The recent rapid expansion of renewable energy capacities in Germany has been dominated by decentralised wind, photovoltaic (PV) and bioenergy plants. The spatially disperse and partly unpredictable nature of these resources necessitates an increasing exploitation of integration measures such as curtailment, supply and demand side flexibilities, network strengthening and storage capacities. Indeed, one solution to the large-scale integration of renewable energies could be decentralised autonomous municipal energy systems. The achievement of grid parity for some renewable energy technologies has strengthened the desire of some communities to become independent from central markets. Whilst many communities in Germany already strive for socalled energy autonomy, the vast majority do so only on an annual basis. Several studies have already analysed the technical and economic implications of the mainly decentralised future energy system, but most are restricted in their insights by limited temporal and spatial resolution. The large number (11,131) of German municipalities means that a national analysis at this resolution is not feasible. Hence, this study employs a cluster analysis to develop a municipality typology in order to analyse the techno-economic suitability of these municipalities for autonomous energy systems. A total of 34 socio-technical indicators are employed at the municipal level, with a particular focus on the sectors of Private Households and Transport, and the potentials for decentralised renewable energies. The first step is to scale the indicator values and reduce their number by using a factor analysis. Several alternative methods are weighed against each other, and the most suitable methods for the factor analysis are chosen. Secondly, selected quantitative cluster validation methods are employed alongside qualitative criteria to determine the optimal number of clusters. This results in a total of ten clusters, which show a large variation as well as some overlap with respect to specific indicators. For example, one cluster contains all major German cities and has a low potential for renewable energies. Another cluster, on the other hand, contains the municipalities with a higher potential for renewable energies due to their high hydrothermal potential for geothermal power. An analysis of the municipalities from three German renewable energy projects "Energy Municipalities", "Bioenergy Villages" and "100% Renewable Energy Regions" shows that in eight of the ten clusters municipalities are aiming for energy autonomy (in varying degrees). It is challenging to differentiate between the clusters regarding readiness for energy autonomy projects, however, especially if the degree of social acceptance and engagement for such projects is to be considered. To answer the more techno-economical part of this question, future work will employ the developed clusters in the context of an energy system optimisation. Insights gained at the
A growing number of German municipalities are striving for energy autonomy. Geothermal plants are increasingly constructed in municipalities in order to exploit the high hydrothermal potential. This paper analyses the potential contribution of simultaneous geothermal power and heat generation in German municipalities to achieving energy autonomy. A linear regression estimates the achievable hydrothermal temperatures and the required drilling depths. Technical restrictions and cost estimations for geothermal plants are implemented within an existing linear optimisation model for municipal energy systems. Novel modelling approaches, such as optimisation with variable drilling depths, are developed. The new approach is validated with data from existing geothermal plants in Germany, demonstrating a Root Mean Squared Error of about 15%. Eleven scenarios show that achieving energy autonomy is associated with at least 4% additional costs, compared to scenarios without it. The crucial role of geothermal plants in providing base load heat and power to achieve energy autonomy is demonstrated. The importance of simultaneous modelling of electricity and heat generation in geothermal plants is also evident, as district heating plants reduce the costs, especially in municipalities with high hydrothermal potential. Further work should focus on the optimal spatial scale of the system boundaries and the impact of the temporal resolution of the analysis on the costs for achieving energy autonomy. Highlights Analysis of hydrothermal potential in German municipalities Optimisation of simultaneous geothermal heat and electricity generation Drilling depth and hydrothermal temperature are implemented endogenously Integration of geothermal plants in a holistic energy system optimisation Geothermal plants reveal a potential for cost reduction in off-grid municipalities
Research attention on decentralized autonomous energy systems has increased exponentially in the past three decades, as demonstrated by the absolute number of publications and the share of these studies in the corpus of energy system modelling literature. This paper shows the status quo and future modelling needs for research on local autonomous energy systems. A total of 359 studies are roughly investigated, of which a subset of 123 in detail. The studies are assessed with respect to the characteristics of their methodology and applications, in order to derive common trends and insights. Most case studies apply to middle-income countries and only focus on the supply of electricity in the residential sector. Furthermore, many of the studies are comparable regarding objectives and applied methods. Local energy autonomy is associated with high costs, leading to levelized costs of electricity of 0.41 $/kWh on average. By analysing the studies, many improvements for future studies could be identified: the studies lack an analysis of the impact of autonomous energy systems on surrounding energy systems. In addition, the robust design of autonomous energy systems requires higher time resolutions and extreme conditions. Future research should also develop methodologies to consider local stakeholders and their preferences for energy systems.
Plants increasingly exploit high geothermal energy potentials in German district heating networks. Municipal planners need instruments to design the district heating network for geothermal heat. This paper presents a combinatorial mixed-integer linear optimisation model and a three-stage heuristic to determine the minimum-cost district heating systems in municipalities. The central innovations are the ability to optimise both the structure of the heating network and the location of the heating plant, the consideration of partial heat supply from district heating and the scalability to larger municipalities. A comparison of optimisation and heuristic for three exemplary municipalities demonstrates the efficiency of the latter: the optimisation takes between 500% and 1x10 7 % more time than the heuristic. The resulting deviations in the calculated district heating system total investment from the results of the optimisation are in all cases below 5%, and in 80% of cases below 0.3%. The efficiency of the heuristic is further demonstrated by the comparison with the Nearest-Neighbour-Heuristic, which is less efficient and substantially overestimates the total costs by up to 80%. The heuristic can also be used to design district heating networks in holistic energy system optimisations due to the novel possibility of connecting an arbitrary number of buildings to the network. Future work should focus on a more precise consideration of heat losses, as well as taking additional geological and topographical conditions into account.
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