRI) was used as the source of the data to generate the forecasts. The research compared two data sources for forecasts (IESRI categories and metrics) and two methods of forecast fuzzification. As a result, the forecasted assessments and rankings of energy security for the 2020–2030 period were obtained. On the basis of these forecasts, general trends shaping energy security were also indicated.

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