This material may be reproduced by or for the U.S. Government pursuant to the copyright license under the clause at DFARS 252.227-7013 (NOV 95). The Institute for Defense Analyses is a non-profit corporation that administers three federally funded research and development centers to provide objective analyses of national security issues, particularly those requiring scientific and technical expertise, and conduct related research on other national challenges.
Despite major recent recruiting and reenlistment successes, serious concerns are growing that the all-volunteer force will face severe tests in the nineties. This article explores one of the threatening prospects: far stronger civilian sector competition for technically trained military personnel. In particular, the authors first emK pirically estimate the magnitude of the pull of the civilian economy on the career military; then these estimates are used to gauge the impact of likely future civilian job growth on the chances that military personnel will reenlist or leave.
ES.NBVS DEFINITIONSIDA publishes the following documents to report the results f its work. ReportsReports are the most authoritative and most carefully considered products IDA publishes. They normally embody results of major projects which (a) have a direct bearing on decisions affecting major programs. (b) address issues of significant concern to the Executive Branch, the Congress and/or the public, or ie) address issues that have significant economic implications. IDA Reports are reviewed 5f outside panels of exports to ensure their high quality and relevance to the problems studied, and hey are released by the President of IDA. Group ReportsGroup Reporis record the findings and results of IDA established working groups and panels composed of senior individuals addressing major issues which otherwise would be the subject of an IDA Report. IDA Group Reports are reviewed by the senior Individuals responsible for the project and others as selected by IDA to ensure their high quality and relevance to the problems studied, and are released by the President of IDA. PapersPapers, also authoritative and carefully considered products of IDA, address studies that are narrower In sops than those covered In Reports. IDA Papers are reviewed to ensure that they meet the high standards expected of refereed papers In professional Journals or formal Agency reports. This Paper has been reviewed by IDA to assure that It meets high standards of thoroughness, objectivity, and appropriate analytical methodology and that the results, conclusions and recomnmandations are property supported by the material presented.Approved for public release; distribution unlimited. Approved for public release; distribution unlimited. REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE ABSTRACT (Maximum 200 words)Since June 1988, the Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA) has been assisting the Department of Defense in developing a systematic process to estimate U.S. stockpile requirements for strategic and critical materials. This report documents the work the IDA team has accomplished during Phase I of this effort, describes the principal results and uses of the analyses, and defines the scope of IDA's current initiatives and proposed efforts to strengthen this process in the coming year.
Executive SummaryThis document describes the conversion of the Forces Mobilization Model (FORCEMOB) from the FORTRAN programming language to the C programming language. FORCEMOB is used in the Risk Assessment and Mitigation Framework for Strategic Materials (RAMF-SM), which provides support to the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) in estimating potential shortfalls of strategic and critical materials (S&CM) in a national emergency scenario and determining materials (and quantities thereof) to be included in the National Defense Stockpile (NDS). FORCEMOB is stable and produces consistent results, but updating it to a more modern language would be beneficial for software maintenance and development. Conversion was achieved through a combination of automated translation with the FOR-C tool and human code review and modification. The C version of FORCEMOB was validated against the FORTRAN version: given identical data, it should produce identical results. Testing reveals that the C version of FORCEMOB is identical to 6 decimal places, which is well within an acceptable range of precision. The authors conclude that the C version of FORCEMOB is ready for operational use.This page is intentionally blank.v
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