The research effort covered by this report was performed by Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL) for the Division of Risk Analysis, and the Division of Health, Siting and Environment, both within the Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research of the NRC. The purpose of this effort is to improve the quantitative information available for use in evaluating actions that alter health risks due to population exposure to ionizing radiation. To project the potential future costs of changes in health effects risks, PNL constructed a flexible computer model, He'alth Effects Cost f~odel (HECOM), which utilizes the output of an accident consequences model (CRAC2) to calculate the discounted sum of the economic i i i ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Because of the multidisciplinary nature of the effort involved in developing estimates of health effect costs, the authors have depended on the guidance and criticism of individuals from several fields. We wish to thank economists Jack Tawil and Mac Callaway for their critical comments on the conceptual basis in economics for health effect cost estimation. Guidance in regard to the nature and incidence of genetic defects was provided by an epidemiologist, Lowell Sever. Ethel Gilbert, a statistician, assisted by reviewing our modeling of the incidence of cancers. Sid Marks and Bill Bair also provided criticism from their perspectives in health effects and environmental studies. In addition, we wish to thank
The major objective of this report is to help the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission {NRC) in its regulatory mission, particularly with respect to improving the use of cost-benefit analysis and the economic evaluation of resources within the NRC. The objectives of this effort are: (1) to identify current and future NRC requirements (e.g., licensing) for valuing nonmarket goods; (2) to identify, highlight, and present the relevant efforts of selected federal agencies, some with over two decades of experience in valuing nonmarket goods, in this area; and (3) to review methods for valuing nonmarket impacts and to provide estimates of their magnitudes. Recently proposed legislation may result in a requirement for not only more sophisticated valuation analyses, but more extensive applications of these techniques to issues of concern to the NRC. This paper is intended to provide the NRC with information to more efficiently meet such requirements.
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